SJonesWX

2 hours ago, jculligan said:

Up to 63F here. Warmest day since November 12th.

warmest day since xmas here lol

12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Widespread 70’s as @SJonesWX didn’t think ?

yup. you guys were right, I was wrong. a true mid-March torcharoni

11 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

You sure?
it’s been between 70 and 87 three times in the last five years between Feb and Mar. 

 

10 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

As modeled it is possible for at least a day. At least near 70 anyways. 

right. like I said in my post, widespread 70’s are unlikely.

I understand that it is possible, and I understand that it has happened before. but it is unlikely to be widespread 

4 hours ago, SnoSki14 said:

Thinking widespread 70s maybe for 2 days. It'll be a recipe for overperforming temps. 

we live in New England, not New Jersey. widespread 70’s are unlikely for the majority of New England 

3 hours ago, CT Rain said:

Thankfully Twitter is not real life!

unfortunately some people take whatever they read on Twitter as gospel. same goes for any social media of course.

i am sure you already knew that though

10 hours ago, George001 said:

Well, looks like the storm threat next week is dead. I thought the models would start to bring it back today, but if anything they got even worse. The navy got a rid of the low so now all 3 models that I use don’t have a low. It appears that my forecast for next week is going to bust big time. The pattern initially looked good, but we look to be getting unlucky with the placement of the polar vortex. Its too far south so it will squash the storm. At least we have threats to track though, it’s not like the polar vortex is going to sit over the North Pole for all of March. It looks like it will head to the pole for 10 days or so before we get more chances for major nor’easters in the second half of March. On the long range models after the warm up I notice that they are breaking off pieces of the polar vortex and they are coming into central and eastern Canada. The MJO also appears to be going into the cold phases at a high amplitude, which should allow for a couple more chances before spring climo takes over. With both the Atlantic and the pacific drivers looking to become more cooperative in the 2nd half of March, we are not out of the woods yet despite getting unlucky with the polar vortex squashing the storm threat next week. 

give it up man. aside from a possible rogue storm, it's all over.

i think Ryan stated upthread that the goal of the initial lockdowns was the "flatten the curve" to protect the collapse of our healthcare system. it worked for the most part. the goal was never to have zero covid cases, but that seems to be Fauci's want right now, which again as stated above, is impossible.

The vaccines don't even 100% protect you from getting covid. However they are 99+% at preventing severe cases of covid, which is really good. But the messaging out there has not reached the general public, aside from us educated folks. It needs to be stated clearly and frequently that even though you have gotten the vaccine, you may still get covid. 

Twitter is going to go haywire the first time that someone who has gotten the vaccine gets covid. 

3 hours ago, wxeyeNH said:

I received 2" in heavy snow squalls last evening.  Exactly as the GFS and Euro predicted my low was 0F around sunrise.

Nice roar in the trees with lots of blowing snow after the squalls.  

how the heck were you able to measure? i saw some on the ground last night when I looked out the window, but by the time I got up, it was a wind-blown memory

is Dick's Sporting Goods a good enough place to buy a set of clubs? i am getting back into golf after a several year hiatus, and my current clubs are super old. like 1960's Wilson Staff old, hand-me-downs.

1 hour ago, MBRI said:

This is called the Ma

lvina loop. First altitude off the lower Canadian plain. snow here is easy 2/ 1 over nearby spots

Malvina. Rode it on Weds. it was well groomed, flat, and fast. great vista up at the top. some years it can be pretty beat up, but it was great the other day. Yeah, there is plenty of white up there

7 hours ago, dendrite said:

 

Thanks...had another person suggest a fisher and after looking those up I’m definitely concerned because those are in sets of 4 as well. Some kind of animal was out in the backyard making loud squeaking noises the other night...not the typical hideous fisher screeching, but more of a high pitched squeak. The first thing I thought of was a mink or weasel, but maybe fishers have some sort of squeaking call as well? I don’t need one of those mofos hanging around my coop. Hopefully those prints are a bobcat.

I’ve heard fox shrieking before, it’s very eerie. could be that

14 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Lets see how he enjoys May-June with the black flies and the the no seeums when he comes up, They don't care what blood type you are or what part of the country your from, They bite equally without preference, ha ha.

and then the horseflies in July

9 hours ago, wx2fish said:

Definitely seems that way watching the Pittsburg obs. There haven't been many of the surprise 6"+ upslope events. Despite the late start, they seem to be salvaging a decent snowmobile season. The lack of thaws certaintly is helping the trails. There should be some upslope this week with all the systems moving through. 

in Pittsburg this week. trails are definitely thin in spots. The snowcover is of the light and fluffy variety, so trails look like they get washed out not long after the groomer goes by. up at elevation there is a ton of snow so it’s better up high. A lot of treble, not a lot of bass, as the cool kids say.

3 hours ago, PhineasC said:

Definitely not the flow I want here. Complete dud today. Extended still looks pretty zzzzz to me but I guess there is something lurking for the weekend. Needs work, however.

Not too far to your north was a decent snow event. it was snowing decently in Errol, and up here in Pittsburg picked up a solid 3”

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

Not the best photos, but saw these in the woods yesterday. Do the sets of 4 prints look like anything familiar?

looks like a bobcat to me.

1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said:

How's near 50 in late Feb a torch?

he's not in NJ. i think you posted in the wrong forum by accident.

2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

He may be 57 years old fwiw....

he said somewhere that he was 20

35 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

4-6 in SNE.

12+ in Jersey.

don't forget:

1-3 in CNE/NNE

22 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

George of the jungle just pitched a tent

8 minutes ago, DomNH said:

1-3'' is my final call for here and 3'' might be ambitious. 

yeah, same here. closer to 3 where you are, closer to 1 where I am. just 15 miles north of you. it's all so very exciting.

31 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Unless of course it snows a lot next week. But I am above average for the year and a 30 inch Feb is outstanding.  Lots of winter left kids

i've had 13" so far this month. yay I guess?

the cirrus smells lovely this time of year

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Href mean solid 4-6”

 

so no double digits?

1 hour ago, George001 said:

I agree with this, models are a tool not meant to be taken as gospel. This is why I ignore those 10:1 ratio maps. I am trying to analyze the dynamics and temp profiles in the upper levels of the atmosphere to make my forecasts, which I wasn’t doing last month, and it did lead to some improvement but I clearly still have a long way to go before becoming a competent forecaster. However there is no excuse for a model to shift 50 miles east in one run this close to the event, especially with the atmospheric drivers in place.

this happens literally every storm. shit, some of them swing 200 miles. it happens. Deal with it.

1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

What does that mean exactly  ha

...seriously curious there, what constitutes canceling of winter, in a discrete, comprehensively intelligible definition.

I think most would agree that it is cooler now that it will be in July.  That is acceptance that it is, in fact, winter.

yeah, i don't think you are going to get that here.

1 hour ago, dryslot said:

I can tell you what you can do with the blocking.

right there with you.

20 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Hmm, go figure, seasonal flu levels are at historically low levels.  Wonder why that is, maybe the virus can't spread due to mandatory mask wearing, social distancing, and better hygiene.  Crazy! 

is it possible that seasonal flu cases are being characterized as covid cases?

3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

We take

the rich get richer. the poor get poorer, the poorer get the shaft