Sey-Mour Snow

Worried about more than the shore lol 1.3" .. HRRR says gametime is 10pm to 1am now .. so lets see what we get.. Also tomorrow looking better for a 2-4" refresher

1.2" in 4 hours.. Rates lacking had only .8" from the nice hour of banding and only 29.1 degrees , def behind where I thought and like @CoastalWx said radar looks like crap.. Hoping to get to 3" tonight and pick up a few tomorrow if NAM has a clue..

Mesoscale Discussion 0009 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0735 PM CST Sat Jan 06 2024 Areas affected...portions of southern New England Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 070135Z - 070730Z SUMMARY...Moderate to heavy snow will slowly increase in coverage across portions of southern New England this evening. Snowfall rates of 1-2 in/hr are possible within the heaviest band late this evening into the overnight hours. DISCUSSION...As of 0130 UTC, regional radar and surface analysis showed a broad area of stratiform precipitation ongoing across parts of the Mid Atlantic and southern New England. Associated with an approaching coastal low, periodic moderate to heavy snow/rain has been observed within this precipitation over the last several hours. Slow northeastward progression of the heaviest precip has been noted with the primary east-west oriented band stretching from east-central PA to Long Island Sound. Driven by strong low-level warm advection ahead of the deepening coastal low, moderate to heavy snow should slowly increase in coverage over portions of southern New England late this evening and into the overnight hours. Rates between 1 to 2 in/hour are possible within the primary band, though there remains some uncertainty on how quickly the heaviest snow will lift northward. Light snow has already been reported across parts of RI, MA and CT but, regional model soundings and observed ceilings above 4k feet suggest some low-level dry air remains in place. Inland moisture advection and the approach of the surface low should slowly cool and moisten the low-level thermodynamic profile sufficiently for higher snow rates after 03z. Periods of moderate to heavy snow will likely continue into the overnight hours.

First 3 hours of snow as of 8:30pm have amounted to .6" the DEMON has just moved overhead with 30-40dbz for the next while it seems. Lets see if we can get to 6" or more for this storm..

Damn already .25" out east nice just started really accumulating here.. .4" with my hundreths ruler @The 4 Seasons got me snowing since 5pm 28.7

Ya it was blowing around like pixie dust on the highway

28.5 moderate snow .2”

Flurries commenced at 5:05.. Dusting now steady very light snow 30.1

I’m old enough to remember getting mocked for saying 12-18” possible in the heaviest band in NE mass now the forecast is 12-15” lol

Central park heavy snow 4pm

Looks like GEFS was dead wrong all 3 ensembles agree now on at least a transient pna , decaying monster nao and trough in east Jan 15-20.. maybe our first window for a KU

Best run yet for Hrrr for the shoreline just an epic thump this is 10:1 in 3 hours …

Alright this is the main thread sorry about that @WxWatcher007.. 30/23 Hrr looks great and we have our first meso. This stuff is headed this way tonight.

WxWatchers Obs thread

Ya higher terrain of adjacent Litchfield/Hartford county is always a great spot they should cash in tonight

You’ll wet bulb down to 30-32 for a while

Mixing is a given up to 84 with dryslot.. We should thump 7pm to 1am then freezing drizzle and pellets then we will see if about on and off periods of snow tomorrow, obviously NE CT favored for that..

He might be Aaron Rodgers ..

Those pretty color warmer anomalies for today that you were forecasting last weekend "will not allow snow idea" is completely wrong so you had to find the prettiest colors you could find .. makes sense

Toasters will be selling out quick today..

YA as of now I'm not believing it at all with 95% of other guidance having a great thump.. Now if the hi-res stuff coming out between 8:30-9:30 lose the thump then sure time to worry.

It's like 1-2" for all of SNE and 3-4" in NW Mass ... just horrible .. hopefully it just had a long night out of drinking

Tracking down that deform band with 3-4” per hour rates and watching it out the window or gettin out in it is the best part.

They both do .. snows most of the daylight hours Sunday

I’ve got nothing good yet it’s slow as heck to load