Sey-Mour Snow
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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow
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A perfect track for SNE, a few ticks south of 12z.. PA gets buried with 15-25”
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You are right you posted two maps with no context that mean absolutely nothing in regards to forecasting this threat just bc the pretty colors fit your view. Happy new year.
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Did I post the 2m temps or did you? You are certifiably crazy .. Who on earth posts Day 6 2m temp anomalies before the storm, it makes zero sense. You cannot win this argument man get a life. We have had 30 degree temp anomalies the day before a snowstorm, what is your point? The simple point is that if the storm takes a favorable track it will snow. Posting Saturday's anomalies bring no forecasting skill to this forum.
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You are showing temp anomalies Saturday for a Sunday storm? Grasp for straws much? That map will change 100 times and is only dependent on storm track.
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Temp anomaly maps don’t show much the day before a modeled snowstorm
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Eps has the PV split again
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Long range continuing to improve as well after the 1/10 storm .
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Most GEPS members are interior hits for 1-7 as well as several GEFS members .. Euro op last night was an interior hit.. I'd say right now risks are 60% south and 40% its a hugger..
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Lol why are you so obsessed with Jan 4/5 I think everyone gave up on that. It's on life support(1/30 ensembles show even advisory) but this storm can still help create the 50/50 for the Jan 7 Storm.
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I'm confused by your statement that High is perfect verbatim on gfs.. it's like 23 degrees with heavy snow just inland lmao .. the immediate shore maybe have some issues, that's just verbatim what GFS shows ...
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I’m staying with my reverse psychology until we get what. Enjoy the rain
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Thats just a hugger with east winds SWFE is usually further west
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Need consistency in the 4-6 day range to get the correct dose of drugs
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I saw that, is that even physically possible.
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One of the more interesting surface evolutions I’ve seen modeled. I know I’m a weenie for analyzing day 11 gfs 18z but it produces heavy snow east of the low?
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Inside hugger Miller B. Still rain for us but nice to see the option of the St Paul cutter trending east on some guidance
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It’s funny bc you said pack ..
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Put the beer down and step away from the computer
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High likelihood our Coastal wx will be rain.
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Fixed it for you
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Closing shades for 3 weeks in Jan with a -nao in Central New England is not smart. Maybe down here on south coast we get skunked but even we can get lucky down here in the tropics.
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Another good one would be finding out when many climate sites had their latest first day staying below 32 for a high. My lowest high here is 34 this season.
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All I can say is wow, our Jan 4-6 and Jan 6-8 storms are back .. 00z euro plus euro control run plus 6z gfs .. several nor'easters finally modeled with good tracks ... 90% rain for SNE... going to need to phase in some cold somehow..
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That was the Jan 4 through 6 threat she gone . Guess it’s time to change my profile image
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Today’s GFS next 15 days .. 40s to near 50 everyday in CT except one. Lows barely below freezing that’s hardly a pattern change from most of December. We haven’t had a high below 32 since February 28th.. Average high at bdl is 37
