Sey-Mour Snow
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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow
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idk why I'm analyzing the NAM but ya ENE had another 3 hours of 1-2" per hour on that NAM run great run for NE mass and south east new hampshire woulda been widespread 18-24"+ up there.. Sucks for southern CT but its the NAM would love to see GFS tick south -
Def a tick SE on 6z eps, love to see it, keep the ticks south coming for us southerners. Good luck everyone back to work til 12:30 will be watching for updates on the phone..
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I get where you are coming from and I'm not concerned about inland CT. Just the shore to my hood before the horrible 00z euro the shore was already very borderline .. Most of our clients and following is on the immediate shore so we have more at stake.. The CT shore i can see 0-2" or 6"+ of paste .. But you inland guys are still looking great for 6"+
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Great map.. Along the lines I"m thinking right now
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Lol I knew that was coming.. Plenty of reason for caution down here.. I'm one of the furthest southwest posters on this forum.. Like I said NE CT still looks great.. SWCT much different story..
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ya it's 100% related to that dry slot .. 18z and 00z both had the dryslot
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Looking at 00z euro soundings theres a warm layer at 800mb up to central CT.. the 6z euro was much colder aloft luckily ... let's hope that 00z run was a blip ..
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I'm only 12 miles as the crow flies from the shore.. So I have a lot less wiggle room .. glad to see 6z euro beef up and tick se with the warming aloft .. also I think a lot of that warming comes with a potential dryslot, need to keep heavier rates in most of CT , I could see snow growth being putrid if it ticks back north..
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Kevin and ginx area is still in a solid spot .. We cant take anymore north ticks for most of interior CT, CT shore is most likely cooked, my area is cooked next with one more tick.. Problem is GFS is the coldest and snowiest now for CT, and its been playing catch up .. Let's hope for a reverse trend at 12z ..
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We need the tics SE starting 12z or its game over.
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If you are using snow maps you want to use Kuchera down here mid levels are torched they are much less than 10:1 ..
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Wow congrats CNE, that was abrupt and violent. I don’t think that was a fluke as latest WPC 4”+ odds line up well with the north trends overnight.
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Here's the precip totals through 12z the 1st batch of WCB , everyone in this forum is cold enough to snow, with more after this as mid levels fill in
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Definitely trending towards the not as nice GEFS in the 10-15 day range unfortunately the last two runs after the weenie 12z run yesterday
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Pretty much held serve a bump north and more juicy.. Heres the 25th 50th and 75th percentile on EPS .. good to see
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Would love to see a snowy pats jets game for the battle of tanking for a better draft pick..
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ya EPS loves Scoots house 30-40% odds at 12"+
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EPS isn't out yet that far lmao
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Really hits EMASS hard on back end
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GEFS still paltry most members have 2" or less for all of SNE .. not too concerned about it considering it's history unless euro and eps follow ..
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Ya I feel pretty good.. It's pretty much all foreign guidance vs American guidance at this point..
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The 6z eps 25th/75th percentile range is 5-6" and 7-8" for a pretty large area of SNE .. It would be a pretty big bust by the EPS to not get plowable ..
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euro only has up to 90 hour on wxbell
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A bit on the extreme side but still about 40% of the members have a wide swath of 6-10" + of snow for all of SNE.. About 70% chance of plowable snow at this time on EPS which is down from yesterday ..
