Sey-Mour Snow

NAM looks weird, weak sauce, can't toss it though as we learned last storm . EDIT its also south from 6z.. NAM is actually the only model that doesn't mix in SWCT ..

Ya we hope that HRRR is smoking something, but the rest of guidance does change us over too after the thump, I don't think it matters too much get us the 3-5 hour thump and call it a day..

Ya I don't like that, Hi res is super warm at 750-850.. Looks like a quick thump to ice down here.. It does pound for 4 hours though.. So the part of the storm that matters will produce.. a quick 4"+ still likely before the slot to snizzle..

GEFS, EPS, SKYNET look amazing

I def see Scotts concern south and east of 84 over the next 2 weeks.. But we have 2 cold storms before that (hopefully Tuesday PM for SNE). And then hopefully the blocking and cold press can do work and push enough to keep all of us from seeing rain later next week and beyond. As long as we don't cut to buffalo and rain its all good. Lets just keep the pack that we gain starting tomorrow. I think this is at least a very good stretch of snow, will it be epic? We just don't know yet, but the opportunity is there, GEFS 6z, and EPS 00z still look amazing, the op runs will fluctuate until we get closer.

No, warm nose at 750mb after midnight along southern 1/4 of the state

Have to watch out for mixing in Southern CT, NAM's and HRRR are very warm.. even GFS and EURO get some mixing in

We will just never know .. but seriously bc that run is not verifying lmao .. just the best digital 30 minutes we’ve ever had

Months and months , piles won’t melt til July 31st

Yes has ensemble support too

Triple phaser?

Wait there’s more after Valentines lol

10” each from Saturday/Sunday, then Tuesday, and then Thursday/friday from EPa Through NYC metro CT into SE NH

Can we just lock that run and go home .. damnnnn what a run

All day

2015? The holy grail for ENE??

Days and days

We may never see an ensemble output like this again, it’s time to start cashing in on Saturday night though. Then here’s the pattern at hr 360 lol

Gfs has a real storm that just missed phasing next weekend

I don’t think we see more than dimes though this is a 4-8” at a time pattern at best for now..

Ya we get a good 4 hour thump then warm nose and probably freezing drizzle for a while verbatim . But still several inches before that

Just saw that wow! 15-30” for all of SNE between the 3 storms.

Ya Cold and block pressed last minute and it whiffed

Tuesday has always been there. 3 waves next week has been on guidance for a while, it comes on goes on the ops.. Tuesday bigger potential Thursday lighter, Friday miss, cold and block doing work this run

Ya, Sunday then Tuesday are the ones we want