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Sey-Mour Snow

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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow

  1. Sey-Mour Snow
    No doubt, my forecast for first inch was between 9-10am in Tarrytown.. So way ahead of schedule with 1.5" at 7am.
  2. Sey-Mour Snow
    Greenwich probably has close to an inch I'd assume based on radar and duration, waiting for an ob from a snow removal client in Tarrytown about 5 miles west of greenwich .. EDIT he says about 1.5" "very fluffy snow"
  3. Sey-Mour Snow
    Still Heavy snow and low vis live cam in DC right now.. That 700mb warm layer has met some resistance already
  4. Sey-Mour Snow
    What is the board clearing rules for a storm of this duration? How many hours in? Do I do it when I change to sleet?
  5. Sey-Mour Snow
    First flakes 6:45am 7.7 degrees . Hoping for 12-15" here .
  6. Sey-Mour Snow
    @ORH_wxman how big is the scope of the 10"+ compared to some of the other big ones? An area from Texas to Maine 300-600 miles wide seems insanse.
  7. Sey-Mour Snow
    ya hard to tell exactly where it is based on obs and CC, it should be a few hours ahead as the accumulating snow is about 2-3 hours ahead up here..
  8. Sey-Mour Snow
    CC looks close to where guidance had it at this time..
  9. Sey-Mour Snow
    Widespread 2-3" rates in DC area
  10. Sey-Mour Snow
    not down here, I'd imagine so the further north you go. However, White Plains was 10/-7 at 5am and by 6am moderate snow.. Already 1"+ reports in North Jersey
  11. Sey-Mour Snow
    Everyone head over to the obs thread as the first flakes are minutes away from New England. Heavy snow during the day just hits different, enjoy everyone.
  12. Sey-Mour Snow
    it is coming down hard in jersey already, good 4 hours ahead of schedule for that intensity.. as I said earlier in the week, these always come in earlier than modeled - 20-30:1 ratios being reported in Mid-Atlantic
  13. Sey-Mour Snow
    All guidance now 20-30” almost the entire state of MASS, besides cape and island, cant recall that before
  14. Sey-Mour Snow
    Snow is 2-4 hours head of schedule over Jersey with instant moderate snow
  15. Sey-Mour Snow
    Hrrr giveth NAM taketh away
  16. Sey-Mour Snow
    Yikes, bad typo lol I'm going back to laying down, this cold is killing me.
  17. Sey-Mour Snow
    00z HRRR looks exactly like RGEM cold and snow output
  18. Sey-Mour Snow
    it wasn't done yet, I'll post the full run when I have it, it's goods for all , very juicy
  19. Sey-Mour Snow
  20. Sey-Mour Snow
    Negligible sleet on HRRR , we take and pray it has a clue
  21. Sey-Mour Snow
    Ya that's what I meant, we'd have to wait until meso 00z's finish for the next one to come out.
  22. Sey-Mour Snow
    Isn't that the HREF from 18z? we'd have to wait til 00z finishes
  23. Sey-Mour Snow
    Interesting, that's too cold I think, southern outlier, kinda of like the old rap runs
  24. Sey-Mour Snow
    Band rotting over EMASS at 02z
  25. Sey-Mour Snow
    HRRR trending thumpier.. Eric Webb also reporting from the Carolina's that the HRRR verifying better than the NAM early on for ptype there. Hrrr is unbelievably cold for the NYC Metro tomorrow with a massive thump wow.. Good news for the rest of New England on the thump if that verifies
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