Sey-Mour Snow
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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow
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GFS looks amazing, like your spot a lot for 8-10" -
GFS and HRRR blend for $100 please.. HRRR is absolutely wild easily 2" rates for like 2-3 hours..
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We take all 12z guidance today, just toss NAM's please .. About as good as you can get for a widespread warning for the entire forum sans extreme NNE
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I’m the blue Seymour
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I’m on the SE Oxford line .. SW Seymour
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Loving how thumpy hrrr is and it’s cold
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Ya I think Runnaway and Spanks are good this is more for my backyard and SW.. I’m right on Farirfield county line in central New Haven County. Everywhere NE of me looks great
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Some guidance has a nice band continuing north of the dryslot.. like gfs and NAM 12km
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The way I see it is that just north of dry slot gets an extra 2-3 hours of heavy rates. So dry slot is quick 3-5” then snizzle. Just north pounds til 2-3am
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Real snow weenies don’t sleep for what will be our best rates of the season
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Ya should be a fun 2-4 hours .. we will get the heaviest rates but the least duration
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Ya NAM sucks for SWCT great elsewhere especially AMATT
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3km and 12km warm down here ..
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Soundings showed a 750 warm nose up to about oxc earlier but ya 00z even colder this is showing up as freezing rain on ptype
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HRRR would suck for a lot of SNE, in between bands then dry slot mixing .. south coast gets a sick band then another one rt 2 north
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Wild. First time that we get a legit NAMd.. We had a completely wrong head fake in December that never verified. Finally just gives some reassurance that a system is not falling apart on approach. Nice to see. I agree with Scott on two jack zones. One thing is for sure it’s going to puke heavy dendrites before the mix moved into CT. Should be fine 10pm to 2am.
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Do it!
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Short and simple is when multiple teleconnections (NAO and PNA in this case) go from positive to negative and vice versa large precipitation event often results for the North East.
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Hopefully the block does its work and it redevelops south of Long Island …
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Signal for next weekend is wild at this range
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Ya, also noticing a strong PNA rise which would imply an Archembault event possible on that time frame
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Possible yes but EPS still looks amazing just have to get through the transition cutters potentially the 13-17th.. classic KU pattern post the 17th
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Still there monster -NAO merging with Pacific block merges over Davis Strait
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I’m in 100% agreement with this.
