Sey-Mour Snow
-
Posts
5,192 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow
-
The main show for most of New England is just starting to blossom ESE of DC on DOX radar. Will want to see some good banding develop from that. -
Ya don’t like the latest nowcast trends for that main band out way out west being the main show potentially west of the river
-
Interesting EURO has that band as the main show.. definitely less east of there then another band out east with WCB
-
Snow reports way ahead of schedule over NJ, all that’s headed for ENY and the Berks
-
Radar looks amped, west and ahead of schedule to our south west, clouds will help like Kevin said especially west
-
The meaningful stuff is all snow.. Better man snow before the great freeze, glacier pack.. Thinking a good 4-6"+ for you
-
latest hrrr has .75" qpf all snow for Weymouth lol
-
925s are very cold and its been cold for a while, don't think it's much of an issue, def the further south and east you are at first will be a bit more of an issue
-
Def think shoreline temps New Haven east will be an issue at first at least
-
I’d say that’s definitely possible , but more like the 25th percentile. Where 4-7 is the 50th percentile and 8-9 is the 75th percentile . We shall see what verifies.
-
8-10:1 in between bands .. 15-20:1 in the good banding .. Average ratios will depend how long you are under the banding..
-
it got much juicier, 3km and 12km, probably best run for SNE as a whole of any suite..
-
Euro totally caved but then didn’t end up caving too much after all and Euro will probably be king still.
-
Funny how this all played out.. Euro 100% nailed the start time on this, gfs and RGEM were adamant on a start time near midday here.. Looks like a quick 6 hour thump.. If the only model we had was the Euro last 2 days, we'd be pretty excited right now..
-
pretty decent cut back out east 20% on euro, about 10% out west in SNE
-
The wolf is back maybe some good juju later tonight
-
Just older data , newer data is less amped and SE
-
Keep the faith.. 2-4 seems really low, but who knows.. We aren't budging from our first call of 4-8" statewide besides the SE corner.. Will be a nowcast to determine best banding
-
Fair to say now AIFS is the clear leader in the clubhouse up through 18z today it never had a bad run.. always in that 4-7" range
-
ya your area still gets hit by the goods, the western areas got cut back, we shall see...
-
Don't look at total, some of that is today, well east mass is still a good bit, cut down the rest , we shall see.. consensus is coming though..
-
Ya that was a big drop on GFS, now euro is the wettest piece of guidance funny enough.. Fun little storm ..
-
Widespread 4-8" is likely, with a pretty large but narrow stripe of 8-10" .. that's been my thinking all along, through some ups and downs, but still looking like that's where we are headed.. Let's see if GFS holds again
-
RGEM has .6 to .8 frozen qpf for SNE, NAMs aren’t catching on yet, maybe the nail it? But I doubt it
