Sey-Mour Snow

Top 4 storms here - memory starts vaguely with March 93 then my first real weather memory is Jan 96. 1. Feb 2013 30-40” 2. Jan 96 20-30” 3. Jan 11 multiple 20” storms 4. Tie Feb 06 + PD 03 both 20” here. So five 20” storms in this area in 37 years. I don’t think there were any others from 85-96. I believe we got 16” in March 93. Probably about 10-15 other storms that were supposed to be in the top 4 here in the past 20 years that busted here but were top 4 storms elsewhere in the region.

Need to get this to bomb out further north. That’s the only way to bring the dynamic snows up here.

12z trended better now 18z as well if 00z continues then I’d call it legit. Going to need all models to come to some sort of slight consensus the next 24-48 hours before any of us really bite. In the mean time there is literally nothing else for us to look at weather wise so we track.

Edibles before dinner? You just hate to see it.

Lol Congrats Virginias and SE New England. Rain in between. It’s all about the dynamics … man this could be a very legit storm if we had some cold to work with.

Well Let’s get them all some roofies and get a Super Bowl Sunday snowstorm.

It’s the Saturday night through Sunday night threat on guidance. EPS is more of a Sunday deal the 12th. 10 of 51 ensembles have a warning snow from me to you. Let’s see if the signal can at least hold or intensify at 00z, every other threat just vanishes after showing a positive run.

EPS much more interested in Saturday PM. She’s on life support but it’s all we have for 10-15 days.

We all know how snow maps work lol the point is: it’s a modeled snow event there and not here verbatim that’s all we take from it. It’s the Gfs Next run it’ll be congrats somewhere else.

We’d def all melt if this happens. It’s highly unlikely.

It’s called dynamic cooling. Verbatim the gfs gave the Carolinas a snowstorm while we are mild. It can happen. Will it happen probably not.

Congrats Carolinas!

Ya we are def jaded this season. Bc there should be some more hope for that one, it at least has a chance to turn more favorable and give some their first plowable.

Ya these were the 7am temps

Awesome thanks cool to have that link.

Nothing to write home about but definitely cold and average to below average for many away from the warm lakes.

You seem angry this morning. Sorry for the rough morning. Well as others have said, in many rats you get a complete shit pattern with zero potential for snow, but this winter in December and then late January we actually had serviceable patterns, very favorable actually in December. So you'd expect us to be at least in the slightly below average to average in snowfall department compared to the 0-10" for many on the season.

No doubt . It’s 100% thread the needle. It’s in the 40s at precip start time, hopefully we trend this a bit more dynamic and flip earlier and colder.

I’m all for sneaking in a snow event in between warm weeks. Let’s work some Kevin reverse psychology and get this to snow.

Well that’s interesting on 18z gfs . I’m definitely a bit interested now, close call miss to our south.

Next 10-15 days look shot too. This is a truly impressive mean to be this snowless. .8” mean over my hood.

What the hell are you going to do with a cold frozen brown/green landscape?? I love snow more than anyone but might as well get out and be productive and not tortured in February. December different story, but spring is like 6 weeks away might as well be mild if it’s not snowing.

Welcome to the dark side. Don’t forget to take the UZI.