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wxsniss

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Everything posted by wxsniss

  1. I knew what you meant, just being pedantic. In any case, prospect of first flakes always has extra edge, but otherwise agree with CoastalWx... these aren't the droids you're looking for.
  2. Yeah I hear you. I'd say more smeared southeast than too early LBSW Maybe ensembles last night were a flash in the pan and we'll see the block dominate going forward. Still very possible to get a better outcome, e.g. if shortwave comes in stronger In any case, I'm just hoping to see my first flakes lol... Similar to your outlook, I'm keeping my higher expectations for more favorable PNA hopefully late December into January
  3. 18z vs. 12z EPS a touch less robust for 12/12 system... can't see H5 but guessing continues 12z-18z theme today of greater block... fluctuations in outcomes today but certainly track-worthy, especially if shortwave comes in stronger
  4. Way out there but Dec 16-17 timeframe also trending nicely on EPS After all the din of worries, we'll hopefully see the potential of this period materialize
  5. This is really close to a bigger hit CMC-style 0z-12z Euro trended more stout and slightly more west with ridge over Minnesota, and the diving shortwave is stronger That 50-50 low feature is stronger so it's a balancing act, but we're not far off from a bigger hit EPS trends last night making me more confident many areas in SNE see their first flakes at least (and my first season post) 30-year anniversary...
  6. Happy Birthday Fella! Enjoy the Scotch. Hope EPS is the correct tracker for delivery of your gift.
  7. Ha... Boston got 30.3 inches in past 48 hours. https://buffalonews.com/news/local/from-2-feet-boston-hills-to-1-inch-niagara-falls-48-hour-snowfall-totals-show/article_679ad48a-6739-11ed-8ffe-87241de212cc.html "Here are the 10 towns or villages with the greatest accumulation: • Blasdell – 48 inches • Orchard Park – 42.5 • Hamburg – 37 • West Seneca – 36 • Boston – 30.3 • Wales – 26.3 • Eden – 25 • Alden – 24 • Angola – 22"
  8. A good one to chase with early season water temps relatively warm and associated instability
  9. Rain here near Coolidge Corner, maybe an occasional mangled flake... elevation definitely helping you Jerry Boston metro will have a shot at our first flakes beyond Nov 20 This was taken almost exactly 4 years ago:
  10. Yep. My wife thinks I’m some anomaly. Our condo has either heating or cooling, and they switch invariably mid April/October. So high DP nights in the shoulder months are brutal.
  11. a worthy followup to K&U... your detailed meteorologic memory has tremendous value, why not get some $ for it... you'd have enthusiastic demand just from this board alone (no pressure ... I know the return on writing books does not match the effort)
  12. Also very notable in Boston area ~7:35 Thought it was a helicopter with a back spotlight at first… and thought that’s the most UFO thing I’ve ever seen… nice capture! Apparently it was visible for much of east coast. Here’s a good video of it: https://youtu.be/lsERBqrnWqE
  13. Tall building is Trilogy building in Fenway:
  14. Yeah. Storm of the summer for Boston metro... have some nice CG photos, will post in a bit
  15. A legend is retiring… https://www.boston.com/news/media/2022/05/11/harvey-leonard-meteorologist-wcvb-retiring/
  16. After losing the first few hours to dry air and legit warm ground concerns, 1-2 inches would be a win! Elevation will also help in the metro area (e.g., Jerry's area should do better than coast). In any case, nice to see grass start to whiten. Looks like next batch of good returns is incoming on Tilt4->Tilt1
  17. Finally after stray mangled flakes or nothing for hours... < 1 mile visibility in Boston metro
  18. Incoming for our area, nice echoes just to our west
  19. We've struggled with dry air up to h7 for pike / Boston area, but looks to be saturating now and best snowfall of the day currently in Boston metro (still very light at best) Returns should fill, moving up from northeast CT should arrive in next hour
  20. Logan 8.5" at 719pm I'm still pleasantly surprised every time I see they report representative measurements
  21. Wow some of the best rates of the day and decent snowgrowth
  22. HRRR/RAP and King NAM suggest we could get another 1-2” after it turns to all snow thru tonight
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