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Everything posted by jaxjagman
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
jaxjagman replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
CFS strenghtened the MJO signal today,into Jan into the WH and Africa,along with the AO going negative once again.PNA/NAO looks +,seems like a better chance of cutters,for us in the west this isnt a horrible look for us,personally i dont like a big -NAO with systems down into the GOM,we get cold and dry.Still like to see the NAO change somewhat or even us will seemingly just see cold air chasing rain..blah- 923 replies
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Like to see where the MJO these next couple weeks ends up.CFS (if its right) shows it starting to strenghten into the NH /Africa then into the IO.If NINA hangs on i think it will it could get at least interesting into spring,but i thought we'd do better with this NiNA last year
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Was a quiet year
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
jaxjagman replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
We already can see signs of the AO coming back to life,just need the Pac to work in tandem- 923 replies
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
jaxjagman replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Dont care for when the SPV splits myself,it's just a wrecking ball for winter when its happens in our part.MJO still looks like it will be like when we seen it in Nov.Still believe as we head into the Mid month we will see changes towards the better,we could even see more sliders as the MJO starts to head into the WH/Africa,just need the cold- 923 replies
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
jaxjagman replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
like the wild swings in the SOI,we saw this somewhat as the MJO moved across the WP in Nov but we didnt see the suppressed air into the IO in which the CFS is showing,but certainly can change.The MJO is showing a similar pattern as what we just recently saw as it heads into the WP its gonna possibly dive into the COD as it progresses so then we need to look at what drives the pattern,definite want to see the AK change.I was thinking the pattern will change towards the good into the 2nd week of Jan now it looks more towards mid month/JMHO 25 Dec 2022 1012.96 1005.85 17.59 16.96 13.85 24 Dec 2022 1012.85 1004.25 25.33 16.44 14.01 23 Dec 2022 1014.64 1001.10 50.96 15.98 14.00 22 Dec 2022 1015.01 1000.55 55.74 14.44 13.62 21 Dec 2022 1013.67 1002.65 37.88 12.36 13.17 20 Dec 2022 1011.61 1004.00 20.19 11.13 12.89 19 Dec 2022 1012.50 1004.15 24.03 10.55 12.83- 923 replies
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Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
jaxjagman replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Sheet of ice? -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
jaxjagman replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Rollings blackouts started again,we just had ours https://map.datacapable.com/i/nes/ -
January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
jaxjagman replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Date Tahiti (hPa) Darwin (hPa) Daily Contribution 30 day Av. SOI 90 day Av. SOI 23 Dec 2022 1014.64 1001.10 50.96 15.98 14.00 22 Dec 2022 1015.01 1000.55 55.74 14.44 13.62 21 Dec 2022 1013.67 1002.65 37.88 12.36 13.17 20 Dec 2022 1011.61 1004.00 20.19 11.13 12.89 19 Dec 2022 1012.50 1004.15 24.03 10.55 12.83 18 Dec 2022 1013.74 1004.55 28.39 10.08 12.70 17 Dec 2022 1012.11 1004.30 21.23 9.53 12.64 16 Dec 2022 1010.65 1004.65 11.83 8.95 12.75 15 Dec 2022 1011.02 1006.50 4.15 8.67 12.95 14 Dec 2022 1012.48 1008.45 1.61 9.05 13.13 13 Dec 2022 1011.91 1008.30 -0.57 9.03 13.21 12 Dec 2022 1009.65 1007.30 -7.11 8.78 13.30- 923 replies
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Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
jaxjagman replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Bout over for us other than flakes,good luck to you guys in the east -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
jaxjagman replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
right,i like the angle now -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
jaxjagman replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
the winds blew the cams around look..lol -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
jaxjagman replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
surface temps will definite take out our ammounts -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
jaxjagman replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Ripping now -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
jaxjagman replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
http://traffic.brentwoodtn.gov/201173a.htm by my house -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
jaxjagman replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
nice starting to pick up -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
jaxjagman replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
28 now -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
jaxjagman replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
wind is brutal now -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
jaxjagman replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
we should have a decent back in a few min -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
jaxjagman replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
http://traffic.brentwoodtn.gov/201173a.htm -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
jaxjagman replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Its arrived..lol -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
jaxjagman replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Winds are blowing from the west now 16mph -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
jaxjagman replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Clarksville,my bad -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
jaxjagman replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Nice band headed towards Crossville -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
jaxjagman replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
dropped 4 degrees the last 5 min,43 now