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jaxjagman

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Posts posted by jaxjagman

  1. National Weather Service Nashville TN
    812 PM CST Sun Jan 14 2024
    
    ...New UPDATE...
    
    .UPDATE...
    Issued at 755 PM CST Sun Jan 14 2024
    
    It`s snowing!!! All of our observation sites are reporting snow
    this hour with the heaviest falling along and south of I-40. We`ve
    already received a report of 0.5" of snow in Bellevue. Looking at
    the latest run of the HRRR tonight, boy did it come in hot. It
    paints a narrow band of higher totals ranging from 6-8 inches from
    Wayne County all the way through to our furthest NE counties on
    the Plateau, including Nashville. This solution would mean this
    event overachieves a little further north than originally
    forecasted and it pumps out more snow in any heavier bands that
    move through. This will be something to watch as the night
    progresses. There were talks of bumping up QPF along our northern
    border to match up with this latest run of the HRRR, but for now,
    we`re going to hold off on that to see what the next round of
    models show since this is only 1 run. Our sounding tonight shows a
    textbook snow event; big, healthy layer of moisture right in the
    snow growth region with all layers below 0 degrees Celsius. As for
    temperatures, they have tanked. Most everyone is sitting right
    around 20 degrees and dropping. We will be back with a full
    forecast update in the next several hours. In the meantime, stay
    safe, stay warm, and enjoy the snow!
    • Like 6
  2. 1 minute ago, Matthew70 said:

    And they claimed on the game a bit ago it was a record for streaming the game last night.  Well I was not one of them streaming it.  I will not pay peacock to watch.  Greed in college & NFL is ruining a great sport. 

    Thats bull shit,of course they did to cover there ass and the NFL to do this.Next year you might be doing the SB as PPV,bunch of greedy ass owners

    • Like 1
  3. 7 minutes ago, nrgjeff said:

    Last visit and post for the night. @Chattownsnow and @Uncle Nasty I think the chart above from @TellicoWx eases the Chattanooga anxiety a little bit. We should be able to avoid a Dallas Cowboys style melt-down.

    I'll feel better when I see snow falling. Warm air is hanging tough in KCHA but we're always the last to cool off. Already snowing in Knoxville. LOL Chatty. Back to the game! 

    Got pissed off they started charging to watch the playoffs,so i joined the boycott to not watch,plus the Jaguars melt down was easier for me  to do this:D

    • Like 3
  4. 5 minutes ago, Olhausen said:

    You think the globals are going to be way off with this one? Short range models have been showing way higher totals to the north pretty much every run since  this system got within their range.

    Everyone has their choice but i think the mesoscales work better in this time frame,i dont even look at the globals no more outside 24hrs but everything is guidance to a certain extent

    https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=17&parm=pmsl&underlay=1&source=1#

    • Like 1
  5. 1 minute ago, Carvers Gap said:

    The RAP over the eastern valley is usually pretty poor, but we'll see.   A system trending northwest is not out of the question at the last minute.  OTH, the RAP and NAM being over amped is also not out of the question at this range.

    I still dunno,we usually have warn air in place here and start as more of a mix.Its really rare in our parts to already have cold air in place during a winter storm,so theres not gonna be much data incorporated to me than other skill

    • Like 1
  6. 9 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said:

    The 18z NAM again looks like it is experiencing feed back issues.  And that is a bias of it.  It turns the line of precip well north and much earlier over the eastern valley.  It could score a coup and certainly has before, but big totals(which aren't on other models) are usually indicative of feedback.  We'll see.  

    I dunno,the RAP just did the same

    • Like 1
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