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dendrite

Administrator / Meteorologist
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Everything posted by dendrite

  1. It’s like the gfs gets confused and goes back and forth between strengthening the primary and the secondary. But regardless that’s a chilly solution up here in CAD land. We just can’t seem to ever buy a 40° day here in the heart of winter.
  2. RGEM too…nice little front ender up here on Wed. That would be a messy commute Wed AM for many NoP.
  3. Wait...I thought you said this morning that you didn't like that look
  4. Not my first rodeo. "leaning below" I know I've ranted on these maps before, but I just always find them funny. I know what they're trying to imply, but they separate the probs into 3 categories (BN, N, AN) and slap a probability on each one and shade with whichever one is the highest. So they shade us in 40-50% probability of BN which translates to 50-60% (higher) chance of not BN.
  5. Has anyone EVER seen them issue those maps with any of the grey shading for an increased probability of "near normal"? I can't recall ever seeing it. Instead we get that boring 33/33/33% of equal chances.
  6. I tossed the December cold because it came from Canada. What a cheap way to pull off negative anomalies.
  7. The warm stretch isn’t even here and people are spiking footballs when we still really don’t know.
  8. Yup. Like you’ve always said…our snowfall in deep winter correlates better to QPF than temps (at least inland).
  9. GEFS, EPS, GEPS all start having that +TNH look toward d15…SE ridge, ridge off west coast, lower heights SW US and up toward Hudson Bay. We’d play with fire with that, but I’d roll with my chances in the interior for a higher QPF SWFE.
  10. Yup. We CAD Wed AM. GFS was pretty snowy. We may have to watch for a warm layer around H8 when it starts getting in meso range.
  11. 0.2° Coldest I saw was a -26° up by the NH/VT/QB border.
  12. heh. I wonder where that NH ob was from. Bethlehem?
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