SACRUS
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http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/site/imgs/vis_nj_anim.gif
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Dewpoints dropping from the lower 70s this morning now closer to the 62-65 range. Also, more pokes of sunshine than otherwise would have expected. Not a bad day.
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Monthly rain totals (so far through 7/17): NYC: 9.16 EWR: 7.81 TEB: 6.62 LGA: 6.03 TTN: 5.41 JFK: 4.07 ISP: 4.66
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80/72 and mostly cloudy with peaks of sunshine with fast moving clouds. Still a bit unsettled as the front moves through so scattered showers, and storms. Front will likely fully clear and earlier concerns of a cloudier monday look to be alleviated. Western ridge means business and will bake the western US Rockies and Plains. Tuesday (7/20) and Wednesday (7-21)flatter western flow could push the warmer spots to 90 before front comes through wed. Truughing into the northeast Thu (7/22) into next weekend and despite the lower heights hot air from the west pushes east. It looks like when we can flatten the flow or pop heights we can get some heat into the area but it'll be a fine line between near normal / cooler than normal (dry) and some stronger heat next weekend into the week of 7/26. Beyond there the western atlantic ridge is expanding west as we close out the month. Western heat - trough into the GL, warm - hot humd pattern may return to start next month. Should these ridges link, then its off to the races 2001 style, but thats way out there. Best to bet on any dry periods being brief for now and bias warm once to next or past next weekend
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And more to come now with the line of storms in NNJ
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Thanks i had the older normals from my site still. Much appreciated.
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Earlier storm totals EWR: 1.97 LDJ (linden( : 0.64 TEB: 0.38 NYC: 0.29
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7/17 New Brunswick: 94 TEB: 94 PHL: 94 TTN: 93 EWR: 93 NYC: 91 ACY: 91 LGA: 91 BLM: 89 ISP: 87 JFK: 87
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7/17 New Brunswick: 94 TEB: 94 PHL: 94 TTN: 93 EWR: 93 NYC: 91 ACY: 91 LGA: 91 BLM: 89 ISP: 87 JFK: 87
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https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/GIFS/GOES16-NE-GEOCOLOR-600x600.gif
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July 3 and Jul 13 were the main culprits so far with this month's lower departures but that is aninteresting catch on the onshore NE sections and NE. We'll see if Sunday can reach 80 with storms.
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11AM Round up The heat is on ahead of the front EWR: 90 ACY: 90 New Brnswck: 90 BLM: 88 PHL: 88 EWR: 87 NYC: 87 LGA: 87 TEB: 87 TTN: 87 ISP: 85 JFK: 84
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I must have NYC using different averages? I am showing -0.2 thrugh 16-Jul
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Departures through 7/17 EWR: +2.1 BLM: +2.0 TTN: +1.3 ISP: +0.7 LGA: +0.6 TEB: +0.3 JFK: +0.1 NYC: -0.2
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88/73 and a few hours before clouds/storms arrive with a cold front. Should notch 90s area wide before the PM storms. Cool front comes through later and slow to clear by Mon pm. Wouldnt take too much if Monday remained more cloudy as these fronts crawl through. Beyond there near normal for the hottest peak of summer. The warmer spots may touch 90 Tue and Wed but its less Florida like and with less rain. Heat factory out west in full production. Pieces of that heat will break off eastwards and despite a trough into the northeast its a matter of how far north the heat can get in the 7/24 - 7/26 period. Beyond there to end the month it looks like that heat out west grows eastward with the Western Atlantic Ridge progressing westwards by early next month.
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7/16 EWR: 96 LGA: 95 ACY: 94 PHL: 94 BLM: 94 TEB: 93 New Brnswck: 93 TTN: 91 NYC: 91 ISP: 89 JFK: 89
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7/16 EWR: 96 LGA: 95 ACY: 94 PHL: 94 BLM: 94 TEB: 93 New Brnswck: 93 TTN: 91 NYC: 91 ISP: 89 JFK: 89
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Hot in the city today. Proably 24 - 30 more hours of the current humid/heat before the cold front arrives Saturday. Today mid to perhaps upper 90s in the hot spots and perhaps even the park can get to 90. Tomorrow a race to 90 ahead of clouds and some strong rains/storms. Sunday and perhaps most or part of Monday looking like a cloudy hung up front kind of day before a few days ofdrier warmer weather with the warmer spots may tough 90 Tue (7/21) and Wed (7/22). Thu (7/23) - Sun (7/25) despite the trough into the north east a piece of the western heat blows east and we'll see what the north/south cutoff is of 80s vs 90s that period. Euro lost the sharp cool down that period. Beyond there closing out the last week of the month and start to the next month, looks more warm to hot at times and likely continued rain chances. Noon Roundup EWR: 92 LGA: 91 ACY: 90 BLM: 90 New Brnswck: 90 PHL: 89 NYC: 88 TEB: 88 TTN: 87 ISP: 86 JFK: 86
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Overall warm to hot pattern. 3 days are bringing the monthly departures down 11 of the 15 at EWR and other stations are above the daily averages. Cooler summers like 2004, 2009, 2000 didnt have the persistent warmth of this Jun and Jul (so far). We'll see how cool we can get 7.23 - 725.
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7/15 TEB: 94 New Brnswck: 91 LGA: 91 EWR: 91 PHL: 91 ACY: 90 TTN: 90 BLM: 88 ISP: 88 NYC: 88 JFK: 87
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7/15 TEB: 94 New Brnswck: 91 LGA: 91 EWR: 91 PHL: 91 ACY: 90 TTN: 90 BLM: 88 ISP: 88 NYC: 88 JFK: 87
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11AM Roundup EWR: 86 BLM: 86 New Brnswck: 86 ISP: 85 ACY: 85 PHL: 84 JFK: 84 TEB: 84 TTN: 83 NYC: 83 LGA: 81
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84/69 and mostly sunny now. If we maintain the sun - today should overperform on temps. Same goes for tomorrow when 850 temps spike to >18c. With enough sun we should see the warmer spots push upper 90s. Saturday is a timing of the front on whether we can make more 90s. Sunday front is slow to move through with more storms and rain continuing into Monday before clearing out. Mon 7/19 - Thu 7/22 : near normal, piece of the western heat may push a day of heat. Beyond there next weekend 7/24 -25 looks to potentially have a candian cool (how cool can it go) airmass before a transition back to the warm to hot pattern.
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7/14 EWR: 93 PHL: 93 ACY: 92 LGA: 91 New Brnswck: 90 BLM: 90 TEB: 89 TTN: 88 ISP: 87 NYC: 87 JFK: 86
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7/14 EWR: 93 PHL: 93 ACY: 92 LGA: 91 New Brnswck: 90 BLM: 90 TEB: 89 TTN: 88 ISP: 87 NYC: 87 JFK: 86
