SACRUS

Noon Round up EWR: 95 LGA: 94 New Brnswck: 93 NYC: 92 TEB: 91 BLM: 91 ACY: 90 TTN: 89 JFK: 89 PHL: 89 ISP: 86

overall warm to hot pattern break 7/1 - 7/4 then back to the heat next week once the front / ULL clear through.

Once passed the front/ ULL Jul 1 - 4th, heat rebounds by Jul 6th and it looks very warm - hot into the second week of Jul from this distance.

Heat is on and only looks like a break between next surge of ridging / heat. Mid / upper 90s today and tomorrow, perhaps 100 in EWR / LGA, may be close. Pop up storms possible later and more chances Wed. ECM and GFS now bring front through on Thu - Sat with cut off low staying west of the area and brining shower/ storms Sun (fourth). Still have to work out the timing but the RIdge is stubborn and that means extended unsettled weather 7/1 - 7/4. Not sure its a complete washout Sunday but looks very unstteled. Beyond there the heat returns next week as ridging and heat from the heat factory in the rockies and northwest traverses east. More 90s by Tuesday (7/6) with 850 temos >16 - 18C.

Hot in the city tonight 2200 LGA: 89 EWR: 88 NYC: 85 PHL: 85

6/29 Records EWR: 100 (1959) NYC: 101 (1934) LGA: 100 (1934) TTN: 100 (194) JFK: 99 (1959) New Brunswick: 98 (1959)

yes will do that over the weekend. If you can provide prior years that would be best.

12z ECM / GFS continue with brunt of storms/ rain coming throgh Fri - Sat. Fourth as of now looking potentially dry outside some morning storms. Fri - Sat not the best

6/28 EWR: 99 LGA: 96 TEB: 95 BLM: 94 New Brnswck: 94 PHL: 94 TTN: 92 NYC: 92 ACY: 90 JFK: 86 ISP: 85

6/28 EWR: 99 LGA: 96 TEB: 95 BLM: 94 New Brnswck: 94 PHL: 94 TTN: 92 NYC: 92 ACY: 90 JFK: 86 ISP: 85

Western Atlantic Ridge pumping heights and heat / humidity. So far much more clear than Saturday and it looks to be off to the races and full steam ahead the next days. Mid - upper 90s (in the warmer spots). 850 temps >18c through Thu pm. 81/72 here. Pop up showers (Florida style) the next few days could produce some scattered heavy rains between the high heat. Most area should tack on 3 or 4 more 90 degree days. GFS and ECM still not fully aligned on timing and extent / duration of the front but both bring the brunt of the storms into the area by Fri (7/2) and into Sat (7/3) as the Western Atlantic Ridge is pushed east and subsequent front and cold front come through. Jul 4th could be mainly storm or rain free but still a bit unstable. Some heavier rains and will all be dependent if the ridge is stubborn to move out and front gets hung up or if it can clear and stall in the south (GA/N-S C) Longer range heights look to balloon again towards the middle of next week. Looks to be warm to hot again with more 90s by Jul 8th.

12z ECM continues to show the front coming through Fri - Sat as the ridge is tugged east with rain Fri and Sat. GFS seems to be trending slower with the front and now has rain in two parts Sat and Sin night (late) and monday. Still plenty of time to track this front. Otherwise looking warm but stormy

Rare day with 90 at NYC and 89 at LGA. South winds and clouds muddied LGA. Full 'steam' ahead.

6/27 EWR: 95 TEB: 92 BLM: 91 PHL: 91 New Brnswck: 91 NYC: 90 TTN: 90 LGA: 89 ACY: 86 JFK: 82 ISP: 82

6/27 EWR: 95 TEB: 92 BLM: 91 PHL: 91 New Brnswck: 91 NYC: 90 TTN: 90 LGA: 89 ACY: 86 JFK: 82 ISP: 82

More breaks now but till plenty of clouds around. 11AM 84 / 73 CNJ.

1966 was blazing away on this date with more 100s around the city and NJ 101 in EWR

Between the pop up deluges and the slow front (7/2 - 7/3) could see some hefty totals by 7/4.

Low level clouds burning off now. 78/72 here should be a fast rise once we get into the sun. http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/site/imgs/vis_nj_anim.gif

Likely a break from 90s 7/2 - 7/6

Season of the Western Atlantic Ridge commencing. The heat is on and humidity. Florida weather for the next 5 days Sun (6/27) - Thu (7/1). Pop showers and rain could out some heavy amounts scattered around the area over the next 5 days. Look for sun showers too. But while sunny temps low to mid 90s and perhaps upper 90s in the warmer spots. Dewpoints in the low 70s or higher should yield lows in the upper 70s and 80s in LGA, NYC, JFK potentialluy. Winds will be mainly S-SW. GFS and ECM now a bit more aligned as the W Atlantic Ridge pushes east with subsequent front in the 7/2 - 7/4 period. Right now both clear the area by late on Saturday (7/3) and allow for a mainly dry warm/nice Jul 4th. Beynond there heights resume to build as ridging builds back into the East coast and we may be soaring again with heat and humidity by the 8th. Overall warm to hot but plenty of precip mixed in between.

8 days away ECM and GFS have the W Atlantic ridge backing east between 7/2 - 7/5 and with it a subsequent front and possible cut off low. Timing to be narrowed down as these ridges can be stubborn to retreat and hung up front tendencies. OH Valley and GL area look to be the wettest but front will need to clear by some point and right now at this 8 day range both models show the brunt of the rain and showers 7/2-7/3 and Sunday the fourth drying out.

6/26 EWR: 86 TTN: 85 PHL: 85 New Brnswck: 85 LGA: 85 BLM: 83 TEB: 83 NYC: 83 ACY: 82 JFK: 80 ISP: 78

Some showers now south to north

Florida style pattern has arrived. Dewpoints into or near 70s. Clouds probably in the way of many 90s today but more sun starting Sunday will get most there. Season of the Western Atlantic Ridge. Ridge backs west over the area through early July with high heights and 850 temps >18c, plenty of mid 90s and some upper 90s on the sunnier days, but expect (much like Florida) storms to fire each day Sun (6/27) - Thu (7/1). Beyond there, a split and a reverse ECM now maintains ridging stronger and front and any closed off low well west into the Ohio valley, while the GFS has the ULL come through between 7/2 - 7/4. Id say take the compromise, thie W Atlantics ridge means business and beyond the July 4th weekend it looks to remain warm to hot overall.