SACRUS

First heatwave for many sites today as temps look to heat up ahead of any storms this afteroon. Tue (6/8) and Wed (6/9) more storms but still warm and with enough sun places coulsd reach 90s but it'll be close. Cool down (Thu 6/10) - much of the next 7 days as the ridges split with the Rockies ridge pulling west and the WAR shunted east. Likely a wet period with temps near normal or below during the rainiest times. Beyond there 6/18 and on the Rockies ridge cranks and trough pushes into the WC. The Rockies ridge pushes east and likely setting up the next heat spike for the northeast in the 6/19 - 6/23 period.

6/6 TEB: 98 EWR: 97 LGA: 95 BLM: 95 ACY: 94 New Brnswck: 93 PHL: 93 NYC; 92 TTN: 92 ISP: 90 JFK: 87

6/6 TEB: 98 EWR: 97 LGA: 95 BLM: 95 ACY: 94 New Brnswck: 93 PHL: 93 NYC; 92 TTN: 92 ISP: 90 JFK: 87

Misleading as many NYC/NJ metro places have hit 90 5 or 6 times already counting today

2PM round up EWR: 96 (97 so far) BLM: 95 LGA: 94 New Brnswck: 93 PHL: 92 TEB: 92 TTN: 91 NYC: 91 (92 so far) ACY: 90 ISP: 88 (90 so far) JFK: 86

Even NYC (central park) should get their 'first' 90 f the season today with the area seeing widespread mid to perhaps upper 90s in the hot spots. Hot through Wed but clouds and storms may limit 90s on Tuesday and maybe wed. Cooler stretch 6/11 - 6/14 as trough and subsequent ULL meanders around the E US. Exact progression of that still to be determined. But overall warm to hot June looks to be the theme as we see guidance bringing back heat by the middle of the month. 10AM Round up EWR: 88 BLM: 86 LGA:86 ACY: 85 New Brnswck: 85 PHL : 85 TEB: 85 TTN: 83 JFK: 83 NYC: 83

6/5 EWR: 95 LGA: 94 PHL: 93 BLM: 92 New Brnswck: 92 TEB: 91 TTN: 90 ACY: 90 NYC: 89 JFK: 87 ISP: 84

6/5 EWR: 95 LGA: 94 PHL: 93 BLM: 92 New Brnswck: 92 TEB: 91 TTN: 90 ACY: 90 NYC: 89 JFK: 87 ISP: 84

Hot town summer in the city Noon roundup EWR: 88 ACY: 87 New Brnswck: 87 PHL: 86 LGA: 85 TEB: 84 TTN: 84 BLM: 84 NYC: 84 JFK: 80 ISP: 79

11AM Roundup EWR: 84 New Brnsck: 84 ACY: 83 PHL: 83 TEB: 82 TTN: 82 BLM: 82 LGA: 82 JFK: 79 NYC: 79 ISP: 78

Interesting 2010 had its longest stretch of non 90s degree readings (maxes) Jun 7 - Jun 20 for many sites then it didnt go much longer than a few days between 90s the rest of the summer s.

81 / 67 here and mostly sunny. Should see low / mid 90s today and finally the first 90s at LGA and NYC. Heatwave likely Sat - Mon. Tue should be close but storms and clouds could limit 90s. Wed should ratchet up more 90s before cold front arries by Thu PM. 6/11 - 6/14 looks cooler and ULL/cut off potential as ridges split with weakness near the EC. We'll see how long it meanders and where any ULL winds up. Beyond there it looks like any cool down will be another speedbump in an overall warm to hot June. What a difference a week makes 40 degrees warmer than last Saturday (Memorial weekend(

Record highs could be challenged 6/5, 6/6 6/5: EWR: 92 (1966) LGA: 91 (1953) 6/6: EWR: 94 (2010) LGA: 93 (2010) 6/7: EWR: 99 (199) LGA: 97 (2010, 1999)

Some clearing now working east into the area now near WNJ. 6/6 - 6/11 hazy hot and humid the likes we havent seen in early June in 10 years. 6/11 - 6/14 cool down and then ridge looks to rebuild into the EC. As BW alluded to the peak of the heat goes north of the area but 850 temps >16C on a NW flow should get the area its first heatwave (even the park if it can dry out) between Saturday and Wednesday. Think we are talking 90 / low 90s and maybe some mid 90s max. Guidance dies look to build in more heat in the longer range so riding the overall warmer to hot theme this June seems like a good bet.

Onward and upward with temps we go, and the first chance at a heatwave during the 6/6 - 6/11 period. Hazy hot and humid type week which have not been that common in the first half of June the last 10 years outside 2010 / 2011. You'd have to go back to 2008 for the high heat in early June but thats not likely next week more 90 / low 90s and mid 90s peak in the hot spots. Beyond there models to indicate a cooldown in the 6/12 - 6/14 period but looking like an overall warmer first half of June that should carryover into the longer range and rest of June.

Still think there may be a weakness in the ridge and pseudo cut off can bring onshore and clouds Jun 5 - 8 ish, otherwise much warmer overall into mid June is looking liekly.

48 and some moderate rain really picking up again. 2.29 in the bucket with another inch to come. 72 hours removed from warm mid 80s on Thursday and likely 72 hours away from the next shot at 80. Not sure how quick we clear out on Memorial day but it should be salvaged from this early winter like sham we have been muddling through . Beyond there GFS more west / closer with ridging along the Atlantic coast, ECM is more east and weakness in the flow towards Thu 6/3 - Sat 6/5 before ridge builds in fully. Either way once past today, warmer times ahead (not too difficult to accomplish). Bermuda high positions 6/2 onward with humid, warmer conditions and next shot at heat arriving by 6/6. Overall much warmer and stormier chances with brief cool down due mainly to onshore flow with any weakness caught up in the flow for a time but much warmer than this anomalous weather.

EWR record low 5/29: 40 (1936) 5/30: 39 (1949) 5/31: 44 (1938)

34 years ago we had the 1987 heatwave. Rain tapering off now. 2.20 in the summer bucket since 3PM Friday. Im expecting another inch and area east of the GSP into NYC/ LI and CT >2 on sunday am.

Past memorial Days EWR Date --------------- Hi / low (rain) 2020 - May 25 : 77 / 58 () 2019 - May 27: 82 / 64 () 2018 - May 28 : 71 / 56 () 2017 - May 29 : 61 / 57 (0.19) 2016 - May 30 : 83 / 69 (1.57) 2015 - May 25 : 90 / 60 () 2014 - May 26: 88/ 60 () 2013 - May 27: 76 / 46 () 2012 - May 28: 91 / 70 () 2011 - May 30: 92 / 71 ().35) 2010 - May 31 : 89 / 66 (0.02) 2009 - May 25 : 84 / 63 () 2008 - May 26 : 84 / 54 () 2007 - May 28 : 86 / 66 () 2006 - May 29 : 94 / 63 () 2005 - May 30 : 78 / 58 () 2004 - May 31 : 66 / 57 (0.36) 2003 - May 26 : 50 / 51 (1.29) 2002 - May 27 : 76 / 60 () 2001 - May 28 : 75 / 58 (0.04) 2000 - May 28 : 66 / 54 () 1999 - May 31 : 90 / 64 () 1998 - May 25 : 70 / 60 (0.53) 1997 - May 26 : 72 / 55 () 1996 - May 27 : 65 / 52 (0.13) 1995 - May 28 : 82 / 60 (0.95) 1994 - May 30 : 88 / 58 ()

Was down to 45 last night and now up to a balmy 48 on this what feels more like Christmas Weekend. 2.01 in the bucket and still raining anyone who was fearing a long lasting dry spell or even a drought should just look at the last and most recent 15 similar dry spells and how they ended much like this, with a deluge. Reports of power outages last night with the stiff NE wind and gusts to 30 + MOHs. Socked in clouds through and perhaps even Memorial day itself. This does look to be just a speed bump in the overall switch to warmer that started in mid May, albeit a speed bump that busts a few tires (worst timing too). Ridging building along the east coast should dominate the next week to ten days with more SW flow estabishing June 2nd 'bermuda high. Warm and humid with spikes of heat and brief cooldowns and storms firing routinely. The park may need a week to dry out before approaching 90 but other warmer spots, including LGA may see 90s as soon as Jun 6th. So hang in there a 50 more hours and it should be right back to a more classic hazy humid and warm - hot before you know it. I think the GFS may be a bit too cloudy / wet Tue - Fri this week, we shall see. Here's hoping anyway

The last hour or so before louds arrive and linger the next 60 hours with rain and NE / ENE winds on what should be the coolest Memorial Day weekend. 65 degrees now and should be the warmest readings till Sunday. This is a speed bump in the overall warmth we started in Mid May as guidance continues to show ridging to build along the east coast / Bermuda High type weather. Humid warm and chance or some heat on occasoin Jun 2 - Jun 6. Beyond that perhaps brief cooldown before heights rise again.

You can count on it, at least during the last 15 years for sure.

0.30 in the bucket with the storms yesterday after a high of 91. w Enjoy the sun and warmth today, we;ll see if the warmer spots can grab 90, it may be close. Big speed bump for summer weather coming on the first summer weekend Fri (5/28) - Sun 5/30) cool and wet pending on breaks of rain and some breaks in clouds as Don and BW have alluded to, many spots in stuck in the 50s. Monday does look to transition to warmer once we clear out. Warmer more humid times ahead, seeing ridging showing up along the coast Jun 2 - 6 (Classic Bermuda high position??) but bias humid vs heat. We'll see if we can add 90s or get NYC/LGA crew the first of the season in that window id say one is on the table. It does look to get warmer again way out there in 6/8 timeframe. Overall warm and wetter, sounds familiar. June has been the month where outside of 2010, 2012 featured limited heat the last decade or so.