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SACRUS

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Everything posted by SACRUS

  1. SACRUS
    18Z GEFS Total QPF mean
  2. SACRUS
    18Z Euro Total QPF through 144 with seemingly more to come
  3. SACRUS
    EURO AI AI FS Total QPF
  4. SACRUS
    Updating.
  5. SACRUS
    GFS Total QPF was only a trace at 12z
  6. SACRUS
    GFS AIFS Total QPF
  7. SACRUS
    1/20 18Z Total QPF ICON: (120H) in line with 12z GFS: 0.3 - 0.4 GFS AID: 0.5 - 0.6 GEFS: 0.6 Euro AI AIFS: 0.6 - 0.7 Euro : 0.9 - 1.1(+) through and more to come (144H)
  8. SACRUS
    One consistent trend is this is more a Sun (PM) - Mon (PM) or even early Tue (AM) event.
  9. SACRUS
    Final 12z - solid snowstorm on 8 of 9 outputs
  10. SACRUS
    EPS Total QPF Mean
  11. SACRUS
    GGEM / GEPS
  12. SACRUS
    Good catch that was meant to be a 20 (2/12/2012) I will update
  13. SACRUS
    06z only goes to 144 00z (/20) was 1.0 (QPF) and now 0.7 - NYC
  14. SACRUS
    12z Euro toral QPF
  15. SACRUS
    12z updated
  16. SACRUS
  17. SACRUS
  18. SACRUS
  19. SACRUS
  20. SACRUS
    Updated with the Euro coming now
  21. SACRUS
    Euro AI AIFS Total QPF
  22. SACRUS
    Updated scoring
  23. SACRUS
    GEFS total QPF - Mean
  24. SACRUS
    Still more coming total (QPF)
  25. SACRUS
    Bottom-line guidance (recent assessment) Best single model for East Coast winter storms: ECMWF IFS Best long-range track sanity check: GraphCast / AIFS Worst use of AI: trusting snowfall maps or precip type Best blend: AI for where, physics for how much & what type
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