SACRUS

36 so far chilly, breezy. Dry weekend warmup Sunday.

So close yet so far away - waving

Cooler/cold look with trough into the east to close the month and start of next - some stronger cold nearby as well in this timeframe.

Cold period 2/17 NYC: 36 / 26 (-5) LGA: 38 / 27 (-4) EWR: 38 / 27 (-3) JFK: 39 / 29 (-1) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2/18 JFK: 32 / 22 (-8) EWR: 30 / 20 (-11) NYC: 27/19 (-13) LGA: 28 / 20 (-13) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

1979 Feb 17 - 19 Presidents Day Storm (Blizzard) https://vlab.noaa.gov/web/nws-heritage/-/unpredictable-the-president-s-day-storm-of-1979

NYC Feb 19, 1972 : 5.2 inches of snowfall 1979: 12.2 inches of snowfall (PDI Blizzard)

Records: Highs: EWR: 69 (2017) NYC: 66 (1997) LGA: 66 (2017) JFK: 68 (2017) Lows: EWR: 1 (1936) NYC: 1 (1936) LGA: 9 (2015) JFK: 9 (2015) Historical: 1884 - Severe thunderstorms spawned sixty tornadoes in the southeastern U.S., killing more than 420 persons and causing three million dollars damage. Georgia and the Carolinas hardest were hit in the tornado outbreak. (David Ludlum) 1888 - A tornado struck Mount Vernon IL. The tornado killed sixteen persons along its 62 mile path. (David Ludlum) 1888: Severe thunderstorms over southern Illinois spawned a violent tornado in Jefferson County and devastated the southeast half of Mount Vernon. The tornado killed 24 people, injured 80 others, and destroyed or damaged 300 homes and 50 businesses. In addition, overturned wood stoves ignited many fires in the wreckage. The tornado currently stands as the 9th deadliest Illinois tornado on record and was one of the first disasters to which the American Red Cross responded. 1954 - High winds across the southern half of the Great Plains, gusting to 85 mph, caused the worst duststorms since the 1930s. Graders were needed in places to clear fence high dirt drifts. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - A winter storm over the southern and central Rockies produced 28 inches of snow at Echo Lake CO, and two feet of snow at Gascon NM and Los Alamos NM. Mora County NM was declared a disaster area following the storm. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Showers and thunderstorms in the southeastern U.S. drenched Valdosta GA with more than five inches of rain, and the 24 hour rainfall total of 7.10 inches at Apalachicola FL more than doubled their previous 24 hour record for February. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - An upper level weather disturbance brought heavy snow to parts of Nebraska, with six inches reported at Loup City and Surprise. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - A moist Pacific storm worked its way into New Mexico and southern Colorado. Up to 36 inches of snow blanketed the Wolf Creek and Red Mountain passes of southwest Colorado, and up to 15 inches of snow was reported around Trinidad. In New Mexico, the eastern slopes of the Sangre de Cristo Mountains were blanketed with 9 to 28 inches of snow, and 50 to 60 mph wind gusts were reported from Taos to Albuquerque. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2011 - Strong winds reaching as high as 40 mph with gusts to 53 mph topple the 48 year old National Christmas tree. The 42 foot tall Colorado blue spruce sat just south of the White House on the Ellipse. It was transplanted there from York, Pennsylvania in 1978. The Weather Doctor

19 / 1 off a low of 13. At or near freezing as the cold continues. Mainly dry next 4- 5 days. The once potential major snowstorm is staying well south and perhaps a period of snow flurries or showers is possible. Moderation by the weekend and into early next week. Cold does seem to be forecast to reload and remain nearby after any moderation as we move into the close of the month and start of next. Perhaps some late inning snow awaits before a meaningful change in the pattern to warmer.

Temps firgid into the N Plains and GL

Cold period 2/17 NYC: 36 / 26 (-5) LGA: 38 / 27 (-4) EWR: 38 / 27 (-3) JFK: 39 / 29 (-1)

Records: Highs: EWR: 71 (2011) NYC: 68 (1981) LGA: 67 (2011) JFK: 67 (2011) Lows: EWR: -1 (1979) NYC: 0 (1979) LGA: 0 (1979) JFK: 2 (1979) Historical: 1899 - While much of the central and eastern U.S. was recovering from the most severe cold wave of modern history, the temperature at San Francisco soared to 80 degrees to establish a record for month of February. (David Ludlum) 1959 - Some of the higher elevations of California were in the midst of a five day storm which produced 189 inches of snow, a single storm record for North America. (13th-19th) (David Ludlum) 1987 - A small but intense low pressure system combined with northerly upslope winds to produce eight inches of snow in five hours at Meeteetsie WY, located southeast of Cody. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thunderstorms soaked the Central Gulf Coast Region with heavy rain. Totals in southern Louisiana ranged up to 8.50 inches near the town of Ridge, with 6.55 inches at Plaguemine. Thunderstorms in northern Florida drenched Apalachicola with 5.41 inches of rain in 24 hours, and produced wind gusts to 75 mph at Mayo. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Low pressure off the coast of North Carolina brought freezing rain and heavy snow to Virginia and the Carolinas. Snowfall totals in Virginia ranged up to 18 inches at Franklin. Freezing rain reached a thickness of two inches around Charlotte NC. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - An intense but slow moving Pacific storm worked its way across Utah over a two day period. The storm blanketed the valleys with 4 to 12 inches of snow, and produced up to 42 inches of snow in the mountains. Heavy snow also fell across northern Arizona. Williams received 22 inches of snow, and 12 inches was reported along the south rim of the Grand Canyon. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1992: A thunderstorm spawned a powerful F4 tornado for so far north for the time of the year in southern Van Wert County in Ohio. The tornado touched down just west of US Route 127 and traveled northeastward for about 3 miles. One house was completely leveled, and nine others experienced severe damage. Six people were injured.

21 / 1 off a low of 17. Coldest day since Jan 23rd and looks to be coldest of the week and perhaps till next winter? Below freezing and lows back into the teens and near single digits. Overall cold and drier this week (swing and a miss on the potential bigger storm but that was becoming more apparent by Sat night). Moderation by the coming weekend and to close the month or 21 - 25th. Does looks to be a bit of a back and forth and more cold to close the month and perhaps open next month. next shot at meaningful precip looks to be in the 27 - Mar 3 period.

JFK

One wonky option would be if individual states decided which is the current law (AZ, HI, PR dont use Daylight savings time) Can you imagine scenario example - where PA blocks DST and NY stays all year on DST, and while NJ keeps the current two?

NYC Warmest : Dec: 60 (12/11) Jan: 52 (1/29) Feb: 49 (2/3)

Stanard time ends March 9th. I havent seen any additional movement on the two varying opinions/bills that are being talked for reamaining on Standard time or Daylight savings time and it would be hard pressed to have any approvals by the 9th. Leaving three options: 1. We change ahead and perhaps a bill is passed to stay on Standard time and clocks change in November and stay 2. A daylight savings time initiative is passed before November and we change clocks ahead in March and this is the last time, they stay there. 3. And the most likely no bills are passes through the house or senate and we remain on the 2 time (Standard Nov-Mar and Daylight savings Mar-Oct) policy.

I can access Newark 1929-1930, 1931-1932, 1931-1932 bus im sure it'll be close to the MYC 10.1 3 year avg. if you expand the subset to 5 consecutive seasons 27-32 will be the lowest avg i can find.

I think BW was doing an aggregate of all stations you requested.

Did you run this stretch - i can get EWR 1929-1930: 13.6 inches1930- 1931: 11.6 inches1931-1932: 5.3 inches

Added some more stretches above.

In NYC A few times came close most notably this stretch 1927-1928: 14.5 inches 1928-1929: 13.8 inches 1929-1930: 13.6 inches 1930- 1931: 11.6 inches 1931-1932: 5.3 inches then this one 1949-1950: 13.8 inches 1950-1951: 11.6 inches 1951-1952: 19.7 inches 1952- 1953: 15.1 inches 1953- 1954: 15.8 inches 1954-1955: 11.5 inches And this one 1996-1997: 10 Inches 1997-1998: 5.5 Inches 1998-1999: 12.7 Inches 1999-2000: 16.3 Inches

JFK: 36.6 LGA: 34.8 EWR: 34.6 NYC: 34.1

1958

Feb dep and precip through Feb 16 NYC: -0.8 (2.58 in) Snow: 6.7inches LGA: -0.5 (2.62 in) Snow 7.3 inches EWR: +0.7 (2.8 in) Snow 6.3 inches JFK: +3.0 (3.17 in) Snow 6.4 inches

With the southweast progression forecasted for the Wed-THu system - its looks like a generally dry week