NorthShoreWx

https://patch.com/connecticut/branford/then-and-now-three-times-a-century?fbclid=IwY2xjawO-islleHRuA2FlbQIxMQBzcnRjBmFwcF9pZA80MDk5NjI2MjMwODU2MDkAAR7I7VfT2I1ml9MVxPQs5PnCcMvpFnBcO0uEYsFjjkArKVKr6InglMmr09clOg_aem_J0fJPAJ8ylgDdejmSaL_IQ

Down to 30.7⁰ / DP 26⁰. Precip will be spotty and light this evening, but probably icy.

31.8⁰ DP 25 in Smithtown. I'm well versed in the whole wind off the water/ raining when it gets here thing, but I'm wondering now if we shouldn't be looking out for a little freezing rain near the coast too.

Nice catch with the eagle!

Melted the snow that was caught in the 4" gage down to .59". That works out to 9:1 on our 5.3" snowfall. Not surprising as I noticed a lot of small crappy flakes for most of the storm. Second snowfall in a row with light winds where the catch in the gage was quite accurate. Just about all of the models had us around or over .50 LE, including the NAM. A couple runs of the GFS were .8 or .9, but otherwise the qpf modeling for LI was pretty consistent and quite accurate. The snow map algorithms were not as consistent or accurate.

Undoubtedly they found a way, but it's hit and miss. These are from when the Sound partially froze over in 2015 (can't believe it's been almost 11 years). A bit chunky, but Mrs and I found a spot to stand.

I've heard of that at other times too, but practically speaking that wasn't an easy walk. With the tides still moving every cycle, there would have been pressure ridges and cracks; not smooth ice.

Fair enough and most people feel that way, but out here we had 12 - 15" of snow from the March 2001 storm, so less than was forecasted at the time, but not a disaster imby.

I try to be honest, but it can be rather subjective. More than 50% with at least an inch; is there an app for that? If my snowboard or snow stake spot is bare, that's an argument against, although there are exceptions to every rule. If the wind strength and direction scoured my entire property bare, but every where else is buried...calling that 0 snowcover is inaccurate. If I have an eight foot deep drift remaining while the rest of planet earth is bare, averaging it out against the rest of Tara and calling an average of an inch is BS too. It's a judgement call and no one who wasn't there can dispute it with any certainty. For reference, we haven't actually had any accumulating snow here since 1978.

In February 1983, we still had a few inches of icy snow left from a moderate snowfall the week before the blizzard. Of course the melt out following the blizzard was epic. Excellent lasting snowpack in both 2014 and 2015. Even 2001 was decent.

I would think water content would be more meaningful than depth. Not that measuring air has no value.

Maybe the ground isn't frozen yet

I should add that yesterday's calendar day 4.3" ends our streak of not having a 4" daily total at 12. Now we begin a new streak.

I cry on the inside when people post calls for its summary execution. It's still usually deadly within 24 hours, although I'll admit it doesn't seem as good as it used to be and there have been one or two spectacular fails in recent times.

This is an important question since the nature of the rest of the winter depends on the answer.

In other news, as last nights storm marches inexorably towards Bermuda, the 312 hour GFS says be very afraid. Who is starting the storm thread? Like any good unhinged lunatic, I'm going skiing. See ya later.

We do...but I'm not convinced that is what we saw last night.

Was the snow off the ocean really OES...or was it the IVT?

Smithtown, NY 5.3" (13.0" season total, 28.4" calendar year 2025)

It is what it is. First heavy band was most of the storm so far.

North Smithtown, NY, 12AM S- 26/24 12/26 snowfall through midnight 4.3"

We had 3.2" an hour ago. Probably close to 4" now. 23/21

That band is narrow, but moving slowly east. If it stalls someone just to the east will get clobbered. Snow is much lighter here now. 22/19

Started at 5:17. 1.3" as of 6:02 (45 minutes). That's 2"/hour. Looks like the rate will lessen a bit though. 21.7/18.7

First wee flurries in Smithtown, 5:17pm 26/9