-
Posts
5,510 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by NorthShoreWx
-
36/31 here with nothing more than a few sprinkles over the past hour. 9" of snow at the stake. It's hard to put all of the declarations that winter is gone in context with the view out the window a couple of hours ago with light snow and sleet falling:
-
Maybe a little east of there...395? There was evidence of the usual banding, but not of any shadowing in the Hudson and CT River valleys.:
-
This needs work, but I gave it a half-hearted try: Simulated Radar Loop: March 11–14, 1888 March 11 (Evening): A low-pressure system moves up the Atlantic coast, initially appearing as a broad area of light-to-moderate rain across the Mid-Atlantic. March 12 (Midnight): As the storm reaches the New Jersey coast, it undergoes explosive cyclogenesis. On radar, you would see a sharp "rain-to-snow" line as cold Canadian air rushes in, turning precipitation into heavy, blinding snow over NYC. March 12 (Midday): The storm's "eye" or center (reaching a peak intensity of 978 hPa) sits just offshore. A massive, stationary band of intense snowfall (reflectivity values of 40+ dBZ) stalls over New York and western New England. March 13: Instead of moving out to sea, the cyclone loops counterclockwise near the southern New England coast. On a loop, the heavy snow bands would appear to rotate and pinwheel over the same regions for over 24 hours, dumping up to 22 inches in NYC and nearly 60 inches in parts of New Jersey and upstate New York. March 14: The system finally weakens and drifts east into the Atlantic, with the simulated radar showing the heavy bands breaking into scattered snow showers.
-
Light sleet 35/27. We've a light coating of new sleet / snow. The driveway is crunchy underfoot, but not slippery.
-
It's started flurrying here.
-
It won't matter if April is dry.
-
Son of a bdcf!
-
Grass is so disheartening.
-
Clearly some errors on that map. A trace in Northport? Not.
-
10" 0.1" new this morning. It started to whiten colder pavement, but fell short.
-
Not only that, but the additional hour comes at the warmest time of the day.
-
After our 56 high, it's already down to 37 here.
-
Sounds like you've prepared your argument.
-
Meanwhile, 18z NAM has .1 to .15" qpf as snow during the day Sunday and HRRR seems like it's going to do the same. Others can argue about accumulation.
-
Same here, but getting bare spots in the usual locations... where there wasn't much snow in the first place with good sun exposure. Otherwise, still deep snow cover. We hit 56⁰ today. 49⁰ now
-
Can we all bring a +1?
-
Good point. Calling the past 5 or 6 years the new normal is no more accurate than doing so in 2018 would have been. We just don't know about snowfall and the main consistency in the patterns has been the inconsistency. We do know that it's been considerably warmer on average, for whatever reasons. It was nice that this winter bucked the trend. I suspect there will be more decent winters ahead, but don't ask me which
-
The fact that this decade in NYC is still below the lowest 30 year average in the climate record is noteworthy. I think it will surpass that.
-
I think the first map is mislabeled. I believe the date was March 22, 2018, not March 29.
-
I imagine this winter might be further down the list if it ranked the two best consecutive months, rather than all three. This is ranking very high for end to end cold and snow, but I have the perception that there have been many "deeper" winters in modern times. I guess one example is 2014-2015 when the warm December of 2014 kept a great winter from making that list (although it did have a noteworthy March). Since 3 months is a long time to keep a consistent weather pattern in NYC, I suspect there would be a different distribution of slightly shorter, but more intense winter rankings. However, mulling over your data in this mindset, I have gained some respect for the historical context of the concluding meteorological winter, especially in a warming environment.
-
It's human nature. Every little hill on LI has appeared in some story, newspaper article, or ad as being the high point on LI over the years. Superlatives sell and they seem to be easier for people to talk about.
-
13 hours below freezing and 11 hours above isn't the fastest melt.
-
This winter ranks # 5 out of the last 31 winter seasons for snowfall through the end of February (north Smithtown, NY): note: average snowfall from March 1 on is 7.8" However, the past 6 winters have averaged only 0.8" after March 1. Winter Thru Feb Full Winter 1995-1996 65.5 94.9 2013-2014 64.0 68.0 2009-2010 59.5 60.1 2010-2011 58.4 60.8 2025-2026 51.3 51.3 2002-2003 50.1 62.5 2004-2005 46.3 62.9 2003-2004 46.0 56.2 2014-2015 43.1 67.0 2020-2021 41.9 41.9 2012-2013 36.4 46.0 2000-2001 34.7 50.0 2021-2022 33.9 36.2 2015-2016 33.3 38.2 2016-2017 32.6 41.6 2017-2018 30.2 65.1 2008-2009 26.7 38.2 2005-2006 20.2 24.2 2024-2025 18.3 18.3 1998-1999 14.8 25.6 2023-2024 14.6 14.6 1999-2000 14.1 16.3 2007-2008 13.4 14.0 2018-2019 9.7 21.7 1996-1997 9.5 17.3 2019-2020 9.4 9.4 2001-2002 7.1 7.3 2006-2007 6.5 11.7 2022-2023 6.0 8.6 2011-2012 4.5 4.5 1997-1998 2.7 4.3
