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NorthShoreWx

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Everything posted by NorthShoreWx

  1. I'll check it out. I haven't had TWC in over 2 years. I thought I'd miss it, but I didn't.
  2. When the irresistible force meets the immovable object, someone could wind up under a death band even if the shortwave is a little sheared. Fun to track.
  3. I'm going to say something before the models change and I can't say it anymore: At this point my area is one of the least likely parts of the greater NYC metro to have mixing issues this Friday/Saturday.
  4. That's what I did this morning (guessed). Max error in either direction < 0.1". I may be a measuring wonk, but I have my limits. I didn't put the boards out because I didn't want to disappoint the neighbors.
  5. Looks like they have been useless or worse over the past 90 days. Basically the opposite pattern of the 11-15 means was realized.
  6. It was pretty much all snow here until the past hour. Light rain now with the occasional badly decomposed snowflake mixed in. Snowfall total was 0.1" on 0.15" liquid equivalent. Have fun calculating that ratio.
  7. But that's probably sleet along the Mason-Dixon.
  8. I should have waited a few minutes. Snowing now. Slight dusting on shaded pavement. 33.8⁰
  9. Not sure, maybe, but I'm leaving open the possibility that we have one of those rare years where everything over performs like 2005. If nothing happens tomorrow or Friday, then probably not.
  10. I'm thankful that there are people like you looking out for my delicate sensibilities.
  11. 1/27-28/2004 was borderline epic here. An over-performer and we jackpotted for once.
  12. That's when it giveth...although it isn't always a slam dunk. We had about the same SWE as everybody else on 12/26/2010, but only 12" of quite dense accumulation. The screaming winds above the deck pulverized the snowflakes before they reached the ground.
  13. It's going to make it tough on the guys who rely heavily on analog years for the medium to long range.
  14. I like that it's an unusual pattern for our winters. Will be fun to see how it plays out. I noticed you have a jersey hole shadow. You might want to consider a restraining order.
  15. 28 here. The sound giveth and the sound taketh away.
  16. 850 FXUS61 KOKX 212101 CCA AFDOKX Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED National Weather Service New York NY 401 PM EST Sun Dec 21 2025 ... QPF overall will be light, largely near or under a quarter inch, which will limit any potential snowfall. Forecast amounts have not changed significantly from the previous forecast, with up to an inch along the coast, and 1 to 2 inches moving inland northof interstates 80 and 95, with highest amounts in the elevated areas of the interior LoHud Valley, interior SW Connecticut, and NE NJ. Central Park Snow Observer activation is not expected at this time.
  17. And since we'll sooner see omega humping an out of control NAM run than budget approval for a dedicated observer in the park, you know which way this is more likely to go.
  18. We spiked to 48.4 at 9:40 am and are down 2 degrees since. That's been happening a lot recently with the max, or at least a secondary max before 10am. I have no explanation for why. I noticed the same on a couple of other local sensors.
  19. HRRR has been hinting at snow showers here around 8/9pm
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