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NorthShoreWx

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Everything posted by NorthShoreWx

  1. NorthShoreWx
    Asphalt
  2. NorthShoreWx
    Without us blocking for you, Nyack becomes "the coast" and bluewave might as well be back in Long Beach.
  3. NorthShoreWx
    I found some snow today https://photos.app.goo.gl/e9GV3EYofdiq7izm9
  4. NorthShoreWx
    Jan 2015 was a fail of 50+ miles and was a major storm that impacted a lot of people in the northeast. This was much worse and the extended model agreement was greater than 2015, if only briefly.
  5. NorthShoreWx
    This is actually true
  6. NorthShoreWx
    Bugs me that the physics packages in the models would have an unusual amount of problems with the aggressive northern stream. Shouldn't that be part of their DNA, especially for the globals?
  7. NorthShoreWx
    When I was a kid we used to easily pull flounder in bunches out of Cold Spring Harbor with a hand line. I've never been a fisherman but that was easy. I assume that may have changed.
  8. NorthShoreWx
  9. NorthShoreWx
    Took more like 20 minutes in Smithtown
  10. NorthShoreWx
    Where's the warm front?
  11. NorthShoreWx
    Still 37⁰ in Smithtown. 40+ most places south of the LIE. Latest HRRR gets Smithtown up to 53⁰ at 5pm and then back down to freezing by 10pm.
  12. NorthShoreWx
    If the two forecast periods were 12 hours apart rather than 6 it would be more informative. We might be looking at the same qpf in both of those frames.
  13. NorthShoreWx
    The max temps will happen on a southwesterly surface wind.
  14. NorthShoreWx
    On the other hand, 13z HRRR gets my neighborhood (further north than most of the Bronx) into the low 50s and keeps them there between 4 and 7pm. Bottom line, that warm sector is going to be too close to rule out it blasting right into or through much of Westchester County based on waivering short term model runs. Maybe it will, maybe it won't...seen this rodeo before.
  15. NorthShoreWx
    The 11z HRRR maxed out the Bronx at 57⁰ around 4pm. The 12z HRRR maxed out the Bronx at 50⁰ around 6pm. The latest 13z HRRR maxes out the Bronx at 47⁰ around 6pm.
  16. NorthShoreWx
    At this time 10 years ago we still had almost a month to go in one of the most wintry stretches of the past century. Only 10 years ago. Wow, has it been 10 years already?
  17. NorthShoreWx
    Except for mainly the stray clipper, almost all precipitation events here in the winter arrive from the southwest in some way. I've been assuming SWFEs involve overrunning warm air in the absence of a deep trough or surface low. I realize it's more of a board classification and probably not a term one would see in text books, so I guess we'd need to look to the utility of classifying them that way to determine where to draw the lines.
  18. NorthShoreWx
    Deep cutters aren't considered SWFEs, are they?
  19. NorthShoreWx
    It's great news for the people who post there if the threads are all permanently deleted.
  20. NorthShoreWx
    True that. We're on a hill a little over a mile from the sound and the wind howls and seldom get as much snow as a few miles south of here in a true blizzard. We're 10 miles from ISP and in several of the major blizzards over the past 20 years have seen on the order of 16" while ISP is closer to 2 feet, yet the snow seems to disappear faster there. The biggest example was also the windiest; December 2010 when we barely reached 12" of dense powder. When winds are light any snowfall differences are explained only by banding or mixing issues.
  21. NorthShoreWx
    I won't miss it, but why?
  22. NorthShoreWx
    Mineola 6.5" Farmingdale 11.0" Babylon 9.5" Setauket 7.5" Riverhead 5.5"
  23. NorthShoreWx
    Max here was 43.9 The sun made a brief appearance starting shortly before 5, but it felt a little chilly with the breeze.
  24. NorthShoreWx
    The Florida panhandle probably holds on to snow longer than Manhattan.
  25. NorthShoreWx
    0.17" LE from last night and this morning's event. Estimated 0.04" was frozen (0.2" wet snow accum) prior to change over. All of the rain fell between temperatures of 34° and 37° Fog has lifted, but no sign of the sun approaching 3pm. Any clearing before sunset for central/eastern LI will be brief. 42.8° now. Max so far today has been 43.9°
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