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NorthShoreWx

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Everything posted by NorthShoreWx

  1. Temperature got up to 34 briefly during the day before falling back below freezing, but it's been warming since sunset and is now up to 37.6 with snow flurries.
  2. It doesn't even flip on LI (at least on those Pivotal p-type maps). Rare but not unheard of. Reminds me of 2-13-14 when we never got above freezing and were getting freezing rain while other places, including some inland, were getting plain rain.
  3. January 21 (today) is on average (since 1/1/1996) the coldest day of the year in Smithtown. The actual unsmoothed average of the prior thirty years on January 21 is 26.9° F (min 20.0, max 33.8). A simplistic smoothing of the data (not cubic spline) results in a normal for the date of 29.3° (min 21.8, max 36.8). Interestingly, today's weather is going to bring that average down a little. It likes to be cold at this time of year. Tomorrow is similar, but the warming trend in the averages after that is noticeable.
  4. I've seen great soundings for ratios, temps well down in the 20s, and gotten 12" of snow on 1.5" liquid in high winds. Mind you, the forecast soundings didn't verify perfectly, but the promise of high ratios was hollow. I think it happens more here because this is a windier place in a nor'easter; at least it is windier just off the deck with winds off the sound.
  5. Request for the admins: Can we add this emoji? j/k
  6. Ah, the O. Henry conundrum. Or you could self-limit voluntarily.
  7. Melted water equivalent for the weekend here was 0.50". Includes the 0.3" snow on Saturday and the 2.6" on Sunday. Roughly 6:1 ratio across both events.
  8. Meanwhile, the 12z op GFS has about 1.25" qpf in our backyards over the next 16 days and half of that is rain. It wouldn't be as much fun if everything was locked in.
  9. It could possibly be useful by Saturday morning. It is unhelpful now.
  10. Best to post qpf charts, or at least 10:1 snowfall at this point. That way everyone can make their own forecasts of ratios from a common starting point. The same water content is pretty much the same amount of snow on the ground a few days after it falls regardless of the ratio when it fell. SWE matters.
  11. 2.6" North Smithtown (includes snow that fell Sunday 1/18 through early Monday morning). Saturdays total was 0.3" Season total is 17.0"
  12. According to one source, Suffolk County is the 62nd snowiest county in the US (there are 3244 counties and parishes): https://lawnlove.com/blog/snowiest-counties/ Seems very unlikely to me. There are exactly 62 counties in NYS. There are exactly another 62 counties in VT, NH, ME, MA, & CT (plus 5 in RI, but I'm going with a 62 theme). All the same, I might add "62nd snowiest county in the US" to my sig just for shits and grins. It says so on the Internet.
  13. It's hard to find one where the scale starts at the end of the ruler. There's usually a gap before the 0-line. Of course you can measure the gap and remember to add it... pretty simple if it's = 0.1", but a bit of a pain for measuring small amounts if the gap is any larger. It is possible to think way too hard about this and I have allowed myself that luxury.
  14. It's not the second coming of the blizzard of '78, but we might squeeze out another 2 or 3 tenths after midnight.
  15. I'm usually in 16ths of an inch or millimeters if I'm feeling adventurous; I have more than one ruler in my quiver. There's a wee bit of rounding in converting to tenths of an inch. I don't do quarters, so a full .75" would be .8". An eighth of an inch is .1" 5 millimeters is .2"
  16. North Smithtown 9:30pm 2.4" This is for Sunday. 40.88, -73.21
  17. Maybe if you had some shelter when growing up you wouldn't be so jaded.
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