somecallmetim
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Everything posted by somecallmetim
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February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: Buckle Up!
somecallmetim replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
I've been around here for 25 years. Agree this kind of cold usually has an expiration date. Usually it's 24-48 hours. -
February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: Buckle Up!
somecallmetim replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
I would have loved a blizzard this weekend as much as anyone, but I'm also looking out at epic piles and 6 inches of glacier that's only down one inch in the 6 days it's been around. That's remarkable for here. Not everyone cares about pack though, so to each their own. -
I was on the mid-CT coast in 96 for the early Jan blizzard. Went into NYC for the day, and left with a forecast of light snow, but with the outside chance still of up to 4-8 if everything broke right. Came home that evening and they had activated the Emergency Broadcast System (the old school long beep), for an impending blizzard. The next morning the weather radio cycled through the three CT region forecasts. Northern CT was a Winter Storm Warning. Mid CT was the old Heavy Snow Warning. They got to the coast, and I was bracing for a forecast of a change to rain, but it was a Blizzard warning. What dreams are made of.
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With the road conditions around my neighborhood, even a 1-3 inch snowfall followed by another week of frigid weather would have a very outsized impact. Looks like my days in VT out there right now.
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I'll be 55 this year, and I expect to have the same feeling when I'm 85.
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Cold was entrenched yesterday...which to be fair, gave us the margin of error to be all frozen.
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January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage OBS Thread!
somecallmetim replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Just in from a short recon up the street and almost all ZR here in Del Ray. Temp up to 28. A "good Samaritan" snowblew the sidewalks on the next block, just in time for the ZR. -
January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage OBS Thread!
somecallmetim replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Would look a lot like the Euro map from last Monday. -
January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage OBS Thread!
somecallmetim replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Up to a 6 inch depth in Del Ray. Not clearing a board, but was just under 5 when it transitioned, so well over an inch of sleet with compaction. -
January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage OBS Thread!
somecallmetim replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
There's some light flurries falling amongst the sleet here in Del Ray Alexandria amidst the "dry slot". -
January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage OBS Thread!
somecallmetim replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
As a fellow photographer, that is an extraordinary shot. -
January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage OBS Thread!
somecallmetim replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
If I could marry a country for its beer, it would be Belgium. -
Nice to see that GIF, but glad I don't have epilepsy. Also crazy to see the 00Z Euro with a high of 15 two weeks from now.
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January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage OBS Thread!
somecallmetim replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Was out for a 90 min Jebwalk here in Alexandria--turned to sneet just as i came back about 10 minutes ago, but our rates also dropped way down. Radar reflectivity dropped by a good 10 dbz, so can't imagine that's helping. Just under 5 here depending on where i measure. -
Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
somecallmetim replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
I'd be careful trying to extrapolate any positive surprises to the SW at this point, given that part of our problem has been the strength of the primary driving to our west. Their current synoptics and ours tomorrow morning I'd think may not be comparable. And yes, TSSN+ I'm probably wrong and would love it if I am. -
Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
somecallmetim replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
I was in Vermont back in 1994 I think, and saw the thermometer at -28 overnight, only to have a storm cut and we rained the same day. -
January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage JV/Banter Thread!
somecallmetim replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
My completely armchair sense is that you can't trust it with precip amounts/intensity/placement, but it usually gets the mid-level warming right more often than not. We then spend lots of time coming up why it can't be right, will be later changeover, etc, and then it happens even earlier than predicted. Hopefully that's not the case this time, but I'm expecting to see a changeover around sunrise here in Alexandria, and will be pleasantly surprised if goes past that. I plan to get out and jebwalk at 5am while i can. -
Actually, I'm fine with the snow and sleet glacier if we get what's behind door #1 on top of it. That look reminds me of tracking the '93 Superstorm in college in VT with the rudimentary internet. I thought finding the NWS discussions was the best thing since the weather radio.
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January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage JV/Banter Thread!
somecallmetim replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
60% of the time, their method works...every time. -
Maybe we've found the true replacement for the NAM?
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Euro looks to be below freezing for about a week starting next Sat. Still low sun angle, that could be a nice solid week of snowcover if it came to pass.
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1035 high sliding directly over top could be a somewhat inhibiting factor. If anything does come later in this scenario, every flake should count. That would make me happy, as every flake is sacred, every flake is great. If any flake is wasted, I get quite irate.
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Sign me up for the Horror. I read Nuclear War: A Scenario over the holidays. This doesn't seem as bad.
