buckeyefan1

That is one legit block at the end of the GFS run

GSP Sat-Wed .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... As of 140 PM Wednesday: As the weekend storm pulls away on Saturday night and Sunday, some lingering upslope mixed precipitation will be possible along the NC-TN border but not much impact is expected. Otherwise, conditions will dry out with near normal temperatures Saturday night through Sunday night. A powerhouse storm system will begin to take shape across the south- central part of the country on Monday. A deepening upper low will move out of the southern plains toward the Great Lakes states by Monday night and Tuesday with an associated anomalously strong surface low rapidly developing and moving toward the Ohio Valley. This system looks to have a variety of impacts across the area from Monday night through Wednesday. Precipitation will rapidly spread across the forecast area on Monday night. Most of this will be rain, but there may be some high elevation snow with some light accumulations through early Tuesday before a changeover to rain. Very strong forcing and an enhanced low level focus along an eroding wedge boundary, along with upslope flow and anomalous precipitable water will create a scenario with very heavy rainfall possible on Tuesday. WPC is forecasting 3-4 inches of rain across a large portion of the forecast area Monday night and Tuesday and that seems reasonable with this setup. Models project the warm sector of this system to spread into the lower Piedmont of the Carolinas and Georgia Tuesday, so there may be some severe weather threat as well roughly along and southeast of Interstate 85. Winds may also be a concern with the strength of the surface gradient, low level jet and cold air advection on the backside of the system. Expect an improvement in conditions, but with some wind and cooler temperatures on Wednesday.

Sexist or any kind of inappropriate comments are not acceptable. Period. You know where the door is if you don’t like it

You should probably read more and post less

Listen up folks. Keep this discussion about weather and leave the disgusting sexist comments out. This will be the only warning before you find yourself on the outside looking in.

I love shiny tree tops

Pinning this because I’ll be using it a lot

Happy New Year to the Best. Peeps. Ever. the SE CREW! May this year be filled with verifying clown maps with feet of snow that stays around for the duration of winter, spring rain for beautiful flowers and a safe severe season, summer thunderboomers with a few bendy trees and tropical systems to track, followed by beautiful vibrant fall colors season filled with football, family and fun Let the fun begin

Flizzard alert

Burger!! Hopefully in the next couple of months we'll get to hear you say BOOM Maybe even more than once I'm glad you are enjoying the other side of the ocean and all of the beauty that surrounds you. Have fun celebrating the holidays and I look forward to having you stop by from time to time

22 degrees for my low this morning

It's for the system after this one EDIT: You also are showing the 18z and the one I posted was from 12z. The 18z is showing another possibility for the period around nye. EDIT#2: I can't believe I am discussing something that is 2 weeks away It's sad that it has come to this

How long will it take for the wedgy ice looking system on nye to change? Asking for a friend

That map is for 6+” not approximately 4

Same for me sir the struggle is real

There’s a shit ton of energy associated and just a slight change from any of the 3-4 pieces flying around will give various solutions. I hope the same thing happens when there’s cooler air around. The hourly meltdowns would be epic

It looks overdone. There’s a stable layer, thanks to the rain, that should prevent the higher winds from mixing to the surface. Still plenty of time for that to change of course. The mountains are a different story. I do expect the winds to be kicking at higher elevations

I'm just as frustrated as you all and I keep reminding myself that the December warmth was advertised well in advance and to be patient. I know. It's freaking hard to do after the disaster of last winter. Better times are coming. They always do. Hopefully it's sooner rather than later

Thank you for this

That system at Christmas is what will set our table as we head into peak season At least that's my story and I'm sticking to it

I know and I was super grumpy and hangry and read it wrong. My apologies sir. I believe the MJO will be entering phase 7 by mid month and phase 8 by the end of the month with 1-3 Jan into Feb. If we have to be in 4-6 with a strong Nino during the winter, I'd much rather have it in Nov-Dec. The -NAO should return by the first of the year as well and hopefully the long range is correct and it stays that way. The players should be on the field come Jan and we'll see where it goes, but I'm extremely hopeful and excited about how things should be unfolding for us.

I needed this giggle. Thank you

What part of from Christmas to the 2nd week of January is the 17th to Christmas? Sigh edit: sorry I’m grumpy and hangry this morning. There are several things that I see. I don’t have time right now to go over it, but I’ll give more details after work.

The period from Christmas to the second week of Jan and then again at the end of January to mid Feb have had my attention for a while. I’ve had my fingers crossed that there’s no can kicking coming and it holds firm.