buckeyefan1

GSP this morning .LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... As of 325 am EST Wednesday: ***Potential increasing for significant wintry precip across the mountains over the weekend.*** A very active pattern will continue for much of the extended period over the Southeast, as a series of short wave troughs/upper lows is expected to impact the region. Global model guidance is converging toward a strong consensus regarding the first of these over the weekend, as an already-potent...and still intensifying...upper low will likely be centered over the lower Miss Valley at the start of the period, and is expected to sweep across the Deep South through the end of the weekend. Resultant coastal cyclogenesis will likely bring another round of precip near...and quite possibly into the CWA from late Saturday through early Sunday. The devil will be in the details re: p-type...and those details are far from clear at this point...with the presence of any cold air available to interact with frontogenetical forcing and deformation zone depending upon the cyclone track and the cyclone`s intensity/ability to crank up the cold advection to its west. Based upon the latest guidance, this looks to be a rain/snow scenario for the time being, and we will continue to side with climatology and a ballpark consensus of thermodynamic profiles to keep any snow mention confined to the mountains...and primarily above 3000` or so at that. However, there remains plenty of time for this forecast to go sideways in either direction.

I'm pulling for you all! I can't wait to see all the beautiful pictures

Oh how sweet, GSP radar is down

That's a tight rotation on that tor warned storm headed just west of Augusta crossing I-20

Thank ya @kayman

Is this the same cell that spawned the first tornado in Alabama that hit Selma? I had a meeting at work and lost track of it

That's a pretty nasty debris sig

Pinned until the threat has passed

I've got breaks here in the upstate as well. That usually doesn't bode well for those to my east. CAE and south should keep their eyes open

I was surprised that the warm front has moved north of my location

I was watching this and I'm sure it will continue to cycle

Just a tiny spread on today's euro ens for the low placement

Here's the GFS for comparison

Ya'll, I had to post this thing of beauty again

Both models have played around with various outcomes for the 11-18th period

*Raises glass* Here's to the best second half of winter ever where fantasy blizzards lock in and verify and mood flakes fill the skies in between Happy New Year to the best amwx has to offer, the SE CREW!

If one isn't started by Friday, I'll be more than happy to do it

Let me know when you try to log in or dm me the email you are using for the account. I'm glad you stopped in

Niiiiiice! I hope you took the time to make some winter fun iyby too

I started the last one Everyone should get in on the fun

Third morning in a row with my low in the single digits. 8.9 today, 8.9 yesterday and 5.9 Saturday Currently it's 37.9 as I wait with my black construction paper and handy dandy flashlight for my flizzard to arrive

5.9 degrees was the low imby. Made it up to a balmy 25.1 this afternoon