buckeyefan1

KGSP

KAVL

KCEU

Indeed! That finger is giving me hope

Yep!

Then it squashed it. Baby steps

OMG the 12z euro is looking like this mornings control

I certainly hope my spidy senses are correct with this next couple of weeks. I can’t take too much more of these disappointments

It’s coming The control was a thing of beauty

Indeed

Same

I do too!! Although I will never turn down mood flakes or a car topper either

MBY had 2.5” as of 30ish minutes ago. It’s pouring outside

2.5” and still pouring

Already have 1.5” and it is absolutely pouring outside. Temp is 40 with a wind chill of 33

^^^^^^+1

26 degrees this morning as I look towards the west for the heavy rain heading this way

I close my eyes, take a deep breath, slowly open one eye, then fully look each day when I check it looking to see if there's been a punt

yay more rain!

I heard that was going to be in two weeks

WWBB to Eastern then here, so 20+ years EDIT: Eastern came from WWBB and AMWX from Eastern. It's been a crazy ride and I can't believe that we've survived all these years. I've made so many friends here that have become family and have had some amazing memories

@WeatherHawk You can disable all signatures in your settings

Would you rather see a kitty?

GSP says I get a 33 deg rain .SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... As of 230 PM Thursday: An active pattern for the short term as surface high pressure is nudged offshore and a series of shortwaves swing through the region. Starting off friday night, a closed upper low over the Central Plains lifts toward the northeast leaving behind a shortwave trough approaching the Appalachians. An approaching upper jet will assist with height falls ahead of the shortwaves along with a strong low level jet advecting moisture into the region Friday night. This will set the stage for precipitation to ramp up over the Carolinas. One of the key features during this time is the influence of the warm layer brought in from the LLJ and creating a deep warm nose. As moisture aloft moves in, wetbulb temps will cool the column of air and translate a saturated profile toward the surface by late Friday night. Meanwhile, the remnant high pressure to the east sets up an in-situ wedge of colder air ahead of the precip. How much cold air remains in place at the onset of precip is not entirely certain, but should be enough to allow for near freezing temps well before daybreak. The biggest concern for this storm system is the amount and location for where snow, rain, and freezing rain will take place. At the current time given the latest guidance, ice accretions of 0.05-0.24 are likely along the near the Blue Ridge Escarpment and NC Foothills. Ice accumulations have increased in the Henderson/Transylvania counties that could be locally higher than 0.25 inches. A Winter Storm Watch was issued for the Henderson through Caldwell/Alexander counties and expanded to include all of Transylvania, Polk and Rutherford. In SC, light ice up to 0.10 of an inch could occur along and north of I-85 from Spartanburg to Cherokee county, and into NC with 0.01-0.09 toward the south. Noting the anticipated deep warm nose, snow is less of a concern, but the NC mountains could see a trace up to 2 inches. Outside of the mountains, a cold rain is most likely precip type. Now, the challenges to this forecast come in the way of warm temperatures and the amount of moisture that can return to the area. At this time, temperatures from the NBM and CONSRaw show a swath of at or below freezing temps along the Escarpment. Given the in-situ wedge in place prior to precip arrival, temps are likely to reach these values. Freezing rain chances would decrease if surface temps are a degree or two warmer than current model guidance, increasing the chance for rain to become the dominate p-type. However, current guidance keeps temps at or just below freezing along the I-85 corridor and north. Confidence is increasing from moderate to high that some amount of FZRA will occur in this region, before transitioning over the rain after daybreak. With the current totals being near or at warning criteria, the current watch would most likely be upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning at a later forecast issuance and a likely Winter Weather Advisory issued for additional counties. Freezing rain should transition to rain around noon on Saturday, with rain moving out of the area from west to east by Saturday night. After this wave passes, a brief stint of NW flow snow is possible if any shallow moisture can remain in place along the TN/NC border, with a trace at best is expected.

Love that NW corner dry slot