michsnowfreak
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Everything posted by michsnowfreak
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Frustrations with THIS storm aside, we've certainly been doing better than Saginaw with snow storms on the whole the past many years. Flint or Fenton definitely would be a better option storm wise haha.
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Got 6.0" here, the top drifted and fluffed up nicely to give it that "marshmallow" look but the bottom is unreal. You don't even hit ground when walking on it (and I'm a big guy). Definitely a solid snow base. Will be interesting to see how hard it gets as temp continues to drop. Low 20s now.
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The total snow from this system is definitely a disappointment, but the real lesson is don't get so caught up in kuchera snowmaps without looking at other factors (in this case warm nose). Obviously the QPF was overdone in this case, but I have noticed that many of the times that we either over or under perform it is tied to ratios. I probably had more liquid in this snowfall than I had in last February's 11" powder snowfall.
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I hear lots of people's are clogging. That damn warm nose screwed us with ungodly low ratios. The heavy wet snow fell all day at quarter to half mile visibility and we struggled, now this evening it's stacking much faster. Glad we are fluffing up some tonight.
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At least we're making a nice evening run of a snowy blowing night. The concrete blanket of snow that fell earlier is no joke. I hope my snowblower doesn't clog because it's a heart attack waiting to happen. I can honestly say I've never walked in more dense snow. An hour ago near 5", maybe closing in on 6" now. The first 3.5" or so were less than 5-1 ratio.
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Moderate to heavy snow all afternoon at DTW yet we have about 2.5" of the lowest ratio cement I can recall. Prob 5-1 ratio. Wind picking up, temp dropping, finally should turn powdery. Roads a disaster of glued slush starting to freeze. Watch that warm nose toronto folks. It sucks.
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Let's go
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Not sure on that...latest hrrr now has it snowing at dtw straight thru til 5pm tmrw. Hopefully We can really start to fluff up after these terribly low ratios. Really coming down now.
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When was the last time a storm "wrapped around" the 3 county metro area? It's clearly not going to be an epic storm but as nwohio has been posting...it seems many don't even follow timelines. I'm pissed that the old snow caused pudding on the frozen ground and also that we won't be getting epic accumulation, but it still should be a solid storm by tmrw. And looks like it'll be very scenic.
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The snow is nowhere near over. It was a frustrating start but the goods are yet to come.
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Most of the old snow, save for patches and piles melted last night ahead of this but with the frozen ground it pooled as standing water on top of the ground. Snowing nicely but low ratio is so far..need the temp to drop.
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I'm pretty sure that's courtesy of no dtx radar
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Dtx radar is down for maintenance so that's playing a part in why there's the gap in radar at times
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Just see my previous post.. I was thinking the same thing. It's funny how frozen the ground remains despite the warm day.
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It felt so warm it was crazy. Funny how your body does that. Now tonight with the moisture increasing it feels damp. Just a funny feel after it's been so dry cold for so long. Snow cover now ranges from grass to 2" and where there are grass patches the ground remains rock hard. Guess it's all part of the ingredients that make this storm come together.
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We probably won't have much left ahead of the storm if it stays mild like this all night, but it really is a moot point.
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Lol I never want it gone haha. Helps down the road for glacier. We have about 2" in shade and 1" in sun. Some bare and some 3" spots.
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Surprised we kept as much snow as we did after hitting 46 with some sun.
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I mean it's going to be a good storm regardless. Do the extra few inches really make or break lol?
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Detroit finished Jan with a mean temp of 20.3, which is -5.5, good for 27th coldest on record. Precip totaled just 0.52" which is 5th driest Jan on record. Snowfall totaled 8.8", below avg but nothing noteworthy.
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Everyone talks about 78...I'd love to see what model qpf output would be in a 1974 storm scenario. Far more compact but a death band from TOL into SE MI. Probably kuchera totals near 48-50"
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Hoosier did bring up a good point though. It's not so much that the unanimous drying of the models was to be expected. I mean yes 30+ totals were unrealistic. But the fact that each wave is going to primarily hit different areas with just a little bit of overlap is why this is turning into more of a widespread big snowstorm instead of a more narrow corridor of historic snowstorm.
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You can still easily get 11-15 on 1" qpf. It's basically now cast time. I had 1.08" on 16.5" Feb 1/2, 2015
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It's been below freezing for so long that today feels gross out. I hate seeing snow melt even tho a storm is coming.
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Thanks. I will say this about DTX warning, they still talk about Thursday. Which is really looking more like a graze job of light snow. This is all gonna be about tomorrow and it's gonna come down to the ratios. Pretty solid model agreement, give or take some noise, on about 1.20" qpf with about an inch falling as snow. Temperatures will be steadily dropping as the storm progresses.
