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About michsnowfreak

- Birthday 05/08/1983
Contact Methods
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Website URL
http://www.facebook.com/josh.halasy
Profile Information
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Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
KDTW
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Gender
Male
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Location:
Wyandotte, Michigan
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https://x.com/wxjerdman/status/2019729810914992195 I knew it was cold but didn't realize the impressive nature of it. January 15 - February 4 is the coldest 3 weeks of the year on avg to begin with. 2026 now ranks 3rd coldest for that 3 week stretch at Detroit in 153 years of record. Only 1918 & 1963 were colder.
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2025-2026 ENSO
michsnowfreak replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Wow thanks for posting this. I knew it was cold but didn't realize the impressive nature of it. @bluewave frequently mentions that cold anamolies are short in duration. This is the opposite. January 15 - February 4 is the coldest 3 weeks of the year on avg to begin with. 2026 now ranks 3rd coldest for that 3 week stretch at Detroit in 153 years of record. Only 1918 & 1963 were colder. Pittsburgh also ranks 3rd in 152 years of record. Cleveland 4th in 156 years. Toledo 6th in 153 years. And even NYC 17th in 158 years. @FPizz @mitchnick @MJO812 -
Our depths been hovering between 8-9" the last 10 days or so too.
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2025-2026 ENSO
michsnowfreak replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
April is one of my least favorite months (Apr and Aug). I was recalling recent April snowfalls and frigid Opening Days moreso than the monthly temp departure. A closer look shows that in the last 10 Aprils, 4 were colder than avg, 1 avg, 5 warmer than avg. But regardless my stance remains. Calling for a torch month 2 months out with no basis other than a gut feeling is automatically wrong. I wouldn't have even responded if someone said "id lean warm for April". But torch? Ill wait and see. -
2025-2026 ENSO
michsnowfreak replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Im the same lol, I want BN temps all year. Your area is undoubtedly beautiful...in fact...my mom and I always talk about a trip to Savannah but the heat is what turns us off....but you sound like you belong in the north haha. You would have absolutely froze up here in 2023-24. Like you said, everything is relative. -
2025-2026 ENSO
michsnowfreak replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Recent Aprils have been cool more often than not. Looking back at La Nina Aprils, its a very wide variety of results, everything from near-record cold to near-record warm, although the colder ones outweighed the warm ones. CFS seasonal has a cold April. Euro seasonal has average. Cansips has cold in NE and avg to slightly mild midwest. Now, Im still waiting to hear what what we are basing a torch April on? I mean, torch implies at least what, top-10 warmth? -
Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
A clipper in some form or another for Friday has been on the models for a solid week but they have handled it TERRIBLY, even as we get closer. No surprise. -
Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Solidly below avg temps, solidly above avg snowfall, and solidly above avg snowcover for Detroit. Been a great winter. But of course, the one thing missing is a huge storm. Im all for a March paste bomb. -
2025-2026 ENSO
michsnowfreak replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Its way out, but I cannot see this as being a torch April. -
2025-2026 ENSO
michsnowfreak replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yes, everything is relative to climo. I take a 3-4 day trip to northern MI every year in mid-late February (usually the U.P., sometimes northern lower MI) and in Feb 2024 youd have thought it hadnt snowed at all the way the locals talked even though the area I was at was at like 80 inches on the season at that point. 2023-24 is my lowest snowfall since Ive kept track since 1995, at 21.4". After the gross 2023-24, 2024-25 was a good winter for MI in that it was cold and white, although snowfall was on the light side outside of the snowbelts. But 2025-26 has been a fantastic winter statewide with plentiful cold, snowfall, and snowcover. Today is the 50th day with 1"+ snowcover this season at Detroit. The depth is 8". The current 30-yr annual avg is 47 days, and the longterm avg is 49 days, so we have already eclipsed season avg in early Feb. -
Today is the 50th day with 1"+ snowcover this season at DTW. The depth is 8". The current 30-yr annual avg is 47 days, and the longterm avg is 49 days, so we have already eclipsed season avg in early Feb.
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Yup. I live the historic old buildings. I always cringe when they tear them down. My brother that lived in Chicago for a decade always lived in old apartment buildings. He moved to Denver for 2 years before moving back to MI last year. IMO Denver had no character (too new) compared to Chicago.
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2025-2026 ENSO
michsnowfreak replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Its been such a steady cold winter locally, we forget that in DJF, warm anamolies are not a nail in the coffin here. In fact. If we can avoid actual torching and get an active pattern it can actually produce very well, but its of course a gamble. This would be the first time this cold season wed be in a more gambling type pattern. Its been solid cold and winter threats briefly interrupted by 2 well advertised torches. -
2025-2026 ENSO
michsnowfreak replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I misunderstood, thinking the assertion is volcano is needed for any kind of cold anomoly winter. I feel very fortunate to live in the Great Lakes because our type of climate makes a complete winterless winter impossible. Warmer winters can see some real dynamic snowstorms ala 2022-23. A winter like the present one, 2025-26, is what I would call a classic textbook example of a harsh winter. Below avg temps, above avg snowfall and above avg snowcover. No standout storms but solid deep winter since late November with just 2 brief breaks. Today is the 21st day in a row snow has fallen. I dont ever really ever expect another 2013-14. Took this Pic this evening when dropping something off at the library.
