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About michsnowfreak

- Birthday 05/08/1983
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Website URL
http://www.facebook.com/josh.halasy
Profile Information
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Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
KDTW
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Gender
Male
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Location:
Wyandotte, Michigan
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Much like the last heatwave, temp somewhat underperformed here. DTW hit 94, the NWS forecast was 99.
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Is that your first time hitting 100? I haven't seen 100 since 2012. How warm did it get in your house?
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Not sure of its legitimacy, but I saw 105F in Big Bay. The next highest yoop numbers were a few 102s as you mentioned.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Thats all good points. I feel like the excess moisture is a huge thing. The assumption that El Nino always means dry has been failing in recent years, especially with stronger Ninos. Really thinking we get some good wet paste storms this year. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I dont care if Nino peaks at 5.0...I really only care about the weather in my backyard. I mean, most weather weenies do. Any early thoughts for Michigan? Ive been thinking 2015-16 is a decent starting point but I've also been looking more into 1877-78. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
When last winters cold was becoming imminent is when I first remember the bizarre slew of posts in different languages to say it wouldn't stay cold. When snowman cant find an English tweet to say warm is when winter lovers knew it was game on. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
1997-98 had a cold November with multiple snowfalls. It was definitely a front loaded winter. -
Its probably a good idea to invest in a window air conditioner. They aren't that expensive and even on days when it just hits 80 you can turn it on for a bit. I rarely ran my AC the last 3 weeks of June. I had it set to 80 when I was in Alaska and then when I got home I turned it off the next 2 weeks. Turned it back on ahead of the June 30-July 3 heatwave and havent had it off since.
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Do you not have any AC?
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If you looked at radar, you can see how the storms were retrograding in from Lake erie and moving at a snails pace. A much smaller and more short-lived one hit me yesterday and dropped 1.54" in 2 hours.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I get that this is super generalized, but "favorable" is vastly different depending on latitude. Do you mean deep winter? or merely seeing snow? The Great Lakes/New England absolutely get snow in unfavorable patterns. I give it about 80% chance that you or I see snow on more than 30% of days this winter. But if were talking more deep winter ala last year, thats when a 30/70 seems more realistic. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
ohhh the irony. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
During the past winter which was cold in the Great Lakes/Northeast and record warm in the southwest/west, we heard an unprecedented amount of discussion about the West & CONUS as a whole rather than the actual cold where most here live. It will be interesting to see if this continues this winter since average to cold anomalies are forecast in much of the south/central outside the north/northeast. -
Retrograding downpours this evening. We got 1.54" rain the last 2 hours. Total for the day 2.32".
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The cansips has been hellbent on cold. Im sure its too cold, but it has not changed much. Cfs changes all the time but it too has gotten colder. Nothing is screaming winter long torch.
