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michsnowfreak

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About michsnowfreak

  • Birthday 05/08/1983

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    http://www.facebook.com/josh.halasy

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KDTW
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Wyandotte, Michigan

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  1. michsnowfreak
    Last year was 39.5". Thats slightly below normal, I have no qualms about last winter with excellent snowcover and cold. I enjoyed it more than winters that saw more snow but milder weather and less snowcover. It was on track for above avg snowfall as well, until a no show march. (Works both ways, a big march snowstorm that fluffed up the season total wouldn't save an otherwise bare mild winter). I wasnt trying to soften the blow. Literally just googled strong nino years lol. And im not wishcasting, believe me a milder than avg winter with 30" of snow is not on my wishlist. But its what I see as a realistic shot. We wont know til April. But I will say this. If we end up below 25" id say some bad luck was involved, and if we end up above 35" ill say some good luck was involved.
  2. michsnowfreak
    Strong/super Ninos: 1877–1878: 43.4" 1965-66: 15.4" 1972-73: 45.0" 1982–1983: 20.0" 1991–1992: 43.5" 1997–1998: 23.4" 2015–2016: 35.3" 2023-24: 23.5" I expect below avg snow. I disagree about "background state of losing snow in recent years". Due to the snowy 2000s & 2010s, the current 1991-2020 yr avg snow is highest its ever been (45"). The longterm avg is 41". The dip in the 2020s is not at all unexpected. Look at the ebbs and flows since 1880. My comment was moreso aimed at those expecting no snow in northern locations. An absolute joke void of any meteorological reasoning. Last winter was a severe winter due to the cold/snowpack, with suppression being the problem why we didnt have above avg snow. If im throwing out a number for 2026-27, im guessing 30"-ish. The biggest wild card will be a big storm. Should be some big nino storms. They often hit the east coast, but have also hit us (1878, 1992). 2015-2016 had multiple big storms just north of Detroit.
  3. michsnowfreak
    Ohhh there will be lots of forecasts, and "forecasts", that will be fun to score. (And i too think the quoted forecast is too cold).
  4. michsnowfreak
    Hope your wrong on the weather, but congratulations!!!!
  5. michsnowfreak
    I mentioned in the enso thread on the main forum, but honestly, pretty much everyone in the north and east is expecting a subpar winter relative to their climo. So the expectations are set. However, there are a few trolls in that thread that say absolutely ridiculous things that are completely unrealistic wrt weather, and these things will be hilarious when people bump them in the spring. People need to kinda chill on these insane assumptions because its such a strong Nino, especially with some things not behaving as expected. Do I expect a milder and less snowy than avg winter? Yes. But thats as far as ill go.
  6. michsnowfreak
    The 1990s winters here were WARMER than winters of the 1960s, 1970s, 1980s, 2000s and 2010s. Yes, the decade of the 1990s was colder than the intra decade block of 2016-2026. But actually the 90s still saw very slightly less snow than '16-26 too. And of course, there was a slew of mild to very mild winters in the 1930s-1950s. With the obsession some have with cc, lets not forget that weather also always has gone in cycles. When the snowy 2010s completed, the 1990s stood as the tamest winters here since the 1950s. So I get tired of the excuse that the nino of 97-98 was during some ice age climate lol. As for the old adage "its too cold to snow". Technically thats not true, however the cold is a very common contributor to suppression. Last winter was ranked a severe winter here due to its lasting cold and snowpack, but suppression absolutely stole our chance for above avg snowfall.
  7. michsnowfreak
    They updated the definition last winter: coping /ˈkōpiNG/- "When your warm winter freezes into a cold and snowy one, so you start to talk daily about the Western U.S. or elsewhere on the globe rather than the frozen landscape that is currently in your backyard".
  8. michsnowfreak
    It turned to snow here. Got 4". I remember the storm you are talking about. Jan was a torch after a cold snowy Dec 2005. Pretty much expecting a torch month this winter (likely December) so when you get some good snows in the torch month its a bonus, considering the snow season runs November to April. The whole "no snow" discussion is all trolling. Either that or absolutely NO concept of what Great Lakes and New England climate is.
  9. michsnowfreak
    Exactly. And remember departures are relative to average. The averages are way colder than the east coast. It can be in the + double digits and snow mid winter.
  10. michsnowfreak
    According to the troll cult, no measurable snow for me this winter. By comparison, Detroit averages 37 days per season with measurable snowfall and in 152 years of record, the least was 15 days (1889-90). I assume this means you shall sprout palm trees by March. Can't wait til verification time!
  11. michsnowfreak
    Ill make sure to bump this
  12. michsnowfreak
    One failed "prediction" after another the last few winters.
  13. michsnowfreak
    Honestly, the funniest thing about the strong Nino this coming winter is that everyone in the north/northeast is prepared for a winter subpar to their climo. Expectations are set. It’s actually the troll comments that there will be no winter at all (in places that would see multiple snows in their warmest winter on record), that will look absolutely ridiculous next spring.
  14. michsnowfreak
    DTW lows the last 3 days 37F, 35F, 38F. Light frosts each day, with freezes in the colder spots. Might not see a cloud all week, but what better weather for peak Fall color peeping?
  15. michsnowfreak
    I think he meant that by mid to late november we will have an idea how december looks, not that whatever happens in november is a sign. In fact, most of the warm Decembers here this past decade have been preceded by Novembers that were near avg or colder than avg and snowier than avg.
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