pasnownut

and while he might find a way to be right in the end, I'm not sure what hes saying as GFS/Euro/ICON are similar in progression while the CMC is by itself. I just looked to make sure someone didnt spike my lemon water at lunch. Sorry but he's out to lunch on what was shared above. only one w/ sharper, more neg tilt is CMC. all others are pos tilt and progressive in nature (keeping SLP south and lessening chance of primary cutting). IF things slow down and cutoff happens, then he might be onto something. From my amateur view, things looked more consolidated and less separation.

You have Uke outputs?

He's warmingsta wishcasting..... I hope

Shouldnt you be chasing Minnie Mouse around right now??

thats what my hope is and why I shared the 700's as they show primary pressing right up into wva. it was also evident to a lesser degree on 0z run for CMC, so lets hope its not onto something. 700/850's look fine w/ critical thickness well S of M/D line. CAD feauture also very evident, so IF there was some credence to this solution, I'd think taint in in our hood would be sleet and no ice.

lol I also saw that, and chuckled.

Yep, I'm glad to see it came around. GFS/Icon look just fine. CMC a little less fine, but still as you state a great event. my worry is that we are still 72+ out and many outcomes gooder or badder are possible. Based on 700's you can easily see what the CMC was doing as it pops the primary and holds it too long. GFS doesnt show that. Icon also keeps a cleaner look w/ SLP well south.

the more dig on backside down in Texas early on is the culprit, and imo we need to root for that not to happen, and keep this a little more progressive for a clean event. Otherwise, taint word gets tossed in

togglin between majors, CMC trough axis notably more neutral tilt, and others more pos/progressive.

primary held onto 114 and screwed my pooch.

Verbatim CMC is a step back for southern PA, but central/northers highly approve.

and based on qpf, sleet on top....no bueno for power concerns shared by some earlier.

CMC solution is not what i expected. Still a great event, but not as clean. Sharper trough axis it shows is likely culprit. CAD is strong on ALL models, so I'd think if this would verify, itd be sleet below MD line Huhh

yep at 102 it pops, but I'd think a quick transfer incoming (if this solution makes any sense)

qpf field ticked north, and that was all i was looking for from the souther outlier. Nice runs with subtle (but good) moves so far. Starting to feel it.

30 hr event on GFS. Just beautiful

snowmaps out to 114 also show tick N with best accums.

at 114, its a Pa pummeling with more to come. Liking the look. May not be epic, but really really nice.

at 96 GFS may take the bait and go whole hog here. Man it looks nice

GFS at 90., qpf field a tick N

Next up GFS. at 84 a little less strung out.

was going to say the same. Classic CAD signature on it.

Icon at 84 slightly north of 6z

at 66, ICON rather Euroesqe

Next up - its the Germans to keep hope alive.