pasnownut

No matter how it shakes down, this looks like a rather awesome stretch of winter coming up. In the infamous words of Mr. Bob Ross..... "think happy thoughts" Feel bad for my son as he'll be plowing lots of snow if the trends keep up.

Nice.

CMC warnin level 80South.

oh, and verbatim, I80 South 30hrs of snow. As shown, I'd sign, even knowing there in notably more for the winners. good trends for this 6hr episode of modelwatchology.

yeah its giving the MA forum one rather large pants tent right now.

CMC is 1 tick away from a BOMB. LOVE that move. This IS my kinda chess baby. QPF shield WAY north and CTP gets closer to a beatdown

Or it creates a powder bomb. I know youre snakebit, but waayyyy tooo early to debbie this deal.

also energy left behind. Need to see what else it has cookin.

@138 GFS slp about 200-250 WNW of 6z. I'm ok w/ that move. Thats 2 +'s so far.

Yep, legit concern. Just remember that things usually tick north and west of late as we close in, so keep in mind when we are sniffin cirrus on models. Cold is more stable, so it gives added credence to the worry tho.

Nooners start off well w/ ICON notably north of 0z. SLP about 200miles N of 0z run. Couple more of them and its boom time....but it is the ICON, so lets just look for trends right now.

its gonna be a big dog for many. Just hope that includes us

suppression depression. dont wanna think of it, but ya have to. 1048 HP is stoud and likely the bully on the block. Hopin it has a little give and as we see things trend back north that we get back into the goods.

Happy Monday. Happy to report that my area got 4" sat morn, 3" sunday morn, then 1" sunday night. Looks like 2-3" more than what they have here in Etown. Roads in Akron to Manheim, snow/icy but as i drove west twds Etown, roads were clear (yet school looks to be closed in Etown - pansy asses). Looking forward to next weekends wintry fun, to add some (lots?) on this beautiful wintry landscape. Had the sleds out w/ my son/DIL last night after he spent the weekend plowing in New Holland. 8 degrees on digi car thermo about 1 mile from house. Here's to a good week of trackin.

just glanced as mesos and hi teens at midnight into low/mid 20s early am. I'd think that'd be enough to let whatever falls get to the surface. couple looks at skew t's for lanco not bad imo.

I didnt check dp's but thats a good point to consider. quick look and low/mid 20's dp wise from midnight on (when qpf starts to pop), so not too much should be wasted.

shows up on mesos as such. midnight to 3 then 6 to 9-10 am ISH

midntight thru mid morning,

Just looked over overnight and morning runs, and there's not a major global that doesn't have at least a couple chances a white gold, and some are similar in evolution, so it surely gives credence to the notion that snowgeese gonna b honkin. Yes, of course there are always a myriad of ways to fail, but as we've been suggesting, pattern looks ripe for the pickins in next couple weeks. 6zGFS just went whole hog on us again. Good thing is there are a few chances inside the midterm, so its not really fantasy stuff.

Gotcha. sounds like a little road trip will lift your spirits. Thats how I get by when winters suckin down here...head north or northwest.

Was just going to put a post up suggesting the same. Looks like some mood flakes possible this weekend, but like you said, hopefully once this new pattern sets in we can score a couple hits. Looks like there will be chances for sure.

I'll have to remember that. Can you get real id there?

Headed your way tomorrow night (Houtzdale). Save some for me.

Happy day pal.

so there's a 6-9% chance of it happening.... I crack myself up.