mahk_webstah
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Everything posted by mahk_webstah
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there should be plenty of cold left in canada, and will the vortex totally consolidate or will we get pulses or stretches that give us cold?
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It is weird because I am only in the low 30s with an average of 70 inches, but it has felt like deep winter up here for close to 2 months. Many days below 0, and several below -10. The pack stayed and kept thickening. It is softening now, but still quite glacial. Even after tomorrow, I'll still have 10-12 in the woods and full field snow cover I think, and then it will freeze up good again. So by one measuring a sucky winter, but by others (pack and temp) a very good winter.
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You and Scott and Ray said many times in Dec and Jan "that is a good gradient/overrunning look", and then Jerry would mention Leon, and Jeff start talking about SWFE climo...etc. You have to wonder if we get some of that Atlantic blocking back and the PNA isn't quite so fierce....
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well Scott did mention an "overrunning look"
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I was thinking the next 10 days might be our delayed Jan thaw, but instead I think it is a full melt out, maybe followed by irritating March snows that stop me from planting in the garden. Once the pack melts I'm all for spring.
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When does the arctic sw get sampled?
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I don't have the links but I thought they were significantly different a week or so back. The Euro had a big ridge in the east, and I think was holding a decent -EPO.
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So Euro wins the long range battle that was shaping up a week or so ago. Chris at GYX talks about robust qpf signal for late next week. Maybe a Rainer that accelerates the melt. But this week will only dent that pack up here. Still a lot of snow.
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Off with their pack! Let them eat mud.
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I detest ene motion, though I loved it as a kid in Delaware.
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Will is like EF Hutton for me. When he talks, I listen.
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That’s a special superpower you have. Must use it selectively.
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Not happening James
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Wow with weak returns that is something. Can't see what's happening at my place on the Nest. Too dark. -
Ground truth better than radar. Also the forecast for mixing and changeover but is that really going to be able to happen
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The Stark difference between the GFS and the EPS ensembles argues for a delayed pattern change. Maybe we make it through the 25th? I don’t know with a Canadian ensembles say
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I guess the upside could be pretty high because the heavier it precip the more likely it is to stay snow. If we have light rates tomorrow it’ll probably quite mixed
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The forecast seem to have gone lower and accumulations and more in rain. What’s the best case scenario in your view? I’m in London again so I’ll miss this but it’s always nice to return to fresh snow
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Isn't it ironic, don't ya think The mid levels are finally cool enough north and west But the qpf beefs east where the warm air holds tough isn't it ironic, don't ya think? It's the blizzard of '78 while Jer's in Californiay, It's a 20 hour death band in Wilmington after Ray's moved away. Isn't it ironic, don't ya think? A little too ironic....
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how far n and w does the torching go, if you don't mind.?
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very Tip-like. I love the part about the son born 9 months later.
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Overall a really a big disappointment but I look outside and something is falling and the still good pack is reinforced and cleaned. Can’t complain. Winter in rural New Hampshire.
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some of us will get in on this batch in npa and eny that is well seen on the Albany radar. Maybe midlevels cool enough for all snow. we'll know soon enough
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Wunderground has showed me as all snow since 8am lol
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That thing isn’t moving. Chickens and Eagles in the same boat.
