mahk_webstah

I guess it looks like a bigger area of precipitation than I had expected. But it could be that someone is just being squeezed out over the mountains of New York and Vt so it looks worse than it really is. But it does look like it will be snowing here within a couple of hours although the forecast is for something more like a 40% chance of snow showers later this afternoon. But we shall see. As it’s moving east it is also building a bit more to the south I’m noticing on radar

Is it my imagination or does the radar look pretty damn impressive to our west? Doesn’t look like a 15 minute snow squall. It looks like a broad area of snow showers. Maybe it dries up as it comes east?

I read this statement before I read the quote you were responding to. Interesting....

yes we like the SE ridge, just not on steroids.

And Tuesday has trended warmer not colder

this thaw is turning out to be less than a week, and the pattern change is to something better actually, than what we had before the thaw.

didn't GYX sound pretty aggressive overnight?

Take it already! Take it! Oh the humanity

GYX Fairly aggressive language about a week that is active and gets snowier and colder as it goes along, starting Tuesday. It looks like this area is a bit of a tossup for precipitation type on Tuesday but snow towards the end of the week

Damn I feel bad for your wife

you'd be amazed how many years I have the early stuff in in March. Spinach, for example, and some other greens. Then April for a lot of stuff.

This from a guy who's growing bamboo in the biggest CAD and snow retention zone of CNH?! Lol, no, inside.

I hope we don't have to do this all over again in late March/early April. What would I do with all the seedlings I'll be starting soon?

not too happy about it, but I kinda agree with this.

Melt the annoying stuff and keep the deep snow in the woods

What you’re describing could be one of those overrunning patterns where if we are north of the boundary we stay cold and get snow while much of the rest of the country warms

Beautiful up there and lots of snow

You actually don't seem to be trolling today. Nice change. Ski in NY or up higher in NE?

Walking this morning watching a few small patches of brown start to show in the sunny parts of the fields, watching the ruts and river running down the hardpack driveway, and smelling the piling of composting chicken shit a couple thousand feet across one field, I thought, well this is going to freeze into a glacier again for a few days but then with the rain and warmth at week's end we might have a flooding problem and then mud. I did notice that as that storm gets going late week there is an arm of high pressure reaching over to stroke Ottawa, but didn't look like anything stout enough to push the track further south. I guess the low would have to slow down by 12-24 to allow some high pressure to establish to build a cold feed. That seems way way unlikely with no confluence to our north to help. Flooding it will be and then we contemplate an early spring or a pack rebuild. Seems like the truth might lie in between as the winter wimpers away, with a few inches here and there between warmth and melting, enough to get us here past 50" and annoy the crap out of us who want to start planting.

what pattern do you want?

One of the observations I've made after living up here for more than a dozen years is that it can snow big in a shitty looking pattern. Unless the pattern is so overwhelmingly bad (was it Dec 2016?), we can get a scooter high, a miller b, some transient blocking...whatever, and end up with a foot of snow. Many times we get to our average very late in the season.

there should be plenty of cold left in canada, and will the vortex totally consolidate or will we get pulses or stretches that give us cold?

It is weird because I am only in the low 30s with an average of 70 inches, but it has felt like deep winter up here for close to 2 months. Many days below 0, and several below -10. The pack stayed and kept thickening. It is softening now, but still quite glacial. Even after tomorrow, I'll still have 10-12 in the woods and full field snow cover I think, and then it will freeze up good again. So by one measuring a sucky winter, but by others (pack and temp) a very good winter.

You and Scott and Ray said many times in Dec and Jan "that is a good gradient/overrunning look", and then Jerry would mention Leon, and Jeff start talking about SWFE climo...etc. You have to wonder if we get some of that Atlantic blocking back and the PNA isn't quite so fierce....

well Scott did mention an "overrunning look"