mahk_webstah

in coastals yes but in swfe?

seems to me that overnight and tomorrow morning the mesos will start to narrow in on where the 1-2"/hour band sets up. I think you and others mentioned steep upglide that would help ratios and snow growth. GYX is going for 12:1. I've seen discussion of a very deep snowgrowth zone. Could be a bit higher in that band I would imagine, at least for a bit. So the question is where does that set up. It could right up here in the KCON area, but I worry it might be a tad south. That being said, this is a swfe so north ticks are more likely than south ticks, and messenger ticks are more important in coastal storms, not swfe. I feel confident for 8-10 here, but I think 12 is a decent possibility...and I think someone sees 12-15 in lollies.

This is a bread and butter lakes region storm. the most solid 8-12er opportunity that we've seen in a good while.

I've noticed a couple of times recently that you are warm sectoring before me. that's strange.

41 here

This is the point of which we should see a slight north trend. Nothing to extreme because of the high but a bit of a push north. Yes I know that benefits my backyard but I also think that’s what’s going to happen with a strong moist Swfe

Kinda has that feel

I keep hearing about an event for Sunday. What’s the nature of that event?

So the country’s unending polarization now extends to beer versus edibles? I think you should be on the same team. Maybe we need liquid pot and edible beer or something. It’s sort of like the Miller B and swfe people fighting each other.

My fear has been getting a positive covid test. 5 days? When I said to Kevin this is real wind, I meant not a 70 mph models winds but actual winds that are higher than that that really happen.

In my experience the higher level Swfe s can drop 12 to 15 inches though more generally to 6-10. The high-level ones generally have a longer period of precipitation because there is often low ratio snow involved at times aka sand. The ones that can tap the gulf or slow down and get some redevelopment tend to be the ones that can get into the 10 to 15 inch range. But Brian and Jeff taught me to expect 6-10 even the ones that look pretty good

A good client. It feels great to be traveling internationally again. Pre-pandemic I was in London Hong Kong Tokyo singapore a lot, and also New York. I don’t have quite the appetite I used to have for it but seven or eight trips a year would be very nice. But nothing is as good as Philadelphia and Rehoboth Beach.

Quite a pattern for the UK. I’m sitting in the hotel having dinner in London and it’s very windy outside and raining. Couple of days ago apparently they had a gust to 120 miles an hour in London itself and it blew a roof off. Glad I didn’t have to land and those kinds of wins. Looks like when I get home Tuesday night will be in snowstorm mode. the wind is real here Kevin.

that could produce swfe, miller b, and even phasers witha split flow timed right. Friday starts 3 week winter stretch, maybe 4.

Come on now. Anthony adds a lot to our forum. He’s the best weenie from the other subforums. He posts lots of maps and he’s a nice guy

that is so meridional. a sw diving n to s from almost the north pole straight down into the mid south? that would have to produce a big storm, but woulds the vortex in NQuebec move it along quickly? I believe that would be a manitoba mauler, yes?

I guess it looks like a bigger area of precipitation than I had expected. But it could be that someone is just being squeezed out over the mountains of New York and Vt so it looks worse than it really is. But it does look like it will be snowing here within a couple of hours although the forecast is for something more like a 40% chance of snow showers later this afternoon. But we shall see. As it’s moving east it is also building a bit more to the south I’m noticing on radar

Is it my imagination or does the radar look pretty damn impressive to our west? Doesn’t look like a 15 minute snow squall. It looks like a broad area of snow showers. Maybe it dries up as it comes east?

I read this statement before I read the quote you were responding to. Interesting....

yes we like the SE ridge, just not on steroids.

And Tuesday has trended warmer not colder

this thaw is turning out to be less than a week, and the pattern change is to something better actually, than what we had before the thaw.

didn't GYX sound pretty aggressive overnight?

Take it already! Take it! Oh the humanity

GYX Fairly aggressive language about a week that is active and gets snowier and colder as it goes along, starting Tuesday. It looks like this area is a bit of a tossup for precipitation type on Tuesday but snow towards the end of the week