mahk_webstah

I've put 25K on the table but reserving 50 for Wednesday

dilf storm?

good for CNE, and maybe western SNE? From WPC snow discussion just out an hour ago: ..Northeast... Day 3... The previously noted upper low moving east of the central Rockies tonight is forecast to lift northeast and phase with a northern stream trough digging across the northern Plains and Upper Midwest on Saturday. This will result in a highly-amplified trough moving east of the Mississippi Valley Sunday evening. Surface low pressure is forecast to develop along the right-entrance region of a strong upper jet and track north and strengthen along the Mid Atlantic to Northeast coast Sunday night. Additional strengthening is expected as the low moves along the New England coast into Atlantic Canada on Monday. The potential for heavy snow with this system remains high, however confidence in its placement is still limited by model spread and run-to-run discontinuities. The general trend of the 12Z guidance was toward a more a more easterly track -- supporting lighter QPF and a lesser threat for heavy snow from western to far northern New York and far northern New England. At this point, even with the more easterly track this still appears to a mostly to all rain event for the I-95 corridor up through Boston. Probabilities for snow accumulations of 8 inches or more are currently highest from the Adirondacks through interior northern New England, however with the shifting track, anticipate some changes of this axis of higher probabilities as well

at 625 nnw of CON I am dangerously emotionally in.

Its fine in my opinion if we bag 6 and then finish with a glaze for Wed-Thurs snow to lay on top of. But I am really hoping for at least a good thump Sunday night.

Regeneration up here to steady light snow. We’ll see if it can maintain

Great for some;disappointing for others. Unsure which group I’ll fall into. NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 200 PM EST Fri Jan 20 2023 Valid 12Z Mon Jan 23 2023 - 12Z Fri Jan 27 2023 ...Heavy snow threat for the interior Northeast with an exiting storm Monday... ...Second storm to spread a heavy rain/severe weather threat to the South early next week, working up the Eastern Seaboard midweek along with a heavy snow threat from the central Rockies/Plains through the interior Northeast... ...Synoptic Overview... The weather pattern will remain stormy but progressive across much of the nation going into next week with two well defined low pressure systems of interest. The first will be affecting the Northeast U.S. going through Monday and then exiting into southeast Canada by Tuesday, with coastal rain and interior snow. Meanwhile, the next closed/deep system will dig robustly over the Southwest into Monday then eject across the south-central U.S. early in next week, with a subsequent track in a general northeasterly direction across the Ohio Valley and then the Great Lakes by Wednesday and into Thursday. A building West Coast/western Canada upper ridge as a +PNA pattern will then herald a return to colder conditions from the West to across much of the central and eastern U.S. as amplified upper troughing works develops downstream.

Hopefully some of us will be going into that cold, active run with the foot and a half on the ground already

Latest WPC has the low at about the canal. Still plenty of qpf.

That same stripe keeps showing up

You should've done this in Gaelic.

very light though. I have no expectation that we get much more in terms of accumulation.

no change

I am just several miles south south west of Brian. I’m not sure what the differences between the IVT and upper level low snows. But it looks like some of the returns seem to be best south so we need to get that west south west to east north east band set up from our area to your area.

On radar can see the stuff backfilling around Winnepesaukee and Gene, and then the stuff rapidly filling in crossing the Vermont, New Hampshire border and heading east. Looks like there should be a pretty good wide band setting up across central and southern New Hampshire and down into southern New England. Fingers crossed that all of us, or most of us, but into smashing today.

Geez the heaviest swath goes literally from me to Brian to you. Have to see what the others depict.

Looked at WPC and GYX for next two storms. Pretty enthusiastic. They project over 2”qpf and seems to be mostly snow here. Interior for CNE and SNE have a shot. These are coastal so messenger ticks on the table.

A very uniform 5” here

Looks like about 5 to 6 inches here. Snowing light, but quite steadily and accumulating. The Wunder ground radar shows no echoes. It isn’t that unusual to snow here with no echoes but it’s usually very light snow. Looking forward to what happens when the upper level gets closer.

Snowing steadily with decent flakes but no echoes

thank you, getting prettier as back edge fills.

You post another one sometimes during heavy snow, that is mostly SNE but CON is visible in the northern part of the screen. But thanks again.

Thank you Will! Looks like waves but the stuff in EPA and NJ needs to keep developing because that is a big gap back to the ULL. I assume the coastal should cause some blossoming.

can somebody post that good radar that Will and Brian sometimes post?