mahk_webstah

I hope that is not how I came across. I wasn’t intending to be snarky. Just reacting to the endless overstatements. I like that we have all this info, and that we can discuss it! There’s always another side to things; with the good comes the not so good.

I feel old lol, but not really…I want to talk to you about becoming a parent at an older age. Will contact you via IM.

This thread is a good example of the downside of having so much information available to us at our fingertips these days. 30 years ago all we would know is that there’s a chance that the patterns going to turn wintery mid month. Which is probably going to happen. I enjoy the discussions of every model run just like everyone else but the big picture seems pretty clear. Probably we’re going to turn Wintery next two weeks and the potential for snow storms is enhanced by an unending signal of high latitude blocking. And the fact that we’re getting to the time of the year when it starts to get cold, even when the temperature is average or a bit above. Details to be determined.

Wunderground has me snowing a good bit 9th-10th.

Um yes we can

You are in Vermont. Don’t you want a se ridge given the blocking developing?

I would say that a fight between the southeast ridge and the NAO is something we want up here

Glad we live there

I think you mean the dropped 34 on Brian and 28 on me and 48 about 10 miles from here? A week later it was gone, but it was fun to be in a period of 7/hr.

Is Q Omeganon at it again?

this is an incredibly helpful guide to the big picture. thanks!

let the north trend begin...

well so some fast flying 2-4 inchers? That is fine, then a big storm at some points as things move around. That is a very promising look at a great time of year, and though it will shift around, it seems like we should have 2-3 weeks at least of threats and cold.

Especially one that slows down as it develops. Clippers and Bs are basically the same thing when they slow down.

No advisory despite concern being mentioned in the middle of the night discussion at GYX. Since you would want to give people a heads up before they walk out of the house while it’s still dark and don’t realize there’s ice everywhere.

Bs and clippers

More amplified!

with the 50-50 and strength of the western ridge, does that east nao retrograde and bridge the ridges?

It is better to have these things come together later in the process than to sit and watch for 8 days. This showed signs a few days ago on the GFS, then went away, and now is coming back to some extent on all major models. This is good.

The summer and fall were very orderly. Let's do this properly and get the mountains a good base. Then we get ours.

You are still young enough for that I'd think. Thought you guys were looking at New Hampshire?

Got busy and just seeing this. Makes sense and thanks to both you and Ray! I like that kind of pattern.

what low track does this produce? pacific lows coming under that west coast trof and then down the clippers? or storms going under the sw ridge?

apparently not...

seriously? been below 32 here several many times. warm lake?