mahk_webstah

Was outside for 3 minutes. Yikes. Dog seemed okay though

Bye bye peaches

Sounds like WPC is leaning to a slower evolution late week. Two general forecast scenarios seem to exist in guidance with recent GFS/Canadian runs showing run to run stream separation leading to an upper low closing off in the Southwest/northern Mexico Tuesday-Wednesday that is stronger then slower to eject downstream through the east-central U.S. next week compared to the ECMWF/UKMET. Ensemble members by and large showed similar progression trends as their parent models with the GEFS/Canadian/NAEFS ensemble means less progressive than the ECMWF ensemble mean. This remains a difficult emerging split flow forecast with low predictability, but still suspect that a solution on the less progressive side of the full envelope of guidance makes more sense given much guidance does develop a separated southern stream system of which often are on the slow side to eject.

This is a quite a phenomenon we get to experience, falling from 12 at sunrise to -5 at sunset. That is very rare. I'm glad it doesn't last long, but it will help the people who like to get out on the lakes and ponds for entertainment, and it holds the snow on the trails for the folks who've been out on sleds the last couple weeks. Just staying inside until the gym calls later, and getting work done. Looking forward to nice walks later on Saturday and particularly Sunday, on top of a very solid, consolidated 10-15" snowpack.

Lol, not up here.

dropped earlier this morn then level for a couple hours...now dropping quickly again. When is the secondary front that gives the next push down? Closest below 0 I see is Gene's area near Plymouth.

3 waves involved here? In past winters if there were a progression of 3 waves over a 4-6 day period, I would assume the middle one is more likely to be something bigger. Please no big storm on Super Bowl Sunday.

I think the mid feb warmup will be fast and dramatic, like a January thaw. But I’m convinced we then turn cold and snowy to end, with some Atlantic help. Maybe we final melt out mid March.

If we get a snow or 2 before it will be great.

Bummer that could be fun. A few years ago both Brian and I got hit by what I thought was a squall but it sort of was a streamer. Very rare, he got 7 inches. I got about five. I don’t know if the air behind the front will be connected to any water source.

Squalls?

exactly my living situation. perfetto.

They’re not playing up the idea of squalls too much up here but you have to take a situation like this. Bring some heavy ones

I use revisions in New Hampshire and I can tell you it was one of the best investments we’ve made. Sorry to hear of others’ problems but everyone I know is very pleased with theirs’

Is that the same EPS that showed us with like 3 to 5 feet of snow at the end of its runs month ago?

I’d welcome it too. A couple of more snow events to bump up the pack, a mid month heatwave to melt out and then maybe one more nice period of winter, get the -nao done by april, and then summer!

Yup and then after that warm shot it gets colder again last week feb. Signs here and there if a -nao and that will happen maybe end feb early March

Exactly

Wunderground persistent with rain or snow feb 8,9,10 up here. With a few inches possible. Not buying it yet but hopeful we get some opportunities starting after the 7th.

Cut that range by 80% and take a look at the mid-Atlantic thread the past 24 hours

Anything more than a travelers advisory for one to 3 inches would excite me to no end

Who doesn’t like a high scooter? Oops I mean scooter high

the victory would be the survival of the peaches.

We've been hard on the truth tellers. Though Seymour isn't a troll, the trolls have won the season.

that would end the pack, and if we get to that I'd be out there helping with a blowtorch.