mahk_webstah

That is the hope. I live just a few miles WSW of Brian. The snow is slowly and steadily increasing and the flakes are getting bigger. Seems to be accumulating efficiently and temp still edging down. 21.2 steady light snow with visibility lowering. Probably on the verge of moderate snow at this point.

In some past noreasters have found that an early WAA band on the northern edge. It’s a good sign for the higher end amounts. steady light snow here and coding. Small flakes. 21.3

Northern band of light snow getting going early up here

Nice looking precip shield moving north out of the deep south

It means the world to me

So is the basic structure of the storm that there is a coastal front associated band that Ray hopes to get, an interior band that I hope to get, and then a brief CCB that Scott and Will hope to get?

My favorite when there is a snowpack. Refresher, brief heavy snow and wind and fresh cold

I can see it from my window

My zones add up to 7-13 and Elster has increased total expected to 10 for CON. We are prob gonna get that band

I won’t do what should be done with this post

I volunteer. And to promote my candidacy, I will promise hourly videos, and on the ground reports. It’s the 700 mbar low that we’re focused on here. Is that right?

I volunteer

We could do worse

Well now that we’ve figured that out…let’s see the Nam push the upper range highrr

Yes and where it sits for a bit double digits possible. i volunteer

A rapidly intensifying coastal storm can certainly have a heavy band even if moving quickly. I’m talking 1-2”/hour

GYX seems to be saying that the nam could be signaling a heavy meso band in the interior coastal plain

watches up

Let’s hope it’s not a comedy routine like last year.

Obviously GYX was aggressive for a reason. I wasn’t paying close enough attention. Looks like we have a decent 1st storm with cold to keep it and squalls in Thursday to freshen it and then more at the weekend.

GYX is aggressive here with 5-9 in zones plus more in the early evening. Going with blend on qpf of .7-1.0

Been chatting with a friend who lives in Glencoe and watching the bands on radar trying to give him a sense of how much they’re going to end up with. Maybe an hour or two ago he told me there was three or 4 inches and I told him they would probably end up around eight or 10 inches.

When the euro is jumping around this much, it’s kind of ridiculous because it didn’t used to do that. it’s probably a perceptual bias, but it does seem that the models perform worse and worse. I think maybe it’s climate change to extent but maybe it’s just the large numbers of models coming out every couple of hours. In the old days of the 70s and 80s and even the 90s some extent they weren’t that many models so your perceptions wouldn’t change every 2 to 4 hours. Meteorologist would just look at the overall set up and whatever data they had and make their best guess forecast and refine it as it got closer. It seems to me will end up pretty much near the global model average from yesterday and today and then tomorrow the shorter range models can start to take over a bit

When you put it in the context of what the other models are showing, it would make sense that it would end up there.

You’ve already had a mini start up there, but this will be a great start for many of. It comes true because it looks cold for a while.