mahk_webstah

One of the things I watch overtime is the snow totals in the 10 day on Wunderground. I think it’s some sort of compilation of models so it does give you a good sense of trends. For Thursday it’s almost always been between four and 5 inches and it is still there at 4.6. For Sunday it’s gone anywhere from 5 to 7 inches and right now it’s at 5.4. to me, this shows some caution with Sunday, however, there should still should be a solid storm. I think we will vacillate until perhaps Wednesday night or Thursday What’s been interesting about next Tuesday and Wednesday, for what it’s worth, is that it suddenly has jumped to almost 7 inches From about 3 inches overnight.

Less risky when your snowpack is what ours will be by Monday. And with more cold looming

Back to back 3-6 in 3 days is basically 6-12

That is the risk especially for SNE

Well it’s only Tuesday morning

According to GYX this storm has more dynamics but maybe that’s changed. A cold front will cross Thursday night and Friday for a drying trend and cooling trend into Saturday. This cold air will set the stage for the next system that will cross the area late Saturday night and Sunday. Early indications suggest this system will have better dynamics and more moisture to work with that will lead to higher snowfall amounts where precipitation stays mostly snow.

It looks like perfect alley for storm to come up the East Coast or across the Ohio valley and tap the cold air to the north

Yup and you should post that in the February 9 thread

I guess it’s a question of whether it’s gonna tend to correct in one way or another way

Pack ho

Caving to the GFS? Or maybe our compromise, but in favor of the GFS?

I’m not the only one. When you live where I live and you take long walks in the woods every day, and the pack is really something fantastic in the winter. So yes, I like thick long lasting pack. When you live in an urban environment, it’s different. Within two or three days the package is dirty and you just want fresh snow. Also, when you have a good pack out here in the country, even a walk in a 2 inch snowfall feels like you’re in the middle of a big storm

I assume that is a comment about the thread I started. In my defense, you don’t think there should be a thread for an event that is less than a week out with good potential for the whole region… I’m surprised no one else started it. And we could definitely have a Tip type of thread for the 12th which is inside of 10 days and has been a strong signal for several days. I don’t believe the bad juju nonsense about starting threads. That’s just voodoo. You start a thread when there’s a reason.

Well, if some of it liquefies a little bit, doesn’t it freeze into a harder surface? Particularly if it rains a little bit later? I would think it would make the pack last longer, but you are more the expert than me.

Be prepared to not get what you want. sorry for the inconvenience

Soften it up and freeze it hard.

Preachin n teachin

That was all it was supposed to be I think. Somewhere around .5 qpf. But up here it is very good pack builder and thickener. the next one is the door opener for many.

Sometimes the KFC gets it right, especially when it’s spicy and extra crunchy.

My last thread was the Yiddish one during QQomeganon’s “no changes” winter. Ended up with 96”. Schnee!!!

Yes, I do. And the ensembles and just about every model suite and a lot of meteorologists. There should’ve been a thread on this already. So I made it happen.

Wunderground has been inching up for here. 4+. To add to the 10 1/2 inches of pack in the woods.

I’m wondering how warm we’re gonna get today up here. Forecast is upper 30s too around 40 I think. 23 now and I’m kind of doubting it.

The correction vectors seem to be pointing in the right direction on this one. That’s why I’m so optimistic. In the end, I suspect this gets most of southern New England with at least a few inches and a crust. You have to assume there’s gonna be an all-encompassing storm for the whole region and probably other regions. But not this one. The intangibles are leaning our way this time around.