Maybe more time for the cold air to get established and that slows down the onset a bit? That’s the kind of trend we would want for sure, but verbatim I guess it’s ice to snow for us. Our pack is gonna be unpenetrable
I was gonna go all in for snow, Kevin style, but Chris in the GYX long term 2 days ago said it would be mostly rain, and Brian Scott wWill etc are not too impresssed. That’s usually a sign.
Warmer because it is amping? Amping would be our enemy in this situation unless until it gets to the coast.
I mean, I can’t imagine the euro overamping
Probably becomes sleet turning to snow here 4-8 at the end. Yet another thickening and strengthening of the pack. This has become a very wintery winter, even if the snow is only average so far. A very long stretch of cold and pack.
I guess the question is how stout that high is. This time of the year I bet on the scooter high. The middle Road of a lot of these runs would work perfectly for many
I’ll say one more thing and then leave it to the more informed ones. Bottom line to me for later this week is that we have cold high pressure that wants to press from the north and copious moisture that’s gonna be streaming up from the south. In early February in at least central and northern New England that should turn out pretty well especially if nothing blows up into a strong storm and instead we just get weaker lows that don’t pull up as much warm air. Alot simpler than worrying about exactly where A 965 Mb low is going to track along the coast, knowing that it at least half the time I’ll get screwed
the antecedent airmass is warm and stale but a high feeds in cold and it gradually turns to sleet and then to snow? something like that with a cold press? That's be a nice event.