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mahk_webstah

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Everything posted by mahk_webstah

  1. That's exactly how I've been thinking, mostly because of the lower qpf in Merrimack county on most models for 3-4 days. clear signal from most models just like banding signals for us for a few days before dec16 17. Also zones say north winds her not NE, and that's not good. Could be boxing day sand. Euro qpf overnight was better tho so maybe we luck our way to a foot.
  2. Thank you. The deform back west doesn’t fully show up on the snow map but I’ve seen it many times. I won’t complain about 6-8 but would for 2-4
  3. Ok I finally have to ask...,Is that area of lower snow totals in the western half of Merrimack County New Hampshire, from Concord west and north a real thing? I have to guess it is because it is showing up on almost every piece of guidance. Perhaps it’s a shadowing on a northeast wind from mountains? But that should only happen on the north northeast wind.
  4. You have to think if there is room to come north then it will. Isn't that what usually happens?
  5. Even so the euro gave 4+ for many in s and c nh . I hope that is the floor. Maybe the ceiling is 12
  6. Also GYX mentions strength of Canadian highre ens sensitivity. I know that’s a part of the confluence along with today’s ULL
  7. As long as there is no clear strong feature to continue the s and e trend, I will go with climo n and w trends and better baroclinity further north.
  8. As long as the hook is modelled I have hope, because then small adjustments north and west have big impacts, and the location of a deformation band gets interesting. Is it still a big wide h5 with expansive precipq?
  9. The runs this day will give us some answers. I think everything is onshore today and we are 72 hours out. I have no clue but am anticipating3-6 here
  10. I think we are now at the point in this process where overnight and tomorrow we see if we get a trend a little more north west or a little more Southeast. I think will know the deal by this time tomorrow
  11. a good run for us to get the deformation high ratio snows. lets see if that banding shows up over us in the other guidance like it did quite a bit leading up to Dec 16-17
  12. Me too but it seems like a strange evolution which is why I am suspect, particularly after today
  13. agree. the ones that seem to be evolving weirdly usually don't happen.
  14. nothing here yet despite fantastic radar
  15. Wpc has good snow probs for Feb 2 for all of NE south of months but particularly wsne and cne
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