mahk_webstah

The battle between The Enlightenment and the Mythic seems to have permeated every aspect of our society....

Gyx not impressed with idea of snow for us

Just have to hope for a colder trend for a few inches of snow and a crust, but I think a warm trend is more likely at this point

Your tweets are great, insight without hype.

A lot of uncertainty for 2nd week of Jan. Fingers crossed!

same

and that is the EC and it has been warmest. Lets trend it to faster secondary and more snow. 3-6 snow and then some ice on top would work well. I think Scooters view is very much EMA on an east wind. Not necessarily a killer up here.

Ec doesn’t pop a sne coastal secondary but gfs does?

Maybe our hope lies and the lack of stability in the guidance

I’ll bring the salt

Depends on who you ask I spose. Walt Drag seems enthusiastic

Wow. That’s a helluva statement.

Lots of different interpretations. WPC looks less snowy and icy until we’ll into NNE. GYX though looks pretty cold with snow and freezing rain for their areas with warm air not getting until the storm passes. They mention the possibility of a secondary forming off SNE. Maybe it is so far west with the primary that we can really warm much. Certainly not atmospheric river of high dews here.

If you move it will mostly be 1s and 2s muthafukkas

Best Lindsey buckingham.... https://youtu.be/qxfxcEH8_Co Snow fell deep and pulled me in... Pattern changed and Christmas in the bin I melted down one time i melted down 2 times Oo hoo never gonna melt again. you don’t know what it means to have drifts to your chin, and then to see it disappear agin melted down one time melted down two times Oo hoo never gonna melt again.

Wouldn’t we want to Northern Stream to get out ahead and then amplify more than forecast to create some confluence and force the second southern shortwave to come up a little more south and east?

As we know this model is helpful in sniffing out certain macro level trends

“It’s not happening James”

And with the pattern in general for weeks.

DT video on his Twitter feed is a good overview. Kinda simple for the Mets but easy to understand

How much middle ground would there be? It’s one or the other in this set up no? If we get a shift it would be substantial yes? Or there won’t be a shift. I would wait for more of the biggies to come on board or perhaps the next couple of nam runs give a clue

We’ve had really weird modeling for the last several years. Tip has spoken to this. I think we’re in the sorting out process to a new pattern and it’s gonna take a while before anything really gets clear. I think I’m gonna have significant snow by January 5

I don’t respond to this stuff much anymore but I will here. Personal attacks, though we have the right to make them in certain ways, don’t ever really work as far as I can tell. Most of us can probably agree that there’s been a lot of irresponsible behavior over the last nine months that hascaused deaths that really would’ve been unnecessary. That seems true and sad. On the other hand, people have to make their own decisions and as long as they consider their impact beyond themselves, the risk to other people, and minimize that, then that is morally acceptable. Regarding climate, I think most of us can agree that the climate is changing and the globe is warming. It’s hard to point to a specific storm and blame climate change but certainly climate change is affecting weather. I’m not sure how it could be otherwise though it’s extremely difficult to say with any degree of certainty how. Maybe we can stop the personal attacks since they don’t work anyhow and focus on the large areas of agreement and then try to have discussions in the appropriate forums about what’s truly arguable. Happy holidays everyone

Happys to everyone. Had a nice long walk across the snow fields and through the woods today so I could be with the pack. We start again soon.

when the days get longer the cold gets stronger