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mahk_webstah

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Everything posted by mahk_webstah

  1. it is so soon, that we can't really default to the ensembles. lets see what nammy does very soon.
  2. is it still true that the GFS is better than the Euro with NS lows?
  3. probably not enough further back, but this can still develop a bit I'd think. If the trend to an earlier phase continues for another run or 2 then maybe it is cold enough for heavy wet snow in the interior.
  4. does the snow cover help with the BL or is it more about the bigger process/evolution?
  5. exactly. the either-or statements aren't fact-based. A good pacific is better sometimes, and a good Atlantic at others. Also depends on where you live, as I look out my window.
  6. What a gorgeous morning. A very thick dense snow, sticking to everything and should be a good base to start the snow pack. One stick had about 5 inches the other six in the other somewhere around 6 1/2. I’m going to call at 5.75 inches, a little less than Brian has as is usually the case.
  7. Some mixing here. Snow growth is not good though radar returns are fairly healthy. Maybe ice crystals are granules mixed in with very small snowflakes and sleet
  8. Looks like some somewhat heavier snow building back in up here from the west, unless I’m having radar hallucinations. Yellows showing up not too far north of Brian and I
  9. how should I interpret that at 850mb my temp at 7am is 2 or 3 degrees celsius above normal? maybe a cloudy night with snow falling keeping the temp above normal? Looks like it might be pretty warm midwest?
  10. I think you are overstating what was expected and warm surfaces had no impact because they weren’t that warm anyhow
  11. Thanks for that Chris. I figured it was likely to develop further but the radar does look shitty
  12. That radar makes me decidedly an optimistic about going anywhere more than about three or 4 inchesThat radar makes me decidedly an optimistic about going anywhere more than about three or 4 inches
  13. We tend to do a little better than you I think. And Bryan does a little better than me. My gut is similar but the models seem to be pretty consistent on wanting us to get six or seven or even 8 inches though, we’ll see
  14. The weather underground app though has gotten a bit more aggressive suggesting something that would total closer to seven or 8 inches. I guess we’re going to get into it. Of heavier snow here in a bit. Either way it’s a nice start to the snow season because this will probably be the start of a pack given the long range forecast and some nice cold nights this week.
  15. Maybe 2” light to mod. Low visibility due to fog. Hopefully we get heavier. This evening
  16. Well the Verga was overcome decisively and the snow after 15 minutes is moderate and the mulch is dusted. That was fast, hopefully it maintains
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