CarlislePaWx

Amazing. Only 2.5" here for me. Accumulating snow has ended with just a few flakes falling now. Skies brightening and temp up to 31.1.

I should also add that today's storm is the eighth day this month with measurable snow. That's more than 25% of the days this month! Pretty impressive.

Here in Carlisle at 11:00am it is currently snowing heavily, though not quite as heavy as an hour ago. There were a few lulls during this past hour as well. I picked up an additional 0.5" of snow, giving me a storm total of 2.3". The temperature has risen a little more and is now at 30.0. Winds are light. Looks like I'm going to reach 3" at the end which will just put me over the 30" mark for the season.

Here in Carlisle at 10:00am it is snowing heavily and has been heavy for the past 30 minutes. After almost a 30 minute slowdown it suddenly picked back up again. I just measured an additional 0.8" of snow during the past hour giving me a storm total of 1.8". The temp is up to 28.8 degrees. As I type this it is almost snowing the heaviest of the storm thus far. Easily over an inch per hour rate. Maybe the NAM will be wrong for me? Biggest flakes so far also.

Interestingly, central Cumberland county has consistently been modeled to only get 2". The 0Z, 6Z, and now 12Z all give me just 2". Good 'ole Blue Mountain does her thing once again if the NAM is correct. Rate here now fluctuating between moderate and light. Temp up slightly to 27.9.

Here in Carlisle at 9:00am it is snowing moderately now and the temperature is 27.7 degrees. I just measured precisely 1.0" so the past one hour had one inch per hour rates (lol). Winds are out of the southeast at 5 mph occasionally gusting to 10. Judging by radar it looks like the heaviest rates may now be to my east. Will be interesting to see what happens during the next hour.

Snow started here around 7:45 and by 8:00 it was heavy and blowing around quite a bit. Temp dropped from 30 to 27. Closing in on an inch so far. Like Bubbler said, this is about the heaviest it has snowed here during any event so far this winter.

Good morning all! Well it was nice waking up to pixie dust earlier. Round 2 did not beat out round 1. Round 1 I received 2.4" and round 1 overnight I picked up an additional 1.0" for a 2-day storm total of 3.4". Another underperformer. But as I said yesterday it looks great out there again especially the snow on all the trees. My temp is up to 30.4 so perhaps there will be a little melting this afternoon before it all refreezes tonight. I'll be back with another post with the liquid equivalents from both rounds.

Hey, I'm in the 4" zone which would triple my storm total to 6. I still don't know why the HRRR is so pessimistic as it has been on this whole thing. Along with the nearly constant freezing drizzle/occ zr I have a few snowflakes beginning to mix in along with some ice pellets. Maybe something is getting going.

Thanks! I might just get another 1 to 2" from tonight then. Hoping for 2" to make storm total 4".

Steady very light freezing rain (more than drizzle) falling here now. The snow now has a glaze on top of it. Since I was not quite expecting the zr I didn't get out to bring in my clear-vue to melt down the 2.1" of snow. After melting I measured 0.29" of liquid total which included the snow, the sleet, and the freezing rain. I'd be willing to bet the sleet is what jacked up the water content, not the freezing rain. Temp has risen only a tiny bit, up to 25.9 degrees. @pasnownut How much does the new Euro give back my way for part 2?

A review of the latest HRRR (16Z) says that approximately 2" more is yet to come for all of us. However, it doesn't restart until about 6:00pm this evening and it's over with around 2:00am tomorrow. If I can double my storm total from thus far, it'll be a minor victory. Currently the temperature isn't going anywhere even though the skies did brighten considerably for a time 30 minutes ago. They've darkened back up again now. Temp is 25.2 degrees.

Here in Carlisle at 11:00am the snow has ended. Looks like there's going to be a LONG lull. 2.1" storm total. Temp back up to 24.4 degrees. I had the heaviest rates of the storm about 20 minutes ago right before some sleet began to mix in. I'm not giving up totally but I think the HRRR is going to be right. (Sorry for sounding so down! Not usually like this but all 3 big storms this winter I underperformed by a good margin.) I know it will snow again, maybe this Monday?

Heavy snow here BUT sleet has begun to mix in. lol

Enjoying solid moderate to almost heavy with larger flakes at the moment. But if you believe the radar, at least for now it could be the last hoorah for me. Nothing on radar to my southwest with the back edge less than 20 miles to my west. Temp down to 23.9 with heavier rate drawing down colder air.

Here in Carlisle at 10:00am the snow has all but stopped. I picked up another 0.2" from my previous report for a storm total of 1.9". Temp holding at 24.4. Boy, I was encouraged by the 6Z and 12Z maps. But, has anyone been watching the HRRR? It gives the overall MDT area a storm total of 4"! Looks like it just spits for hours rest of the day and through the night. Disheartening to say the least. On the other hand, all the bare is covered again and snow is on the trees and it looks very scenic.

Morning all. Just caught up on the 119 messages that were waiting for me. In Carlisle it is 24.4 degrees with moderate fine snow falling. I've had periods of larger flakes to the point where it was briefly heavy. Not sure when it started but I'm up to 1.7" of snow as of 9:20am. No sleet. Wonder how far north that line goes?

Well, speaking of delayed starts...the current 04Z run of the HRRR doesn't have accumulating snow reaching MDT until 9:30am and its first inch until 11:00am.

Look closer...Bubbler hacked it! You were his co-conspirator. haha

Here in Carlisle at 11:22pm, moderate plain rain continues to fall. I am up to 0.45" of rain thus far. My temp has been holding just barely above freezing at 32.2 degrees. Like what I'm hearing about Thursday and especially that the NAM is joining the snow train.

What a roller coaster of model runs we've been on over the past week. And what changes to the Thursday storm from just 24 hours ago. If things don't change drastically I'll be very happy with no plain rain after whatever snow/sleet we get. This event may just get me to seasonal climo. 8" would put me at 32" for the season and we still have 6 more weeks left with snow potential. Even if everything stopped right now I'd still be very happy after the non-snow winter we just went through last season.

No ice to speak of here in Carlisle. Light rain has been falling for the past 2 hours and has accumulated 0.07" so far. When the rain started the temperature was 31.1 degrees, however, it has been very slowly rising and just now has hit 32.0. One positive thing is that if the temp doesn't go above 34 degrees with the rain, not much snow melt will occur. Meanwhile, looking pretty good for Thursday. NWS 5-11" of snow with sleet possible. I don't know if I've ever seen them issue accumulations 2 1/2 - 3 days into the future.

...12Z...not bad, a smidge less although 10" for Carlisle...lol...

Oops! Fooled again. I'll go look and see if there are any significant differences...

Here' the map with no sleet. I used Kuchera because temps are in the low 20's for nearly all of the snow portion. About 8-10" for all of us. Roughly same as previous 0Z.