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Everything posted by CarlislePaWx
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Central PA - Summer 2021
CarlislePaWx replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I made a boo-boo with the pressure conversion. I was 29.59" but that is 1002mb. I've just had a sudden jump back up to 29.62" -
Central PA - Summer 2021
CarlislePaWx replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Just reached 3.04" as the heavy rain continues. The rate is no where near this morning's torrent, but it's still adding up. One other thing I wanted to mention was that back on Sunday when the models were showing Ida's circulation reaching us, the model said it would be at a pressure of about 1003 to 1005 millibars. Well, the circulation hasn't reached us yet, however, my pressure is now down to 29.59" (998 mb). So it's interesting to note that Ida is stronger now than what had been projected a few days ago. Temp continues to drop very slowly, now down to 65.5 degrees. -
Central PA - Summer 2021
CarlislePaWx replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
1.10" in the gauge so far. Incredible torrent back around 7:30 which delivered around 0.75" in about 20 minutes. Interestingly, right now the radar is lit up with orange and yellow north of here up in true central areas. Will that shift south during the day? We'll see. Oh, btw, so far there have been zero recorded lightning strikes for the entire event. -
Central PA - Summer 2021
CarlislePaWx replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
0Z 3k has shifted the max bullseye about 20 miles east. Looks like Dillsburg is ground zero now with 11.68". Meanwhile I hit the casino slots with 7.77". I'm glad Canderson brought up the wind action. The low is still progged to be around 1003 at its closest approach. NHC shows that peak winds at each forecast point do not drop below 30mph and in fact slowly begin to go back up as the low passes to our east. I do think that wind will play a part in exacerbating the rainfall by uprooting trees that are in soaked ground. -
Central PA - Summer 2021
CarlislePaWx replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
18z 3k NAM has Perry & Cumberland counties as the bullseye for 10"+. The last one like this was with Lee as has been mentioned numerous times already. I don't have my specific record but I know it was close to 10" in less than 24 hours because it flooded the basement of the house we were renting and where most of our packed belongings were stored. Cardboard boxes don't do well in standing water. -
Central PA - Summer 2021
CarlislePaWx replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Did you happen to hear that today is the 16th anniversary of Katrina hitting New Orleans? Amazing...8/29/05 Katrina ravages NO. If it still is a depression we could see sustained 25+mph winds here Wednesday along with the torrential rain. I certainly hope the icon's 11" for MDT does not materialize. Even 6-8" is going to create some havoc around here. -
Central PA - Summer 2021
CarlislePaWx replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Wow...dead smack in the max precip bullseye. Will have to get ready for it. -
Central PA - Summer 2021
CarlislePaWx replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
5:00pm it's 90.5, which is the high of the day (so far), with heat index of 97 and dp of 72. So, day 2 of 90+ with at least 3 more to go. -
Central PA - Summer 2021
CarlislePaWx replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Hit 91.9 yesterday with a max heat index of 98 as dew points held in the low 70's. Currently 88.3 but heat index a little lower at 92 with a dew point of 70. NWS says my max temps will be over 90 every day this week until Saturday. That's a pretty long stretch of 90's getting this late in the season. All I know is that a week from today the normal high will be 80 and on its way down! Actually normal low should be down around 57. That sounds nice. -
Central PA - Summer 2021
CarlislePaWx replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Hi Guys...just a quick update to say that I've recorded only 0.15" of rain so far today. The radar looks interesting with our precip rotating down toward us from the northeast. Clearly we are no where near the western edge of Henri's circulation but I guess it must be that upper trough interacting with Henri to enhance the precip over us? -
Central PA - Summer 2021
CarlislePaWx replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Get ready @Blizzard of 93, @canderson, & @sauss06...it's rapidly approaching you now. Meanwhile the show is quickly coming to an end here...but what a show! -
Central PA - Summer 2021
CarlislePaWx replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Wow...what a storm with wind and hurricane force rainfall. I've picked up in the past 45 minutes over 1.6" of new rainfall for a total since midnight approaching 4". It's finally beginning to subside. But every time it looked like it was beginning to let up it just roared right back with more wind and heavier rain. Hope everyone is staying safe! -
Central PA - Summer 2021
CarlislePaWx replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I'm in the preceding downdraft which has plunged the temp from 96 to 83. That's with no rain effects yet but it does look like it will start raining here any minute. -
Central PA - Summer 2021
CarlislePaWx replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
You just took the words right out of my mouth! The heavier cells have done what they like to do which is follow the ridge lines of Blue Mountain and South Mountain leaving a gap in the valley. It certainly does not look promising for me for anything substantial. The precip is just about to arrive here and the clouds are turning the darkest they've been and I hear thunder. -
Central PA - Summer 2021
CarlislePaWx replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Dark, ominous clouds now rapidly approaching from the west. Sun is now almost totally blocked and the heating has ended. Temp has now dropped back to 92.8 and HI down to 105. I'm hoping to pick up a decent amount of rain with this one. Oh, I forgot to mention that lightning detection distance is all the way down to 5-9 miles so it really is approaching quickly. -
Central PA - Summer 2021
CarlislePaWx replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Storms are still out in western Cumberland near Newburg. My lightning detector is catching frequent strikes roughly 20-25 miles away. It's weird being in an active severe thunderstorm warning while the sun is still out. One thing these storms will definitely do is cut short the heating of the afternoon. Currently 96.3 with a dew of 75.9 and a heat index of 109.4. So, I'm in excessive heat warning territory. Doubt I reach 98.1 (which has been my high the past 2 days) but it will be a race to the finish. -
Central PA - Summer 2021
CarlislePaWx replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Had a low this morning of 66.9 degrees. Last night the dew point dropped about 8 degrees from 74 to 66. That made a huge difference regarding comfort. Before that drop, I noted that my heat index did not drop below 100 until 8:05pm. The drop in dew point took place around 9:00pm or so and this morning it's a "refreshing" 67 degrees...lol. It might be interesting to see what happens with high temps this afternoon. I know they are forecast to be around 95, but with the dew point drier my guess is I'll be back up around 98 later today. It's just that the heat index will only be around 102 versus the 110 yesterday afternoon. -
Central PA - Summer 2021
CarlislePaWx replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Continues to be amazing here. My weather station is now in the shade. Shortly before 7:30pm the temp is 93 degrees with a heat index of 103...in the shade!!! -
Central PA - Summer 2021
CarlislePaWx replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I just checked and my maximum heat index occurred back at 4:05pm at a blistering 113.3 degrees. That might be around the highest heat index I have ever recorded anywhere. -
Central PA - Summer 2021
CarlislePaWx replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I tied my high from yesterday at 98.1, however the dew point was a little higher around 75 versus 72 yesterday so my heat index peaked at 110. It's still 107 at 6:30. Ridiculous! -
Central PA - Summer 2021
CarlislePaWx replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
An hour later and the climb continues... temp up to 94.3 with dew point of 76.3 and a warning level heat index of 107.6! -
Central PA - Summer 2021
CarlislePaWx replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
At 1:15pm my temp is up to 92.7 with a dew point of 75.9 and a heat index of 105. This is about the same as this time yesterday. -
Central PA - Summer 2021
CarlislePaWx replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
High temp was recorded at 3:31pm which would be within an hour of the typical time of high temps. It was the drop in temp associated with the glancing thunderstorm that sent it down 22 degrees to 76 in under 30 minutes. I mentioned yesterday that the heat index which was 108 dropped 30 degrees to 78. -
Central PA - Summer 2021
CarlislePaWx replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I started off yesterday with a low of 66.9 and ended up hitting 98.1 before the storm arrived. Picked up a whopping 0.10" from it. My low this morning was 66.7. Today is forecast to be hotter than yesterday so I think I've got a pretty good shot at 100 (not that I'm routing that on)! -
Central PA - Summer 2021
CarlislePaWx replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I'm getting side-swiped with a thunderstorm running just to my south. Had a lot of wind preceding the arrival of the rain. Heat Index / Real Feel dropped from 108 to 78 in about 20 minutes. Actual temp dropped from 97 to 76. High heat for today is at least over. That cell over Harrisburg really blew up quickly and even blew up to the west of the river as the line was moving east.