Terpeast
-
Posts
5,912 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Terpeast
-
Gfs ice storm and euro slider, lets split the difference
-
Same
-
12z gfs is less out here but given low qpf to begin with, its mainly noise. Temps may be cold enough to maintain decent ratios west of the beltway though
-
Hoping I get 1.5”+ tomorrow
-
Similar amounts here judging from the pic, some whitening in the shortest grass spots.
-
Nailed it. Temps have not been an issue, it’s just moisture or lack there of. Hopefully that changes in the next 2-3 weeks.
-
I noticed nam 3k tries to paste a couple inches out here this way. Ashburn, about 4 miles east of 15
-
Acceptable. I do that.
-
Euro weeklies trended much better for us in feb even! It wants to keep the good pattern going through feb until losing it around 2/23
-
Back to graupel, but temp is 33 so its sticking better
-
Yeah I was concerned about pac energy breaking apart the +pna and torching canada, but recent ens runs stop short of doing that and still maintain western ridging. Canada will warm up yes, but we may stay NN/BN in the east and during this window that’s all we need.
-
Great shot!
-
I think we can say this overperformed for the n/w suburbs
-
Spoke too soon. Snowing again. May get another 0.1” to push my season total up to 3”
-
12/5: 1.5” 12/14: 1.0” 1/1: 0.2” 1/17: 0.3” Total: 3.0”
-
Stopped here. Calling it a 0.2” car topper and grassy dusting. Hope those to the east of me get more with that yellow band if it holds together.
-
We got the snow globe in Ashburn, just jebwalked with my daughter. Good for the soul
- 672 replies
-
- 11
-
-
actual flakes coming down. Still very light
-
Mostly graupel falling. Ashburn
-
Looking ahead to sunday (tomorrow?) I see the 00z models trended more NW, giving us a couple inches?
-
There is indeed ensemble support for jan 25-27 and again 28-30. Don’t know why some are saying otherwise. Jan 22 is the only threat that doesn’t have much support.
-
Dusting. 0.1”. 37
-
Got a dusting overnight
-
Looks like the Euro is favoring this scenario by driving the GOA low and torching Canada. But GEFS disagrees a bit, it stops short of doing what the euro did and instead retrogrades the trough towards the aleutians.
-
GOA low might break through and torch the whole North America. We’ll likely hold onto the cold the longest, and I hope its only temporary as mjo tries to get into 8 and weeklies pop another -ao in early feb. But once canada torches, it’ll take a long time for us to get cold again. edit: euro does this, but gefs (12z) doesn’t quite punch the goa low through
