It actually did rain pretty hard for 4 minutes, I timed it. The high spot in the street is already drying after steaming for a few minutes. Yeah, I see some crazy numbers and I'm sorta hoping it's not like that. So much is hardpan and it will run off pretty fast, the savior might be how slowly it's starting. This little initial burst may moisten the surface just enough to help avert disaster but if the streams and piles of debris in my yard from one shower mean anything there's a lot of shit that will move right away.
I still think this will be a Dutchess/Columbia/Berkshire Counties jackpot.