Neutral tilted 500 at 126 over central Texas def isn’t a good sign for us. Ack. Going to go negative way too early, IMO. Even further west at 138 vs 18Z. Meh. Ensembles!
I'm astounded at the virtually ZERO southern stream (southern stream.. .what southern stream?) interaction. Trough doesn't go further south than northern KY where on the GFS it's in northern FL. Bananas.
I feel like the front end is going to make everyone happiest in this forum. Miller B type coastal storms during a La Nina and lack of blocking is not going to work well for everyone. IMO.
What a mess. Trying to understand how the 18Z NAM has a 1001 L way out over the Atlantic and then next panel jumps it way back WEST. Then throws zippo over almost all regions. Man that is a total dumpster fire
I'm not disagreeing with you at all. In fact, if you study the 12Z GFS vs the 18Z NAM at 500, it's pretty close. EDIT: NAM is just held back a little bit. Maybe that's enough? Who knows.