Quasievil
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Everything posted by Quasievil
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As I recall, the Mets yesterday said 00z Thursday
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I don't like it as much but it IS climo I guess.
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It's a fair point but it's not a good run of the model - this time. Better?
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It's a fair point but it's not a good trend
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CMC - Hold my beer.
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CMC is a complete disaster.
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It's difficult but I am going to refrain from taking this GFS run this seriously right now. If the Euro still holds or doesn't amplify quite as much as its 6Z, then it's cause to relax a bit. The GFS has been a mess so far.
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Glad you moved away from really really thinking about extrapolating the NAM.
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This is what model watching is all about folks. We can't expect clean model runs from now until Saturday. In any event, remember this - no one really cares if you switch to sleet if you're staring at a foot of snow. These robust systems tend to do that anyway given their dynamic nature. We can start to panic a bit if the LOW ends up in PA.
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Truly ridiculous. It might be right, who knows, but it’s irresponsible because it gives false hope that the models are always this good 4-5 days out. So dumb.
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TWC naming a “storm” that is simply model 1’s and 0’s right now is hysterical. That channel was much more fun to watch on my CRT cabinet television hooked up to rabbit ears.
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Totally agree. I think it was going to go bananas.
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Well, seems as though LWX is all in.
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It’s not an official storm until we’re NAM’d. That’s the benchmark.
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Worried about the GFS being right? Looking for a suppressed mess?
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I can’t find it on there either. Navigating weather.gov makes me want to throw my iPad.
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I don't dislike this - precip field tugs more north compared to 12Z. If GFS had a bullseye this far out, I'd be worried - this is inline with what we typically see from the GFS in previous big events.
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A brutal 48 hours of model watching. Brutal.
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I question Jesus serving you a Tomahawk.
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I don't believe you - the not on tonight part.
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OUTSTANDING selection.
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Thanks. I always forget that. EURO looks like 8pm Wednesday night... give or take.
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So what time frames are we talking here? 12Z GFS looks like 18Z (1pm) Wednesday start time. 12Z CMC looks like 6Z (2am?) Thursday start time. 12Z ICON has 12z (7am) Wednesday start time. I don't have access to the 12Z EURO. Interesting we don't have a solid agreement on WHEN.
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That's why this has more value, IMO - this also has little to no meteorological basis - but we're on the right side of things here. EURO vs GFS. We'd be waiting for the eventual cave if it was the GFS showing this. GFS has it right where we want it at this timeframe.
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Haven't had a run like this in a long while ... that actually matters. That's a beautiful looking EURO run. Just, smoked.
