Yeah, it's terrible. Warm, transfer happens too late, too far north. Like everyway it can fail here all rolled into one. Meh.
Edit: at least the front end thump looks nice while it lasts.
GFS is all over the damn place. LOW over Ohio this run, LOW far off coast of Maryland on the 6Z, has a LOW far off the coast of North Carolina on the 00Z. It has no clue.
EDIT: Do think the CMC is setting itself up nicely but we'll see.
No, keep it up. It makes for good weather discussion which is the whole point here. Few more EURO runs in a row with this type of solution and we can start to get a little more excited. Until then... we need to explore all possibilities.