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goldsborosnow

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Everything posted by goldsborosnow

  1. 1:30pm SPC update: ...Carolinas to the Middle Atlantic region... Southern-stream shortwave trough will deamplify as it becomes absorbed within the base of an amplifying northern-stream trough and move off the Atlantic Seaboard early Friday. The northern-stream trough will continue through the Carolinas and Middle Atlantic region during the day accompanied by a cold front. Modest low-level moisture with dewpoints in the upper 50s to lower 60s F will advect through the warm sector along a 50 kt low-level jet. This in conjunction with some cloud breaks will destabilize the boundary layer with MLCAPE from 500-1000 J/kg possible. Some thunderstorms may be ongoing along the NC coast early Friday in association with the leading shortwave trough. Farther upstream, storms are expected to intensify along and ahead of the cold front as the boundary layer destabilizes from VA into NC and possibly as far south as SC. Strengthening mid-upper wind profiles accompanying the northern-stream shortwave trough will support 40-45 kt effective bulk shear supportive of embedded organized structures with storms developing within the evolving squall line and some supercells with any storms developing ahead of the line. Damaging wind appears to be the main threat, but isolated tornadoes are also possible. Severe threat should end by early evening as the cold front moves offshore.
  2. . Marginal Risk for Eastern NC, VA, SC, and Central Florida tomorrow afternoon.
  3. 1.71" inches of rain yesterday at the house in Pikeville and was able to observe the wall cloud associated with the tornado warning near Downtown Goldsboro.
  4. The SPC has an enhanced risk for Eastern North Carolina on Friday.
  5. Received an inch yesterday for a two day total of 2.25".
  6. 1.25" over the last 24 hours in Pikeville.
  7. SPC went with a much larger slight risk area with the 2:00am update.
  8. Pictures of the severe thunderstorm taken from Pikeville about an hour ago.
  9. There was a thread titled "The Big Wet" during one of those summers. I can't remember the year, but it was in the 2012 or 2013 time frame.
  10. Showers developing east of Raleigh and the cold front itself showing up just west of Durham.
  11. "gulf coast convection may rob moisture transport"
  12. I just hope that the Jags are up to beating the Patriots and if not them, hopefully which ever NFC team they face can get it done in the Superbowl.
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