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tamarack

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Everything posted by tamarack

  1. Or a dozen. An ice circle 2 feet thick and 500 feet in diameter weighs about 10,000 tons - lots of inertia. Cutting a perfect circle with saw blades perfectly vertical is critical. My guess is that once the circle is marked on the ice, they chainsaw it twice an inch or 2 apart to ensure clearance.
  2. CAR's forecast for Fort Kent: Today Mostly sunny, with a high near 40. Light and variable wind becoming east around 5 mph in the afternoon. Tonight Snow, mainly after midnight. Low around 27. Southeast wind 9 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Sunday Snow. High near 33. East wind 11 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible. Sunday Night Snow, mainly before 3am, then a chance of snow showers after 3am. Low around 27. East wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.
  3. Slightly" is the right term. My 25year average is 88.5", and for 2016-23 it's 85.9". The difference is noise, and any further snow this season will mean less noise.
  4. Replaced by boredom. GYX forecast here for each day Mon-Thurs: High 42-44, low 23-25, partly/mostly sunny. About 1° AN, yay. And tomorrow night's disappearing accumulation continues; in 3 days we've gone from maybe 6+ to being on the 1-2/2-3 line. Otherwise, it's been a good snow season despite being the mildest met winter of 25 here. Will be the mildest DJFM, too, unless we suddenly get some subzero mornings. Might get some sub-20s but I doubt we see the temp <10° until next November. (Or December)
  5. Of course, that differs by location! 15-16 was the least snowy here in our 25 winters and it was even worse for NVT. 16-17 was near epic and Pi Day was one of only 4 blizz criteria events here. 17-18 and 18-19 were good, 19-20 was BN, saved from ratterdom by 22" post-equinox, 20-21 ratter, 21-22 near-ratter, 22-23 avg to good.
  6. Similar here but's still in the mid 30s.
  7. Your #2 is 3 feet below #1 and might be vulnerable. #2 here is 42" above my YTD (it's 00-01 so before your records) while #3 (16-17) is 31" ahead. 14-15 is in 4th place with 112.8" so if things break right, we might get there, but top 3 look out of reach - April 2007 isn't walking thru the door.
  8. Somewhat ironic that the northern (and mountain) Maine trails become more durable this time of year. Same goes for skid trails - this would be the time that skidder-chainsaw crews would work the cedar swamps. Break trails in the afternoon and next morning it's like driving on a gravel road.
  9. Not an official mistake, but CAR's least snowy winter was undoubtedly 1943-44. Unfortunately, there's no records for March, but using nearby/similar sites (Fort Kent; PQI measurements are off-base low) would show that CAR that season had ~60". Long ago (early '80s) I read that 43-44 had 58.5 but I've not seen corroborating evidence.
  10. I'd take another 4/28-29 snowfall. ORH got 17", biggest of that snow season. The flood peaked on 4/1 or 4/2, depending on where on the river. Katadhin with 54" Undoubtedly at Chimney Pond - the ridge 2,200' higher would never hold that much; its wind probably isn't all that much less than at MWN. In 2017 the depth at Chimney reached 94", tallest in Maine records.
  11. I think that Maine code requires 80 lb/sq.ft. bearing strength, which would be nearly 16" SWE. (In NJ it was 40 lb.) In the Sierras with relatively dense snow (compared to the Rockies) the code might be 150 lb but that's only a guess.
  12. New Sweden reported 24" pack this morning. That's farm country - to the west add at least another foot, with more to come. And you know how good the grooming is there. Mid 40s here with snow echoes overhead, but the DP deficit of 25°+ ensures that nothing makes it to the ground.
  13. Or worse, we get another May 2005 and met summer 2009. Analog there is G6 in the '86 series. After that, losing G7 was anticlimax.
  14. Not all back-loaded here. It may be a stretch, but this snow season reminds me of G6 of the 1975 WS - Sox jump out to a 3-0 lead (the mid-Dec 22" dump) then the Reds catch up and pass, leading 6-3 late (the 12/23 deluge and record warm Jan). The Bernie Carbo 3-run dinger to tie the game was like the 29" we've had Feb 28-on. Now we just need Fisk's barely fair walk-off analogy, like a 32-33° blue bomb. (or 2 )
  15. Not too deeply, for ~6". (PWM 10.2", Brunswick 4.8")
  16. Except for The County, perhaps. Central Aroostook is upper Midwest and the north is PQ/Acadia. You should start a NNE circle jerk thread for the 3 people and 4 deer that care- Moose
  17. Centerline goes right over Jackman, pop <800. Might be a bit more crowded there for this event. Given that the most recent 4-5 lunar eclipses have been cloud-spoiled here and typical early spring wx, I try not to get too excited. Saw a story about it (burying electric utilities). I had always thought it was $1 million per mile. This report had it $4-6 million per mile. An older study had pegged Massachusetts as needed $1 trillion to bury then statewide. Probably twice that for Maine - only a quarter the population but 6 times the area (though the land between Moosehead Lake and Allagash Village won't cost much). At $6 million/mile our 2000-foot gravel road with 3 customers would take more than $2 million.
  18. One sign of a good book is that it's better when read ag second time. UMaine wildlife professor highly recommended Sand County Almanac when I was there about 1973, and I've probably read it 8-10 times since. Pack down to 21", same as on Feb 27 and we've had 29" since then. Peak was 36" on March 4.
  19. Without that blast, this winter would've been peach-safe at my frost pocket. After 3 years of dieback/regrowth, 2001-02 with its coldest a mere -12 was followed by 100+ luscious fruit. Then came 02-03 with 12 minima of -20 to -29, some with wind, and the tree was dead. Was nice to get that crop before being firmly shown that trying to grow peaches here was a fool's errand.
  20. Geese may not have much temporal wx knowledge but they must have some geographical. When they're flying north at night during early spring, investing hundreds of miles of effort, their survival can depend on their finding open water in the morning. (Thanks to the late Aldo Leopold and his "Sand County Almanac".) This winter is one the strangest and is wrecking my grading system, which is based on both temp and snow. Month Temp Snow DEC +5.0 +4.4" (123%) JAN +9.1 +9.9" (149%) FEB +1.5 -6.3" (72%) MAR +4.1 +5.8" (135%) thru the 16th, snow compared to full month. Snowfall inverse to cold?
  21. The storm was down to flurries at our place by 8 AM that Sunday morning. Checking the hourly obs from GYX, I saw that BGR had light snow and calm wind, while 65 miles SE at Mt. Desert Rock, wind was 55kt.
  22. That storm lived up to all the hype in all of the east coast states, but not at our Gardiner home as warm air aloft turned 1.70" LE into 10.3" of heavily rimed flakes, with modest winds. Also, February had produced 4 warning criteria storms, the top 3 dumping 11" to 14.5". However, the 31" pack on March 14 was our tallest in 13 winters there.
  23. Probably, but it's likely more than that, as Nov plus Dec 1-15 snow averages 15", only about 17% of the current 89.6" total.
  24. Only one site though a long one (130 years) - Farmington co-op shows a solid correlation between Nov temp and snowfall. Nov AN temp, avg snowfall 84.4" Nov BN temp, avg snowfall 95.9" Irony: The co-op's snowiest winter (164" in 68-69) and lest snowy (43" in 80-81) both had BN temps in Nov. (Another topic: Farmington co-op obs stopped in the middle of last Oct. It would be sad if that 99%+ complete data has come to an end. In recent years, century-plus obs have ended at Lewiston, Bridgton and Gardiner.)
  25. Using Google Earth, I found that Saugerties-area sites within 3.7 miles of each other that had up to 2,400' difference in elevation.
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