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Everything posted by Jebman
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Well Reaper, if you do try to retire, you guys will get lots of rain wrapped cutters all winter. You'll enjoy slop fests with 3:1 cement all winter. Ironically, some of those cutters will incidentally give us snow while giving you torrential wind whipped rain and sleet. Looks whats happening to you guys now. Who's to say I DON'T have ties to the weather-controlling Chinese? The Chinese and to a lesser extent the Russians, have weather control or manipulation technology. I really love that stuff, with all my heart. You could control the whole world with that kind of power! Save yourslef a LOT of pain and angst right now. Come back as the meanest, evillest Reaper the world has ever known, and get to enjoy a nice winter. Or else. Because I yearn, to be Reaped by the best of them. When you come back as a very demonic Reaper, I will pretend to be out on the Ledge getting ready to Jump, because of an unbearably mild winter all over North America, Jay Peak included, then you can Reap me, the Jebman. I never ever got to find out what it is, to be truly Reaped.
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Nice appetizer, Reaper. But we want you back here, eviller than ever! As a result, the new years eve blizzard will dump four feet snow in the sne. But I expect you back in here stat, more demonic than ever! The Reaper does NOT retire! You will not get to reap very many of us, since this is going to be one of the coldest, snowiest Mid Atlantic winters in a generation. We may get snow on the 23rd. As a result of your appearance, the SNE and NE will get annihilated by four feet of wind driven snow on New Year's Day. Connecticut will be buried by 2-3 feet of snow. That storm, will be the beginning of what Ginxy refers to, as a special winter. The Reaper will start a new demonic topic up in here and be VERY menacing. The Panic Room, is a Mid Atlantic Institution for the Ages.
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You want to see REAL SNOW? Go to Jay Peak VT. You coming? ( https://jaypeakresort.com/skiing-riding/snow-report-maps/weather-tim-kelley ) UPDATED DECEMBER 16TH, 2022 White Knuckle I’m not just talking about the drive to the mountain in this storm. I’m talking about how deep the snow may be if you hike through some untouched snow around the resort this weekend - up to your knuckles - while standing straight up. Once you lean over into a prone snow riding position, it’s more like white chin, white beard, white mustache, white hair, white teeth… (kids under 10 do not count or we will have to dig them out later) ha ha ha, just seeing if you're paying attention. Seriously though, for all those days we missed seeing new snow since Thanksgiving, we’re making up for it in one storm. Or at least we hope to, if what I’m seeing all pans out. It started snowing just after daybreak Friday, and it’s not completely done till about Tuesday, or at least it may let up a little for a short time. If anything I probably have to increase our snowfall forecast number from the 30 inches we predicted a few days ago, if all goes well. The storm that generated the Great Plains blizzard has kind of stalled out over the Great Lakes, but a new storm formed off New Jersey and is moving over to Cape Cod and into the Gulf of Maine Friday night into Saturday. There’s an inverted trough connecting the two systems. So that means ocean-saturated air from the east is gradually shifting around, coming in from the north then west later Saturday. That causes wind blowing into itself, along with upslope flow, making air rise, which causes air to cool and condense, which causes snowflakes. That’s part one of this storm. It looks like we could be close to 2 feet before the end of our Saturday, fingers crossed. You may not notice the transition as the set up then changes from what we call a synoptic scale system, to more of a Jay Cloud situation. Around noon or so Saturday, the snow is all the sudden going to be falling in a different direction and become much less dense. Powder on top of cream cheese. A perfect base building setup for the rest of winter. And though natural snow has been sparse lately, I think we MAY be able to get into some low-angle glades before we’re done here Monday or Tuesday. Snowfall intensity MAY decrease a bit Saturday night and Sunday, or at least become more intermittent, but we could get about another 12 inches or so before the last chair Sunday. After that, snowfall might just ramp back up Sunday night and Monday as we have additional moisture laden, unstable, low barometer, cool pool aloft (the center of the old blizzard storm) passing over into Monday. Checking my math now, I think I just called for 36 or so - inches of snow by Monday. Wind and chill looks tolerable until then. We are still snow'n - and start blow'n - most of Monday. Pushing 40" by Tuesday?? Possibly! I’ve been right before, you know. We may get a few minutes of sunshine Tuesday, but then there’s another upper level low with much colder air coming at us along with snow squalls Tuesday night into Wednesday. That looks like it could be another 6 to 10" when the Jay Cloud kicks in. Then we MAY get Thursday off for a snow-break before the real storm arrives next Friday or so. The Friday storm looks like the real deal - historic possibly. Keyword: possibly. With an arctic blast on the backside, just to keep us strong. Several more FEET of snow POSSIBLE next Friday-Saturday. That one comes with true Arctic storm force wind. We have that (brutal wind) to not look forward to, but at least we’ll have a few more days on the mountain to get acclimated first. It’s rare that we go a complete Christmas & New Year’s vacation without some kind of meltdown and refreeze. Knock on wood - this MAY be the year. You have ice balls on your eyebrows - take care of that. Talk again Tuesday. -Tim **************************************************** I absolutely WORSHIP Jay Peak, Vermont. No better place on North America, for snow. They make SNE look like Tampa, Florida during Spring Break.
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I need Redemption BAD. I am considering stealing a tractor trailer and gunning it to 120 mph then smashing through downtown Washington DC at speed, all because its too warm in Central Texas and I miss The Reaper in our Panic Room. I feel it is a fitting jump off the ledge scenario. I am also getting concerned about the long term models depicting a mild winter throughout the US into April 2023, even up in New England with flooding rains in Jay Peak. Of course, I am only joking lol. (In the present political climate, I could truly find my door knocked down by enterprising individuals in the name of safety and security lol) I am joking about the tractor trailer, but not joking about the mild winter. It appears increasingly likely.
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What really, REALLY breaks my heart about The Panic Room, is that The Reaper thinks he can retire. Please Reaper, come back. This place is just not the same without you. A few years ago, I wanted to know what it was like to get reaped. Now, I will never know, even if I gave up on winter for the rest of my life. The Panic Room without The Reaper, is far worse than getting Lucy'd by ten 2001 blizzards ten winters in a frackin' row, in one decade. It truly sucks huge hairy goat balls. Reaper, get back here stat. Don't make me have to shut off all the snow up there in Connecticut and make every blizzard go cutter for the next twenty winters in the Northeast. Hint: What's happening RIGHT NOW in the New England sub....... You better get back here Reaper. I expect a massively demonic entrance.
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Look at it this way, weathafella. You make the exciting move to Northern Vermont. You will be very close to Jay Peak! You just stroll over there after a routine 72 inch snowstorm and ski in neck-deep pow all day and then send us all pictures and videos. You think its too much snow? I come dig you out with a patented Jebman Shovel. You're all good now. Make the move. Get snowed in, enjoy it to the full.
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I have been saying this for a while now, that the Mid Atlantic will have a frigid, snowy winter. Who is still not a Believer?
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I have been looking at model runs in the New England sub, I have a question for knowledgeable hobbyists or even a degreed met: That trough that's digging in the next week, how doggone cold is it going to get in South Texas? I really do NOT like the looks of it, not one little bit. I really do NOT want to lose my plants. That Makes me think about Feb 2021, and I was promised it would never get that cold again down here for another 150 years.
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Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
Jebman replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Watch out in a few days ---- another les event may be in the offing for the Buffalo southtowns -
Winter 2022-2023 Promises Plenty of Mid Season Mayhem
Jebman replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
You do a very thorough job. That, is an outright Brobdingnagian dissertation. Its gonna take some time to go through it and fully appreciate it. I hope you, and your entire region, gets far more snow this winter, than Jay Peak Resort gets in a good winter for them! I hope you and everyone else up there in the Northeast, enjoys it to the full and stays safe as well. Happy Holidays too! -
Winter 2022-2023 Promises Plenty of Mid Season Mayhem
Jebman replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
40/70 Benchmark, You really need to go to meteorological school and become a degreed meteorologist! You have serious talent, you are a meteorological Einstein 2.0. You need to put these Brobdingnagian weather skills to work and make some money from them! Maybe as a kind of consultant. You are right up there with HM and Typhoon Tip. No. fracking. kidding. -
Jefferson County is Hollywood Casino ftw
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Winter 2022-2023 Promises Plenty of Mid Season Mayhem
Jebman replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Wow. That is one YUGE article, kind of like an Opus about the weather this winter. This place is an exciting university where I learn so much it is unbelievable! -
Wow, folks, this topic is LOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOG! You know how I feel about the Mid Atlantic in the DJFM timeframe: COLD and VERY SNOWY. So damn much snow that you will be sick and tired of snow.
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My 2022-23 winter outlook & "what went wrong" Post-mortem
Jebman replied to Terpeast's topic in Mid Atlantic
It will. You guys are gonna get far more snow than you ever imagined this winter in the DC Metropolitan Region.
