Jebman

That is unbelievable. An attempted jebwalk in those conditions would be terminal, unless you grew up there.

You'll probably see some mix, but not before you get THUMPED but good! Get a yardstick. Its easier to find lol.

So many times I have traveled to Charles Town from Dale City in wintry weather. Dale City would be sleety, maybe a little rain, then I'd proceed along Rt 28 NW'ward, more sleet, some snow near where Rt 28 just merges with Rt 7. Then by the time I got to the Skyway, that's what I called that bridge, once I cleared that, it was sleet snow then you hit the major elevation change. That's where it changed, to all light snow. Hit Rt 9, enter Clueless's 'hood, Paeonian Springs where the light snow becomes steadier and heavier. This is where things get really fun, because Hillsboro, that's a low hill, you cross that place and often mixes change to snow, or light snow becomes a little bit heavier. Then you hit the West Virginia state line. You know the Appalachian Trail runs thru there? You go west young man, and the snow gets heavier. It's just something about Wild, Wonderful West Virginia! That place can be one heck of a winter wonderland! They got some nice hotels, and why not? Why not win BIG while you enjoy the deep snow?! You want snow? Go to Charles Town. It wont let you down. West Virginians don't know how to fail. That place gets a LOT of snow!

Believe it. Enjoy it. Live it. You're gonna be diggin snow for a while. Don't make me have to use The Face for your backyard.

There may be a warm nose, but you, You are on Route 9. I've been there, many many times on the way to Charles Town. You got elevation. You are gonna get AT LEAST 7-8 inches. You're gonna get obliterated during the thump from orographic effects! Position yourself at Charles Town. They get demolished BAD in these kinds of setups.

Model tracking is a lot of the fun, all the anticipation!

This weekend would be a great time to drive up Rt 28, Rt 7 then Rt 9 to Charles Town. They'll get 10-12 inches easy, prolly no sleet. Play the slots and especially the Craps, win BIG, and get to enjoy snow as well! If I was there, thats EXACTLY what I'd do........

India has pretty high dewpoints. I enjoy summer some, bit I sure dont want to live there, lol

Thats why I posted my unreadable junk in Banter, lol Hopin for the best for you all

I'd happily take four weeks of 110 weather in August and no rain and I got to work out in it til I get sick - 28 days in a row - absolutely puking sick - IF DC can have this storm track 50 miles east then demolish them with 17 inches of Parrs Ridge pow. Damn I want you guys to get smashed by torrential blinding snow with three inch aggregates so damn bad with this, I can taste it! I crave DC getting absolutely fooking DESTROYED by heavy heavy snow! Get them right under the deform for three solid days! No fookin mercy! Get those northeasterlies blowin hard, pile up crazy drifts!

You need to go to the store, buy about ten Jebman Shovels, because the entire Washington Metropolitan Region is going to get demolished by a Jebman Shift in the models, maybe several Jebman Shifts. The entire region's gonna be under WSW's. Well maybe NOT Jebman shifts, but shifts nonetheless that will place all of your backyards squarely in the torrential snow and under the deform. Track the models strap yourself in tight, gonna be a wild ride lol

Those shifts are gonna happen. Keep tracking the models.

Keep the faith everyone! We'll WILL this one home!

It is. This storm is gonna be big and bad and is gonna wallop someone with a few trillion vigintillion metric tons of wind driven frigid snow.

Thanks. I know you all have your work cut out for you just trying to track this thing, on top of jobs and family obligations.

I have a VERY dumb weenie question: I have an old friend who moved to ATL. What are the chances they see snow this weekend? Thanks

YOU are a Mod! Storm Mode it, lol

yeah we kind of need to watch this system

Try a jebwalk in those windchills.

MN Transplant are they using artificial intelligence in the models yet? Or have they been for some time? You'd think that might help some.

Jan 25 2000 was an unexpected snowstorm in Northern Virginia. It wasnt expected. I remember jebwalking on the night of Jan 24 and it was getting very windy, The next day it snowed and snowed. Dale City got demolished by 12.5 inches of snow!

Well Bostonians were laughing at our snow drought, and the snow gods didnt appreciate that........

I have placed this in Banter because it may or may not obtain. This is an excerpt from Larry Cosgrove's weather newsletter. https://groups.google.com/g/weatheramerica/c/02shLHstC-8 It's engrossing and compulsive reading. If it IS realized... Everyone had better stock up on whatever it is you use to stay awake for days and days because we are going to be chasing model runs very soon! This may develop into a STORM MODE magnitude blizzard. The end phase of the current La Nina episode is beginning, the circumpolar vortex continues to show a "rubber band" elasticity, and the subtropical jet stream appears to be energizing. These events, and the recent expansion of the snow field in Russia and North America are solid indicators of a colder, and likely stormier, turn in weather over the lower 48 states. I will caution you that a more wintry period probably will not last all that long (3 to 4 weeks), since all model guidance for February in the lower 48 states is warmer (retreat of Arctic air into Canada). A key feature is the possibility of a "triple phase" weather event affecting the eastern third of the continent in the 11-15 day time frame. With blocking signatures in the -EPO (Alaska), -AO (Northwest Territories and Nunavut AR), and -NAO (Greenland) positions, energy coming across the Pacific Northwest should be forced into the south central U.S., coming into contact with the aforementioned southern branch nearing Baja California. A cAk vortex nearing James Bay may be pushed into Ontario and Michigan, leaving open the possibility of contact with any disturbance moving along the Gulf Coast and then up and just off of the Atlantic shoreline. The ensemble platforms have hinted at this possibility for about ten days now (that is a long time in terms of numerical model profiling), so I have decent confidence that something akin to a major winter storm will occur in the longer term. The chief area of interest would be from the Great Lakes region into the Mid-South, Appalachia and the Interstate 95 corridor above Fayetteville NC. Now if you think this areal coverage is too much and too far south, just take a look at the past two episodes involving heavy snowfall. Typically in this type of set-up, the coldest air is found along and to the right of the Rocky Mountains. As long as ridging holds across the western U.S., the greatest chill will occur along and east of a line from Edmonton AB to Laredo TX. A subsidence inversion may develop through the Intermountain Region, in association with +PNA ridging, creating seemingly endless bouts of Tule fog and low-level chilly temperatures.

That 1996 Bliz coverage on TWC was truly EPIC - At least a hundred Bob Chill Faces EPIC! Just Wow! I was up all night, all day.

The only color that matters is the beautiful blue white of deep snow in the Mid Atlantic. I've been long tellin you you were gonna get annihilated by snow. You got more, A LOT MORE comin this winter!