Jebman

You guys in the Mid Atlantic will enjoy many very good snowstorms this winter. This will be a memorable winter for you. Enjoy. Next winter will be even better. You will have precipitation extremes associated with some of the snows which will result in incredible accumulations in the DC Region and in the overall Mid Atlantic. This is going to be one of the best winters EVER in Washington DC in memory!

The Gulf of Mexico is extremely powerful down here in S TX. We were supposed to be able to enjoy a high today of 70. Well, we hit 89/72 yet again. Texas is NO place for people who enjoy cool weather, let alone snow. We have two seasons down here: Summer, and Slightly cooler Summer, lol.

Ugh is the Word for today down in south central TX. It's 75 degrees with a 73 dewpoint. Ugh. On November 6. Double Ugh. There is no winter here. Whatever you do, DO NOT end up living down here, unless you happen to be Subtropics lol. Its a living hell, a fate worse than Death. Not only does it not ever snow, it gets hot and humid frequently, even in mid winter. The Gulf of Mexico is a relentless taskmaster, we get lashed hard by warm humid weather a LOT, even in January, I am told. Welcome to the Deep South, Jebman lol. The Gulf of Mexico is so strong, it can oppose major Siberian outbreaks. This is why these people have a 10 month growing season. Fook it, I should just move to Hawaii. Our family does have a house in Waimanalo, my late Dad owned it lol. DO NOT, I repeat, DO NOT end up down here. Lie, cheat, kill, steal, do whatever it takes to avoid having to reside in Austin. UGH!

LMAO! Be thankful you dont reside in south central TX. Its 79 with a MUGGY 73 dewpoint UGH. In other news.........the Mid Atlantic is on pace for a very fun very snowy winter. Stock up on ice melter, Jebman Shovels and snowblowers. You are all gonna need em.

Sure enough, I leave N VA and the Redskins are having a very good season. The Skins will hit the playoffs and they might even make the Superbowl - and Washington DC ends up with a record breaking snow winter. You dont need to know science or sports. All you need to know, is I am stuck in the Deep South for life. THAT, is why the Skins will have one of the BEST seasons they have ever had since the beginning of the NFL, and the Mid Atlantic will have a record breaking snow winter THIS WINTER. As it was this past summer with all the rain, so it shall be with the snow this winter in the Washington Metropolitan Region.

I would sell my soul for a chance to hit up Rt 9 this weekend. This East Coast storm is gonna be interesting. South Texas is getting drowned by incessant rain lol. Lake Travis down here is so high it is ridiculous. Later this winter we will get storms here in Texas then the moisture will ride the subtrop jet into the Mid Atlantic, where it will all fall and pile up in the form of snow, snow after snow after snow. You had best tune up your snow blowers. You are going to get so damn much snow in Washington DC that you will get sick and tired of shoveling. All this rain down here in south TX is definitely not normal. I was in Dale City til Aug 23 this year, and I will tell you, in all of the fifty years I have been in northern Virginia, I know that all that rain we had in north VA this spring and summer was definitely not normal. Something is up with the weather. That infamous March windstorm was definitely not normal either. Lots of ppl in Dale City were saying that something was very, alarmingly WRONG with the weather this past summer. It was not just in the US either. It has been happening all over the world. This upcoming winter is going to be unprecedented, likely tremendous amounts of rain and snow and wind. I noticed before I left N VA in late Aug, that the powerline crews were clearing everything under the powerlines. Even they know something is definitely up with the weather. This is our meteorological New Normal.

This weekend is looking VERY interesting in the Mid Atlantic. There are going to be many many coastal lows this low sun season. You all are going to get sick and tired of coastal lows by New Years. This time around, the mountains may see some wet snow, and I think the highest elevations will see several inches. If you want to see some early snow, hit up western Rt 7 and all of Rt 9 on Saturday and Saturday Night. Paeonian Springs on Rt 9 will see their first snows of the new season. Washington DC will see a white Thanksgiving and also a very white Christmas. Snow weenies all over the Mid Atlantic Region will be in permanent orbit by New Years. Snow accumulation records will be set then rebroken throughout the Epic Winter of 2018-2019, even in Washington DC. All of the science you need to know in the Mid Atlantic this winter, is that I am living in south central Texas and THAT TRANSLATES TO RECORD SNOWS this winter in the entire Mid Atlantic Region. The Modoki Nino is already a given. Lots of -NAO and -AO are givens. But I, Jebman, am now in Buda Texas and THAT is why you all in the Mid Atlantic will see record amounts of snow this winter. Thats all the meteorological science you'll ever need to know, lol. You are all going to get buried alive by coastal blizzard after coastal blizzard after coastal blizzard after coastal blizzard. You are gonna need a MUCH bigger shovel! You think 2009-10 was something, think again. You can all take that straight to the bank, with 25 percent interest. One last point. The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, or AMOC, is slowing down a lot. All HELL is gonna break loose this winter.

Down here in south central Texas, in Buda, our average temperatures, our average highs/lows, FINALLY dropped below 80. It is 79/59. Three days ago, it was 43 degrees in the middle of the day with heavy rain. We have had 12.5 inches in Sept and 7 inches so far this month. This is a LOT for south central Texas. In the meantime, Dale City's average highs/lows stand at 65/47 and rapidly falling. Welcome to a Modoki El Nino. It will be much wetter and colder than normal in the South and East. The Mid Atlantic Region is going to be utterly destroyed this winter by snow. You guys are gonna set brand new snow records. You better buy ten Jebman Shovels and at least five snow blowers. You're gonna need 'em.

Strong cold frontal boundary passed thru Buda TX at approx 110am. Temps and dewpoints are falling, temperature fell from 78 to 67 and dewpoints fell from 76 to 64 in a matter of 15 minutes. Surface winds are gusting to 26mph out of the NW. This cold airmass means BUSINESS.

September in Buda was very rainy compared to what I have come to expect in this region at that time of year. We got 12.5 inches of rain last month. We have also picked up 4 inches of rain in Buda this month so far. I love El Ninos! On another note however, the capping over AUS and San Antonio appears to be MUCH MUCH stronger than earlier advertised, so it looks as though tonight most of the rain will fall well east of I 35, then tomorrow most of the rain will fall well west of I 35. I'm new down here in central TX. But it sure does seem that AUS tends to be in a precipitation minimum much of the time, lol. It'll be cooler Monday thru Thursday but probably just a few passing light sprinkles. I'll take the cooler weather with a north breeze tomorrow over tonight's 87/77 conditions.

Reaper Call. H2O would be a good Reaper. But YOU are going to continue as Reaper. The Reaper NEVER dies.........

Get ready for a highly anomalous, super snowy and brutally cold winter in the Mid Atlantic. You'll be crying for spring by New Years.

I got this lucky, because my late father passed in June, and also because most of my family lives in the Lone Star state. Today, I got super lucky! Our dewpoint is back up to 77 degrees ugh. Make your own luck, Subtropics. Move down here. The music scene is extraordinary and the beer is even better. So is the barbeque. But, this is a very hot, extremely HUMID place.

Move down to Austin TX where I live. We have 80s past Thanksgiving down here and we wont even break a sweat. You need to move. In Austin we can have 73 dewpoints IN JANUARY for a couple of days. This place is Subtropics heaven, lol. Some people mow their lawns into Christmas. I've seen grass get 8 inches high down here in midwinter. There is no winter down here lol.

If we get a longlasting wet pattern like this in the Mid Atlantic this winter, all of you living there will be literally up to your necks in snow. I think there may develop an extreme anomalous pattern in January 2019 in Washington DC that will cause a snowstorm there to stall and have an extreme influx of moisture all the way from the Caribbean and tropical Pacific that will cause Washington DC and surrounding areas to pick up an unprecedented four feet of snow. THAT, will be only one of the anomalously extreme snowstorms in the Mid Atlantic this winter. This is going to be a near record or an outright record snow winter in the Washington DC Metropolitan Region for no other reason, than the fact that I now reside in south central Texas lol. BTW, today dewpoints finally fell to only 61 degrees. It felt like November in Dale City lol. Down here in Buda TX we have had highs in the 80s / dewpoints from 75 to 78 degrees for at least the past 3 weeks lol. Dale City's average high/low is now 69/49. Buda TX's average high/low is now 83/62. When I arrived in Buda on Aug 26, a Sunday afternoon at 450pm CDT, the average high/low then was 99/77. Now THAT'S hot. Since then, we have had 12.5 inches of rain here in south central TX in Sept and another 3.5 inches of rain down here so far in Oct. Welcome to a weak El Nino lol. That screams big snow winter up in the Mid Atlantic!

Michael will drown you in rain then it will turn much cooler there. Fall is gonna hit you all at once, and then you will be on your way to an outright historic snow winter. Congratulations !

The Mid Atlantic Region is right on track for a major snow winter. Get your shovels and snowblowers ready. One analog Cosgrove mentioned is 2009-2010. If this winter does turn out to be another 2009-2010.............................It will be much worse, new snow records will be set and then broken several times, even in downtown Washington DC. You are all going to get buried ALIVE in snow this winter. I might have to fly into Dulles to see one of them personally. It will be a pleasant break from midsummer down here, lol. In the meantime, Austin TX is exactly like the Amazonian Region with ongoing dewpoints pegged at 78 degrees with ambient temps around 88 degrees ugh. It may continue into the Holidays. ugh x a quintillion Even as I slowly get crocked here in south central hot Texas all fall and "winter", I will faithfully be pulling hard for record snows and vodka cold in my hometown of Dale City Virginia and for the entirety of the greater Mid Atlantic Region.

Buda TX's average high temperature FINALLY fell below 90 degrees about 10 days ago. It is 86 now. I really envy all of you in northern VA. I really do. The normal high/low in the Dale City region is generally 73/53. Its 86/75 here in Buda TX. Ugh. It may be like this ALL MONTH.

Buda, Texas' average high FINALLY fell to 89 a couple days ago lmao. You guys think you are hot and humid lol........ I brought the rain with me down here lol, we have had 12 inches of rain down here in 3 weeks. Now our lawns in south central Texas look like Dale City lol

GFS indicates another nine inches; the NAM indicates another 18 inches; WRF-ARW indicates another 28 inches; WRF-NMM indicates another 29 inches; the RAP indicates another 16 inches, and the HRRR indicates a further 27 inches. These projected amounts of rain are ON TOP OF WHAT HAS ALREADY FALLEN. I heard that some parts of NC have received up to 30 inches of rain so far. If the NMM is right, and I hope to God that it is dead WRONG, the rain amounts would be similar to Harvey last year.

God please help this storm to move much faster and weaken. I can't even imagine what southeast NC is going through with those relentless rain bands. Hopefully the rain bands weaken and move on. God please have a lot of mercy on the people of North and South Carolina.

We are praying for your safety in the Carolinas and for a weaker storm. Stay safe everyone.

You guys got about three feet of rain over the late Spring, and Summer. I should know, I was there personally. I am in south central Texas now, and I envy you all. You will get drowned in place by Florence, then you will get totally annihilated by a super frigid, super snowy winter, the Epic Winter of 2018-2019 in the Mid Atlantic. Florence is only the beginning. Florence will finish the job that the summer started. Wish I could be there to see it all.

I am not trying to alarm anyone but there is a possibility that Florence could stall over the Eastern Seaboard and dump as much as 48 inches of rain over some communities. Just a heads up. Stay safe over there back east! If this happens in your community, DO NOT try to jebwalk.

Looks like Austin lucked out on this round, I am not sure how it is happening, but all of the rain is going around us. I sure feel sorry for places to our west and north, the rain has been torrential and relentless in those areas for the past few days. I hate when it rains on my outings here. It wont today or tonight.