Jebman

You would think that with how damned HOT last summer was, you would think we'd obtain some mercy with the frackin arctic front! But no! We get smashed from BOTH ends of the year! Double jeopardy! I worked my tail off all damn day long tryin to cover exposed water lines with dirt, insulatin' stuff, setting up heaters for the well house! I am completely worn out! I'M TOO DAMN OLD FOR THIS! I am ALREADY frantically filling up 5 gallon water containers and haulin up by HAND! Already playin this out like a damn Sooner! And the accursed siberian front isnt even here yet. The base state? Here in Texas it is colder. It gets colder every winter, and drier every year!

Buda is under a winter weather advisory for accumulating frzra Sun night, tenth of an inch accretion on overpasses. That's just great. And frigid weather too. I am filling dozens of five gallon Containers with fresh water. We will lose the water lines to freezing because of low temps near ten above. Yuck.

I am having a real hard time posting. Why do my fingers keep going right thru the damn keyboard?

Eminent sig material

Palisades is at it again, snow moving in, getting heavy, as they pile up another 15-19 inches into tomorrow! 8200 foot Scope, as always: https://www.palisadestahoe.com/mountain-information/webcams#tab=palisades Its like a metronome, dumping on the Sierra about every four days, piling and piling and piling on the snows. Ditto for Mammoth as well into Sunday. You want snow? Get on a plane head west, rent a car and drive to Tahoe and soak in the deep snows! Ski till your legs fall off and watch all that heavy relentless Sierra snow pour down, driven by 100 mph winds at ridgetop! Snow weenies' DREAM! https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/main-lodge You know what I wish for? I wish I won 7 billion in the Powerball, then take everyone on this board who wanted to go, to Palisades for a month! Take over an entire hotel! Put on the most EPIC get together conference American has ever heard of! Get all the red taggers to hold classes on weather phenomena while we all watch the heavy Sierra snows cut us off from the rest of the world! Like I said, We take over a hotel, or two or three ----- And anything goes. We show those folks how to party!

That, is a massive snow digging job. We are gonna need as many snow starved snow weenies as we can get!

Fvck. Winter is over. I would like spring now please. Why even track. What's the point. What a cruel cruel hobby. I am gonna change my screen name to debman. Models aren't even worth their weight in shyte anymore. Lucy needs to jump off a ledge and so will I. It's never going to snow again. We got us a whole new fvckload of snow futility markers.

Palisades, Mammoth, they've been getting hammered by 15 inch snows every four days like clockwork. Go there, You'll get your fix. Palisades Tahoe's getting fifteen MORE inches snow tomorrow.

NEVER, EVER start a topic on a snowstorm in DC before the damn EURO. Ever.

THIS IS VERY BAD. I will be carrying water like a Sooner on the Frontier. I WILL in effect, BE a Sooner for three days. It is a Certainty. I will be doing this for days on end, and I am in no shape to even be THINKING about it! This is why I hate winter weather in Texas. This is not the way things were when I lived in Glendale in Dale City, Virginia, and I am an old, played-out, broken down OLD MAN who has no business trying to do anything in major deep winter conditions in central Texas. I can't even walk across our front lawn in 88/68 weather without getting severely out of breath while the neighbors frantically call 9-11. This is serious, serious BAD stuff. Every water line in Texas WILL FREEZE SOLID. No exceptions! They expect lows around ten degrees at least two nights in a row down here! Our normal low is 43! Even a little of that frzra will be enough to make me fall right on my ass on our driveway! I had a severe ear infection that never healed, and now I have balance problems! Yeah, I am an old man, now. Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 322 PM CST Fri Jan 12 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Saturday night) Issued at 203 PM CST Fri Jan 12 2024 Moderate northwesterly winds continue to bring drier air to South Central Texas this afternoon. Winds will diminish as the surface high pressure center moves across the region tonight. With mostly clear skies, low dewpoints, and light winds, temperatures will fall rapidly after sunset. Low temperatures will be around six degrees below normal in the 30s across the entire CWA. The colder spots will drop to near or slightly below freezing. Southwesterly winds on Saturday bring warmer temperatures with highs six to ten degrees higher than today. Big changes will come Saturday night. A strong, arctic cold front will move through North Texas reaching our northern border by mid-evening. The front will move quickly through our CWA reaching our southern border by daybreak Sunday. This front will bring the coldest air of the season. Models accelerated the frontal passage last night and have keep this timing today. Low temperatures Sunday behind the front will be in the upper teens to upper 20s along and north of I-10/Hwy 90. Winds will also increase to 10 to 15 mph behind the front. This will produce wind chill temperatures near 10 degrees over the Hill Country and northern parts of the I-35 corridor. We do not expect any precipitation with the frontal passage. We may need to issue a Wind Chill Advisory for wind chill temperatures of 10 or less, but will wait until we have more confidence. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday through Friday) Issued at 203 PM CST Fri Jan 12 2024 KEY POINTS: -A strong Arctic front will bring much colder temperatures, brisk northerly winds and very low wind chills to south central Texas Sunday through Tuesday. Temperatures are likely to remain below freezing for close to 3 days in the Hill Country and nearby I-35 corridor from the northern Austin Metro area northward. Minimum wind chills will be in the teens and 20s Sunday morning, then fall to below zero and in the single digits at times for many locations Sunday night into Tuesday morning. Hard freezes should impact the Hill Country and Austin Metro area Sunday morning, most areas by Monday morning, and all of South Central Texas Tuesday and Wednesday mornings. -Chances for light wintry precipitation in the form of freezing rain are increasing, especially along the Interstate 35 corridor from San Antonio northward through Austin Sunday evening through Monday morning. The Hill Country, northern Interstate 35 corridor, and northern Coastal Plains may see patchy freezing rain as early as late Sunday afternoon, but more likely in the evening, and continuing overnight into early Monday. Accumulations have increased with a few hundredths up to one-tenth of an inch possible, leading to slick roads Sunday evening through much of Monday. Breezy dry air should promote any accumulations to sublimate during the day even if temperatures remain below freezing. However, elevated roadways that see the higher totals will need to be watched carefully. The latest model runs continue to trend faster and colder with the Arctic air set to spill across the region by sunrise Sunday. Some of the higher resolution models are beginning to get a handle on this air mass and the result will be a significant drop in the forecast high temperatures for Sunday. Cold air advection, increasing cloudiness and low sun angle will yield highs mainly in the 30s, except lower 40s along the Rio Grande. Highs in the Hill Country and nearby I-35 corridor north of Austin may not reach freezing. The other main trend we have see in the models is an increase in precipitation chances beginning Sunday evening and continuing into Monday morning. In most of our winter weather events, the one limiting factor is temperatures at or below freezing. In this case, below freezing temperatures won`t be a problem. We have also seen an uptick in model precipitation amounts for Sunday evening through Monday morning and have increase precipitation chances for the mentioned period. We did opt to end precipitation chances Monday afternoon, but will keep an eye on areas east of I-35/I-37. Strong cold air advection continues Monday night into Tuesday morning dropping lows into the teens and 20s for a widespread hard freeze. Would not be surprised to see a few single digit readings over the Hill Country. The temperatures combined with stout northerly winds will send wind chills even lower and a Wind Chill Advisory and Wind Chill Warning may certainly be needed Monday morning and Tuesday morning across most areas. Clouds begin to decrease Tuesday, but cold air remains entrenched for more highs mainly in the 30s. Temperatures begin to moderate Wednesday, but remain below climatological levels for this time of year. Another cold front is expected sometime late Thursday or early Friday. We will need to monitor carefully as models may very well trend faster with the front as late next week approaches.

I am gonna ace those forecasts.

The JEB model always has snow for the Mid Atlantic. And it always verifies.

Instant JINX.

Euro is drunk. In a few more runs it'll shape up.

Modeling continues to indicate higher probabilities for freezing precip over south central TX for Sunday night/Monday. Along with expected sub freezing ambient temps, there may be travel impacts. I was so hopeful this crap could be avoided this winter down here. Surely we have paid our penance for winter nonsense last late Jan/early Feb with that devastating three quarter inch icestorm!

I will catch up on my sleep come Summer. I got model runs to keep up with, affiliate marketing to study and now I am also learning algebra at Khan Academy.

Yuck. Temps with the arctic front in south central TX, are expected to fall to 10 degrees. Highs only in the upper 20s, I think Monday? I am going to lose all my beloved plants, have to start completely over again. Thank goodness spring starts for us March 1. We are supposed to be 60 this time of year. This ten degree bull is getting ridiculous. And guess what, not even one frackin' DROP of liquid non freezing rain with the front! Not one drop! Not one! No one on this forum had the heart to admit to me that a near record frigid monster high pressure, was gonna slam hard right into Texas! This is Year 3 of the Drought. No rain. Texas is gonna blow away. Even less water than California! Diaspora is imminent! Too many people moving to Texas, wonderful folks from Central America coming on in and also millions of people from other parts of the country! Jobs are incredible here! Never seen so much construction! Everyone is sucking up the aquifer water too! Boy I am gonna love it when I have no more well water and we are all fighting tooth and nail for the little water left in the Colorado River!

That's just great! Not only does the arctic air get to Buda on Sat night instead of Sunday, now there is a chance of frzra! THAT'S JUST GREAT! We were doing so well! It was so nice in south Texas! We had made it almost into mid January with 60s! I want cold to hit the Mid Atlantic, NOT south Texas! And just where does the 1042 arctic high go? Right in the heart of Texas! That's just great.

Super hot in south central TX. We started out with 102 degree days along with 78 degree dewpoints. It felt like 119. I was getting sick. I had to work out in it. Then just 103 to 104 day after day, with 67 degree dews for weeks. A few days we hit 108. That hellish sun killed so many of my moms plants! That's what I remember most about the weather in 2023.

I am now a new Tool fan now. Love the tracks! Brand new snow jebwalk music!!!!!!

I have a question for Mets, but did not want to post this in the discussion topic. The base state is warmer now. Does this mean far worse hurricanes, thunderstorms, tornadoes?

I am VERY happy to hear that. Sunday can use as much pow as they can get.

Concerning 6 inches of snow in 24 hours vs 24 inches of snow in 6 hours, I'd take BOTH. That's a 30 inch snowstorm in 30 hours and I'd be digging massive amounts of snow. Not to mention an EPIC jebwalk. And the storm has got to be tracked on all the models. We're not going to miss even ONE model run! Well, maybe YOU will, but I WON'T! This is why I never got married. I am ALREADY married. To all the models, the ensembles and the ski resorts like Palisades Tahoe and Mammoth and Alta, Utah and many, many others. I am married to snow and severe weather and floods. And Hurricanes and 75 foot storm surges associated with our exciting new ultra heated base state.

Snow weenies are gonna track. Because that's what we do. And because you all know, all too well, that the storm is there.

LMAO !