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Dark Star

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Dark Star

  1. Dark Star
    I vaguely remember a nice fall back in the late 70's?
  2. Dark Star
    With much persistence, I managed to catch a glimpse of the comet tonight. Could not see it with the naked eye, but did view it with some binoculars. It certainly was not the kind you follow to see the next Messiah...
  3. Dark Star
    It's hard to bet against persistence. However, depending upon the seemingly never ending warm Pacific jet, I do see a hint of possible normal average temperatures for at least the upper midwest...
  4. Dark Star
    Looks like a gradual turn to zonal, with a hint of some colder air ready to plunge down out of northwestern Canada?
  5. Dark Star
    Check back in December to see the effects of the Pacific Jet. It is relentless...
  6. Dark Star
    Looks a bit extreme?
  7. Dark Star
    Happened to me at a vacation house...
  8. Dark Star
    Looks like zonal flow?
  9. Dark Star
    Had 0.000000101" this morning in Linden, NJ
  10. Dark Star
    I had once asked Ocean County to widen the shoulder on Bayview Avenue between Ocean Gate and Veeder Lane in Bayville. No response.
  11. Dark Star
    At least you didn't have to contend with summer traffic. I could not imagine biking this roadway with cars passing you out. They should have a wider shoulder, with a bike lane and preferably a rumble strip separating the lane.
  12. Dark Star
  13. Dark Star
    Exactly.
  14. Dark Star
    I'm beating a dead horse, but if we only use the previous 20 years as the current average, shouldn't we only use the same set to base our minimum/maximum record temperatures on?
  15. Dark Star
    Ridge's nose must be exactly over our area?
  16. Dark Star
    Not cold air, but cooler air should have been expected with this setup. Obviously it is not winter.
  17. Dark Star
    I don't think so, but maybe where you live? NWS was pretty good for the past 5 days or so.
  18. Dark Star
    Great forecast by the NWS. They nailed it. I never heard of a closed low forming so close to a Hurricane. As though the energy split off? What happened to conservation of energy?
  19. Dark Star
    Wow, clouds moving in all directions...
  20. Dark Star
    Mosquito bites seem to itch almost immediately, but are gone in a day or two. Gnat bites don't seem to appear for a day or two, are itchier, and last up to a week?
  21. Dark Star
    I don't know. NWS was predicting showers for today. But most of us in this blog bought into blocking winning out.
  22. Dark Star
    Sounds like they are burying their heads in the sand? That leaves one day before the playoffs to make up any postponed games (if needed - which is a high probability).
  23. Dark Star
    What are the odds of getting a baseball game in there tonight? Most people were screaming for a DH to be played, starting around noon.
  24. Dark Star
    NWS discussion seems to be bullish on at least some precipitation. Then, if I am reading correctly, they are forecasting the remnants of Helene to come up the eastern seaboard and go out to sea just south of us, which is not what I thought the NHC was forecasting (unless the cutoff low is not from Helene)? Regardless, consensus here seems to be that the northeast ridge dries up most of the precip and directs Helene up towards the Great Lakes. I'm going to guess we do see a scattered light shower here and there tonight into tomorrow night.
  25. Dark Star
    Good question. I will assume the science will argue otherwise. Of course, when I was banging, there were only 2 models. Now, perhaps, there are too many models? Several have known biases. There are more, and better short term precipitation forecastng tools. It seems some models, which have had good sucess have been reconfigured and have become less accurate? We have ensembles, that are usually the most reliable tool. However, we still see enough short term temperature and precipitation busts that invoke doubt, and forget anything over 4 days. Long range is still unachievable ( or at least no better than using historical comparisons)?
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